ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yes! That is good..the RUC 1 hour forecast had you rain right now and the 06z NAM was just flipping you over...maybe another 30 minutes on the NAM. So anything you keep getting is def a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Tracking the western extent of the snow... Snow in Halcott now in the central Catskills...about 40 miles west of the Hudson River. That is good..the RUC 1 hour forecast had you rain right now and the 06z NAM was just flipping you over...maybe another 30 minutes on the NAM. So anything you keep getting is def a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 wonder if ginxy is close to flippin. he should drive up to the top of his 550 or so foot hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 wa wa white gold http://www.wachusett.com/Default.aspx?TabId=207 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I feel like death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I feel like death Leprechauns... the ghost of jack suslack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 im starting to wonder if i go over to a brief period of freezing rain once i flip still mod almost heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Ripping here now...a few tenths probably...temp 30.5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Well it's still snowing 125 miles west of you in the Catskills. im starting to wonder if i go over to a brief period of freezing rain once i flip still mod almost heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 BDL is a mix per the obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 saco maine down to 29/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Stil snowing, has that classic 33F look to it. Think the end is very close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Stil snowing, has that classic 33F look to it. Think the end is very close Do you have large aggregates? Or is it small water logged flakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I wonder how much of the precip at BDL is falling as snow...34/32F there and until the warmer air aloft works in if they are mostly snow right now they could stay that way for a while...sfc temp not really increasing anytime soon and the dewpoint isn't going to really rise anymore. All they need is 0.3'' and that will guarantee Jan will not be the least snowiest Jan on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snowing really nicely here. about 3/10" 30F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Do you have large aggregates? Or is it small water logged flakes? Bit of both, kind of fluctuating here. Mostly waterlogged. I doubt I add anything more than a tenth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 WAA cancelled for northern CT and southern MA ...A WINTER STORM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW AND SOME ICE TO THE INTERIOR TODAY... CTZ002-MAZ005-006-010>012-121015- /O.CAN.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120112T1800Z/ HARTFORD CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA- EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...FRAMINGHAM... LOWELL...LAWRENCE...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD... MILFORD...WORCESTER 408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES IN NORTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT...HAMPDEN COUNTY AS WELL AS S EASTERN HAMPSHIRE...ESSEX AND SOUTHERN WORCESTER COUNTIES IN MASSACHUSETTS ARE NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE. ALTHOUGH A LITTLE BIT OF SNOW MAY FALL IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS AND LITTLE TO NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 just talked to my dad he works down there and said when he got to work 15 minutes ago it was heavy rain now back to heavy snow there BDL is a mix per the obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Bit of both, kind of fluctuating here. Mostly waterlogged. I doubt I add anything more than a tenth. Well its good you are still producing flakes at a time after 09z...the Euro was the only model that showed an inch or so for you and Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 just talked to my dad he works down there and said when he got to work 15 minutes ago it was heavy rain now back to heavy snow there I can't believe I'm getting stiffed with rain...BDL is a solid 3-4F cooler than here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 WAA cancelled for northern CT and southern MA Yeah I think the ice threat is diminishing...we just aren't advecting enough lower dews from the NE...although ORH has gone to a 050 wind. But even N ORH county I think struggles to produce significant icing. This is mostly about the front end snow thump now. Maybe some marginal icing, but I have a hard time seeing big icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yeah I think the ice threat is diminishing...we just aren't advecting enough lower dews from the NE...although ORH has gone to a 050 wind. But even N ORH county I think struggles to produce significant icing. This is mostly about the front end snow thump now. Maybe some marginal icing, but I have a hard time seeing big icing. Yeah I think the icing threat has gone down big time and even so...I really wasn't expecting any major icing anywhere...at least enough to cause any issues. Seems like any transition will be rather quick and right from snow to rain. BOX still saying a 1/10th of an inch ice accretion still possible where they have continued the WAA so can't completely rule anything out but everything seems to be leaning away from that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yeah I think the icing threat has gone down big time and even so...I really wasn't expecting any major icing anywhere...at least enough to cause any issues. Seems like any transition will be rather quick and right from snow to rain. BOX still saying a 1/10th of an inch ice accretion still possible where they have continued the WAA so can't completely rule anything out but everything seems to be leaning away from that right now. The advisory is still warranted for N ORH county and into S NH though since I think even without much icing, they have a shot at advisory criteria snow...esp since down by Hartford is still snowing in the higher terrain. The icing threat is not zero though for the northern areas...if they find a way to hold steady at 31 with good NE flow, then it could add to the hazard...but I think the icing is generally more nuisance if it happens. I've never been totally high on the icing threat for this since about 24 hours ago...the 12z Euro looked intriguing, but it was still marginal...it was decent icing, but marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Stick a fork in it here. 80% rain now. 1.2" final Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snow and 30.4 now. 2.5 inches just measured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 You can see the flow is now predominately NE in the interior...but I think it may have happened too late...we'll see. But I think its too late for icing after the snow flip...ORH is now 30/30...but has been a 050/060 wind. You can see the flow down the Maine coastline...but if icing is going to be an issue at 31F or so, then you need that to keep advecting into S NH and N MA....and not sure that connection has been established enough if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 The advisory is still warranted for N ORH county and into S NH though since I think even without much icing, they have a shot at advisory criteria snow...esp since down by Hartford is still snowing in the higher terrain. The icing threat is not zero though for the northern areas...if they find a way to hold steady at 31 with good NE flow, then it could add to the hazard...but I think the icing is generally more nuisance if it happens. I've never been totally high on the icing threat for this since about 24 hours ago...the 12z Euro looked intriguing, but it was still marginal...it was decent icing, but marginal. Those areas certainly still have a shot to see a solid 2-3''...maybe a few isolated 4'' amounts for snowfall...especially if some spots in CT were able to pick up 1-1.5'' or so. The WAA at 925/850 has slowed quite a bit over the past several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 37.4 here with rain. Looks like euro may be right with mid level temps for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 37.4 here with rain. Looks like euro may be right with mid level temps for now. It looks like the Euro absolutely schooled the NAM and SREFs on ML temps. Sfc temps are another story, though the Euro was never overly cold, but it looks like it was too cold nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Our for the first measurement...looks like around a half inch eyeballing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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