Logan11 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 It does look more interesting from about day 10 -> ....BUT ..hasn't it looked interesting at day 10 -> many times since late October? LOL That said...one of these times luck has to be with us and we have December cold to work with now. Another cold and potentially stormy op run. Quite the gradient across the Mason Dixon line at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 It does look more interesting from about day 10 -> ....BUT ..hasn't it looked interesting at day 10 -> many times since late October? LOL That said...one of these times luck has to be with us and we have December cold to work with now. It's kind of funny that none of the models ever says things will be boring ten days out. lol 33.5/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 It does look more interesting from about day 10 -> ....BUT ..hasn't it looked interesting at day 10 -> many times since late October? LOL That said...one of these times luck has to be with us and we have December cold to work with now. That's true, but I'll take my chances with the pattern shown. Sometimes the best patterns don't produce, and then patterns that look crappy can give you such a great rush...we just don't know. However, from how everything looks...it's definitely something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Top analog for CIPS consistently http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/event.php?reg=EAST&model=GFS212&fhr=072&flg=new&dt=2010010306 Top 15 analog mean snow looks a lot like the NAM depiction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 It does seem like more often than not when we finally do get a storm - it kind of jumps out at us fast. The models (especially ensembles) telegraph the overall trend, but the threat doesn't become obvious until the last few days. That's true, but I'll take my chances with the pattern shown. Sometimes the best patterns don't produce, and then patterns that look crappy can give you such a great rush...we just don't know. However, from how everything looks...it's definitely something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crownweather Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Top analog for CIPS consistently http://www.eas.slu.e...w&dt=2010010306 Top 15 analog mean snow looks a lot like the NAM depiction I don't like that analog at all!! That was our snow-rain event that brought our winter up here in Aroostook to a screeching halt!! Ugh!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 UKMET says no go for weekend event. Probably a signal to what the Euro will show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I don't like that analog at all!! That was our snow-rain event that brought our winter up here in Aroostook to a screeching halt!! Ugh!! Colder cryrosphere ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 UKMET says no go for weekend event. Probably a signal to what the Euro will show. You want a blizzard? C'mon, I'll take you to Dairy Queen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Start thinking of the 50 year anniversary storm. 12/11-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 You want a blizzard? C'mon, I'll take you to Dairy Queen. I'll settle for Smirnoff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Real quickly, do any of you know a website that gives the record high and low for any given city at any given date?? I know the Cornell site, but I think that's more for the northeast. Wunderground.com wxunderground is pretty good. Beat me to it. Top analog for CIPS consistently http://www.eas.slu.e...w&dt=2010010306 Top 15 analog mean snow looks a lot like the NAM depiction Very interesting analog and one I thought of right away. Maybe some differences in the overall setup, but quite similar. Hopefully the PV phases with the clipper a little quicker than currently modeled and the storm explodes a little faster giving us an intense comma head event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Out to 54, Euro is more inlinne with the gfs on storm 1.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Euro a little deeper with the ULL, but thrust of moisture is a little farther north. Still brings some snow shwrs into ne mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Euro a little deeper with the ULL, but thrust of moisture is a little farther north. Still brings some snow shwrs into ne mass. and into parts of nrn orh county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Thread needs a clown map. As we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Euro a little deeper with the ULL, but thrust of moisture is a little farther north. Still brings some snow shwrs into ne mass. I'll settle for my first flakes of the season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Subtlties in recent PNA and NAO modalities hinting at more important, perhaps large domain affecting event for eastern N/A toward mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Let's see how many negative and downer posts we're going to get over the next hour from the usual fools Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 As we thought I would be happy with what that map shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 Basically nothing on the op Euro... as we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 We have one..who's next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 We have one..who's next? You're taking the NAM over the GFS and Euro? The Euro doesn't have a drop of QPF in Boston or KTOL through Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 You're taking the NAM over the GFS and Euro? The Euro doesn't have a drop of QPF in Boston or KTOL through Tuesday. March will be rockin' though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Let's see how many negative and downer posts we're going to get over the next hour from the usual fools Observational reality based pessimism vs wishcasting FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 You're taking the NAM over the GFS and Euro? The Euro doesn't have a drop of QPF in Boston or KTOL through Tuesday. I'm not picking any model. I'm basing it on what should happen with an ULL nearby. Who cares how much qpf the models have ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Congrats Moncton......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I get snow flurries at 102 hours per Euro. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I'm not picking any model. I'm basing it on what should happen with an ULL nearby. Who cares how much qpf the models have ? Ooooh, I get it. You're taking a climatological approach! So sensible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 I'm not picking any model. I'm basing it on what should happen with an ULL nearby. Who cares how much qpf the models have ? LOL yes a closed low parked over us is so conducive for 3-6" of snow here. Should be great for Caribou! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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