The Waterboy Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NWS Tulsa has decreased amounts a little bit and delayed the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I thought this was interesting out of SGF, could enhance snow totals close by: Interestingly, models also indicate a dry slot trying to punch towards the Ozarks...but not quite making it. This is a concern as you can often see convective elements develop on the northern portion of the aforementioned dry slot. Sure enough, models do indicate some MUCAPE across southwestern Missouri Sunday morning. Finally, snow to liquid ratios will rise from around 12 to 1 towards the 20 to 1 range by later Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NWS Tulsa has decreased amounts a little bit and delayed the onset. Felt they rushed the onset of the advisory initially after models began trending slower starting with 00z models last night. May be a little low on totals in NW AR, but their map looks pretty good. Snow will ramp up pretty quickly just NE of us. Springfield has been handling this system well. MOWeatherGuy, I agree that is interesting. Will need to be watched overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Hey 24/7 what are your thoughts on Monday school - assuming we pick up 3 to 5 inches of snow along with the dangerous wind chills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I would say it wouldn't take hardly any snow. The cold will be enough to call off classes (I would assume). I have been wrong before on that, but they already seemed to be leaning that way yesterday. We were talking about possible contingency plans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Makes perfect sense. Tks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Not very often you lose a game with a 28 point lead in the second half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Man those Chiefs outta be just totally ashamed for blowing that game. Injuries didnt help, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Not very often you lose a game with a 28 point lead in the second half. That was awful. Really really awful. Bob Sutton shouldn't have a job tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 That was awful. Really really awful. Bob Sutton shouldn't have a job tomorrow.Ive said that all yr as a cowboys fan. Awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I only saw the last 9 minutes and didn't realize the Chiefs had a 28 point lead. Epic meltdown. I'm a Falcons fan so my season has been one colossal disappointment. Now bring on the snow!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Feel bad for u and those Falcons man what a bad yr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Ive said that all yr as a cowboys fan. Awful The great Romo choke in the 4th quarter. Chiefs always seem to choke in the playoffs. It's expected. I felt like the ghost of Marty Schottenheimer appeared in the 3rd quarter. That was an embarrassing loss. Time to get a new secondary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Yep lol Romo what a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Well it's going to snow tonight..... That's good. Also the 12z Euro Ensembles showed the upcoming 'torch' wasn't going to stick around.. so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Man the stores are jam packed here and the shelves were just about bare in 2 walmarts we went in, lol. I just dont have that feeling for this storm one bit so Im not expecting much at all, maybe Ill be shocked who knows lol. Looks like my old stomping grounds gets it pretty good though again, our friends in kc have told us they been getting dumped on so far this winter season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Man the stores are jam packed here and the shelves were just about bare in 2 walmarts we went in, lol. I just dont have that feeling for this storm one bit so Im not expecting much at all, maybe Ill be shocked who knows lol. Looks like my old stomping grounds gets it pretty good though again, our friends in kc have told us they been getting dumped on so far this winter season! I think the thing that is prompting people out is the combination of the snow AND the cold. That is what sent me out. If it was just a snow... we could deal with that... but I don't want to get out in -30º wind chills for bread. Not going to happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I think the thing that is prompting people out is the combination of the snow AND the cold. That is what sent me out. If it was just a snow... we could deal with that... but I don't want to get out in -30º wind chills for bread. Not going to happen! That's true! I will say the winds are just about dead calm here now. Its drizzling here at about 39 degrees. My friend in Iowa has been in the negative numbers in the mornings without wind chills, just sounds brutal up that way with the cold and snow this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Cold front is through Joplin now as winds have turned to the north and temps are falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 0z NAM stays on track. Showing a solid 4" across most of this area with liquid qpf around .40. Could easily be more with cold temps and higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 0z NAM stays on track. Showing a solid 4" across most of this area with liquid qpf around .40. Could easily be more with cold temps and higher ratios. Yeah... SGF was going for higher ratios, starting at 12:1 and ending at 20:1. 4" would be easily met if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Did you come over to the WxBell dark side, MoWeatherGuy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Did you come over to the WxBell dark side, MoWeatherGuy? Lol no copied it from another post on another site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 .4 or .5 of QPF at 12:1 or 20:1 ratios would be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 .4 or .5 of QPF at 12:1 or 20:1 ratios would be impressive. Could easily be 6" or more. Throw in a little convection and ur in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Could easily be 6" or more. Throw in a little convection and ur in business. Yep, thus my thoughts about possibly seeing the warning adjusted one tier of counties further west before this winds down. I see nothing this evening that would detract from that unless the front stalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Yep, thus my thoughts about possibly seeing the warning adjusted one tier of counties further west before this winds down. I see nothing this evening that would detract from that unless the front stalls. I concur on that possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 0z GFS playing catch up too coming in wetter across the region. Not sure how much of this increase will be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 If tonites models are remotely close to being right I can see the warnings being extended westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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