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**BANTER THREAD** Rolling into active period...wintry potential increasing, so are toaster sales


ORH_wxman

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The NAM flat out is unusable. When we think of it being "right" it may just be lucky in that a storm broke that way at the last minute. Most of the time it's wrong, that's why about 1 out of 5 or 7 times it seems to do okay...it gets lucky. If someone goes with the Euro/GFS compromise they'll be in good shape most of the time. This system last night was the classic 700mb is far west routine with the dry punch.

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The NAM flat out is unusable. When we think of it being "right" it may just be lucky in that a storm broke that way at the last minute. Most of the time it's wrong, that's why about 1 out of 5 or 7 times it seems to do okay...it gets lucky. If someone goes with the Euro/GFS compromise they'll be in good shape most of the time. This system last night was the classic 700mb is far west routine with the dry punch.

Yeah it was awful for a mjaority of the area...it did ok right where Ray is...but everywhere else it was pretty much a huge fail. It had a high here of like 42 with only 3" of snow or so. Something has been wrong with it for nearly a month now from what I have seen....compared to its usual performance.

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Scooter is quietly having a very good season....he didn't like this last event near the coast, and never waivered.....doesn't like this one because the trough is too progressive.

Makes me nervous, but we'll see.

Thanks for the kind words, although I really screwed the pooch for your area. Although progressive, the ULL along with some mid level fronto does want to give you some snow. It's early to say, but we should have a good idea by 1am.

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3-5 coming here tommorow.

Warmiest and snowiest December at bdr?

As in most snow during a warm December?

Here are the top 10...'57 and '90 are the standouts...

Year Dep Snow
1967 +0.5 10.1
1975 +0.1 8.6
1957 +2.4 8.4
1990 +4.6 7.1
1997 +0.1 6.7
2007 +0.3 6.1
1959 +0.6 5.2
1952 +0.6 5.0
2004 +1.0 5.0
1951 +0.5 3.7

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