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Our region's extreme run


MN Transplant
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Also, Elkins (~2000 feet) had its second least snowy winter on record in 2022-2023. Elkins was poised to obliterate the 1931-32 record, but some late season snowfall pushed last winter into a close 2nd place.

Below is the top 20 least snowy winters in Elkins. A lot of them are quite old, and I think some of that is attributable to changing measurement techniques. In the past, it was common just to measure depth changes or attribute a 10:1 ratio to the melted snow. They certainly weren't using snowboards. Regardless, 4 of the top 20 have occurred in fairly recent years. If it simply doesn't snow, it doesn't matter how the measuring techniques have changed, because there's no snowfall to inflate.

image.thumb.png.93e668f049173d70f7fbdfc2757dc3bf.png

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On 3/1/2023 at 1:24 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Late 1940's / early 1950's seemed to be an incredibly warm and bad stretch too: The 1948-49 winter was 3rd warmest, and 1949-50 was tied for 4th warmest. 1949-50 was also the least snowiest year on record for BWI. Somehow 1948-49 managed to score 19.9" despite being so warm though. 1950 did feature a colder than average March after the DJF torch though. :)

The big difference was those winters were ridiculously cold out west. Several recent winters have just been coast-to-coast blowtorches.

1950 also finished out as a pretty chilly year overall, capped by The Great Appalachian Snowstorm with unprecedented November cold and snow.

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On 12/21/2015 at 12:55 PM, MN Transplant said:

 

Probably about the same way we handle the fact that some of the old observations were taken multiple stories up in a building in a completely different part of town.  Ignore it.

Agreed - that was a bunch of nonsense peddled by CWG, as per usual. No mention of the HO-83 hygrothermometer in use at all of the airports from the mid 80s until mid/late 90s, which had a warm bias in excess of that amount - particularly, for daytime maxima in light wind and sunshine. A lot of heat records set during that era, particularly in the summertime. But we have blasted past those years.

To analogize to baseball and the steroid era, it would be akin to a bunch of players, not using steroids, suddenly hitting 80-90 home runs every year. And Barry Bonds' record was being eclipsed regularly.

The difference between IAD and DCA this year is 2.7F, which if it holds would be the ninth smallest difference between the two sites on record. The difference this month has been just 1.5F. No calls for an investigation. No national scandal. Wonder why?

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On 6/30/2023 at 9:04 PM, RodneyS said:

June 2023 at DCA followed suit with May, averaging only 74.1 degrees -- tied for 76th all-time warmest June in DC history and 2.2 degrees below the 1991-2020 normal. As a result, January-June 2023 dropped further behind 2012, and also fell behind 2017, for the warmest first half of a calendar year in DC.  Specifically, the first half of 2023 (181 days) averaged 57.1 degrees at DCA, behind 2012 (182 days) at 58.0 and 2017 (181 days) at 57.3.

July 2023 at DCA came in slightly above the 1991-2020 normal, at 81.6 degrees, but that was lower than July 2012 (84.0) and July 2017 (81.7).  So, the first seven months of 2023 slipped further behind those two years, with an average temperature of 60.7 degrees, versus 61.8 for the first seven months of 2012 and 60.9 for the first seven months of 2017. 

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On 7/31/2023 at 5:55 PM, RodneyS said:

July 2023 at DCA came in slightly above the 1991-2020 normal, at 81.6 degrees, but that was lower than July 2012 (84.0) and July 2017 (81.7).  So, the first seven months of 2023 slipped further behind those two years, with an average temperature of 60.7 degrees, versus 61.8 for the first seven months of 2012 and 60.9 for the first seven months of 2017. 

August 2023 at DCA came in below the 1991-2020 normal, at 78.7 degrees, which was lower than August 2012 (81.0), but higher than August 2017 (77.4).  So, the first eight months of 2023 slipped further behind 2012, with an average temperature of 62.96 degrees versus 64.22 for the first eight months of 2012. However, that 62.96 was barely below the 62.97 for the first eight months of 2017. 

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A remarkable 4-day run at Dulles.  In the 60 Septembers prior to 2023 at IAD, only three 99-degree readings had been recorded, with no September day exceeding 99.  Beginning Sunday (9-3-2023), we have reached 99, 99, 99, and 100 on consecutive days.

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On 9/1/2023 at 7:11 AM, RodneyS said:

August 2023 at DCA came in below the 1991-2020 normal, at 78.7 degrees, which was lower than August 2012 (81.0), but higher than August 2017 (77.4).  So, the first eight months of 2023 slipped further behind 2012, with an average temperature of 62.96 degrees versus 64.22 for the first eight months of 2012. However, that 62.96 was barely below the 62.97 for the first eight months of 2017. 

September 2023 at DCA came in above the 1991-2020 normal, at 73.4 degrees, which was higher than both September 2012 (72.2) and September 2017 (72.6).  So, the first nine months of 2023 gained on both 2012 and 2017, with an average temperature of 64.1 degrees versus 65.1 for the first nine months of 2012 and 64.0 for the first nine months of 2017.  Thus, while 2023 is averaging about a degree cooler per day than 2012 did during its first nine months, 2023 is averaging a tad warmer than 2017 did during its first nine months. 

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On 9/30/2023 at 6:52 PM, RodneyS said:

September 2023 at DCA came in above the 1991-2020 normal, at 73.4 degrees

Which is incredible. 5 days (3rd - 7th) were so above average, that it made the whole month above normal.

Had those days been 'normal', we would have been below average for the month.

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On 9/30/2023 at 6:52 PM, RodneyS said:

September 2023 at DCA came in above the 1991-2020 normal, at 73.4 degrees, which was higher than both September 2012 (72.2) and September 2017 (72.6).  So, the first nine months of 2023 gained on both 2012 and 2017, with an average temperature of 64.1 degrees versus 65.1 for the first nine months of 2012 and 64.0 for the first nine months of 2017.  Thus, while 2023 is averaging about a degree cooler per day than 2012 did during its first nine months, 2023 is averaging a tad warmer than 2017 did during its first nine months. 

October 2023 at DCA came in above the 1991-2020 normal, at 63.1 degrees, which was higher than October 2012 (61.0), but lower than October 2017 (64.9).  So, the first 10 months of 2023 gained on 2012, but fell behind 2017, with an average temperature of 64.0 degrees versus 64.7 for the first 10 months of 2012 and 64.1 for the first 10 months of 2017.  2023 could still be the warmest year ever in DC, if it were to average about 50 degrees during November and December. Under that circumstance, the final two months of 2023 would be the third warmest ever, behind only 2015 (52.5) and 2001 (50.2).

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On 10/31/2023 at 7:24 PM, RodneyS said:

October 2023 at DCA came in above the 1991-2020 normal, at 63.1 degrees, which was higher than October 2012 (61.0), but lower than October 2017 (64.9).  So, the first 10 months of 2023 gained on 2012, but fell behind 2017, with an average temperature of 64.0 degrees versus 64.7 for the first 10 months of 2012 and 64.1 for the first 10 months of 2017.  2023 could still be the warmest year ever in DC, if it were to average about 50 degrees during November and December. Under that circumstance, the final two months of 2023 would be the third warmest ever, behind only 2015 (52.5) and 2001 (50.2).

November 2023 at DCA came in slightly below the 1991-2020 normal, at 49.6 degrees, which was higher than November 2012 (46.6), but lower than November 2017 (49.8).  So, the first 11 months of 2023 gained a little on 2012, but edged further behind 2017, with an average temperature of 62.7 degrees versus 63.1 for the first 11 months of 2012 and 62.8 for the first 11 months of 2017.  However, because December 2012 was quite warm at DCA (45.3) and December 2017 was relatively cold there (39.2), 2023 will very likely finish behind 2012, while probably finishing ahead of 2017.  Specifically, if December 2023 averages between 40.4-49.1 degrees at DCA (1991-2020 normal is 41.7), 2023 will finish as the second warmest calendar year in DC history.  For 2023 to beat 2012 as the warmest calendar year in DC history, December 2023 at DCA would have to be the second warmest meteorological winter month in DC history, behind only December 2015 (51.2)

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