lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I figured like the Thanksgiving weekend lake effect thread I'd start one for the upcoming event starting tomorrow so we can have an easier time if we want to look back at this event.... Lake effect snow watch is posted for NORTHERN ERIE,GENESEE,WYOMING,CHAUTAUQUA,CATTARAUGUS, SOUTHERN ERIE. NWS BUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1141 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010 NYZ010>012-019-020-085-010045- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.101201T2100Z-101203T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1141 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS: THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK INCLUDING ERIE...GENESEE...WYOMING... CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. * TIMING: LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO EXACTLY WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST THE LONGEST. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS MOST LIKELY FROM THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS AND SOUTHERN GENESEE COUNTY SOUTHWARD ACROSS SKI COUNTRY. IF THE FORECAST WIND DIRECTION CHANGES JUST SLIGHTLY...THE HEAVIER SNOW MAY MOVE NORTH TOWARDS THE HEART OF THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND BATAVIA OR FARTHER SOUTH INTO CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED ONE FOOT WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. * IMPACTS: HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ HITCHCOCK/RSH My call (not final) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Things are looking good for Thursday and Friday....and if we keep our fingers crossed...we could see quite a bit of LES next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Looks like at the moment we'll be bystanders here once again. Time to move 30 miles north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Not to steal the thunder of the upcoming WSW flow event...which does look very significant for the BUF south towns and probably the northern Tug Hill...but there is some indication that we may see an intense single band on a 290-300 flow downwind of Lake Ontario Friday night into Saturday, which may allow some of you in the SYR-RME corridor to start getting in on the fun. And the flow looks to remain WNW/NW well into next week. Fun times ahead for many in LES country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I'm in southern oswego county near Onondaga county line so I hope to see some LES this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Not to steal the thunder of the upcoming WSW flow event...which does look very significant for the BUF south towns and probably the northern Tug Hill...but there is some indication that we may see an intense single band on a 290-300 flow downwind of Lake Ontario Friday night into Saturday, which may allow some of you in the SYR-RME corridor to start getting in on the fun. And the flow looks to remain WNW/NW well into next week. Fun times ahead for many in LES country. Any chance of a guesstimate map? or to soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 My map for Ontario. This is only for Wednesday through Friday , this does not include the possible 290-300 degree band that may set up Friday Night/Sat or next weeks WNW/NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 My map for Ontario. This is only for Wednesday through Friday , this does not include the possible 290-300 degree band that may set up Friday Night/Sat or next weeks WNW/NW flow. Might as well keep raining for me, lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Might as well keep raining for me, lmao Lol I think youll be too far south for this event but I think if a band sets up Fri Night Sat, you could be near the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Looks like at the moment we'll be bystanders here once again. Time to move 30 miles north You might see some Fri....As well as some next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Lol I think youll be too far south for this event but I think if a band sets up Fri Night Sat, you could be near the jackpot. I will keep my fingers crossed. Thanks for the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Any chance of a guesstimate map? or to soon? Definitely too soon for a Friday night/Saturday event. I may have time to create a map for the Wednesday/Thursday event this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 I will keep my fingers crossed. Thanks for the map. Welcome!Check this out.... This is the forecast for my area (West Seneca/OP border) from the NWS BUF. Wednesday: Rain before 3pm, then snow. Temperature falling to around 35 by 5pm. West wind between 15 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Wednesday Night: Snow. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 29. West wind around 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Thursday: Snow. Some thunder is also possible. High near 34. West wind between 13 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I'll pop a map out for the end of week LES (starting tomorrow evening) later tonight... Teaser alert: Big totals for someone.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I'll pop a map out for the end of week LES (starting tomorrow evening) later tonight... Teaser alert: Big totals for someone.... Nice! give me 4 hours of it and I would be a happy man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 I wanna see these things by the time this events over =] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 You might see some Fri....As well as some next week Really? Some and Might are the keyword there, right? I'm going home now to do a snowdance. Andyace, wanna join in? ((Patiently waiting for LakeEffectKing's map)) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Love seeing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Really? Some and Might are the keyword there, right? I'm going home now to do a snowdance. Andyace, wanna join in? ((Patiently waiting for LakeEffectKing's map)) It sure seems that over the last 5 years it is painstaking to get things started around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 I made this using photoshop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I made this using photoshop. ur out of control, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Thats what I like to see =] Lake effect snow with some rumbles of thunder possible. Additional accumulation 4 to 8 inches in the most persistent snows. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 20 mph... becoming southwest. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 ur out of control, lol Hey I'm sick as hell and bored , what else do you want me to do? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 It sure seems that over the last 5 years it is painstaking to get things started around here. You've probably made out better than me. I remember coming home from Florida on 1/4/10 and got to use my snowblower for the first time in the season. Lewis County has gotten into the act now too: .. Lake effect snow watch in effect from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a lake effect snow watch... which is in effect from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening. * Locations: Jefferson and Lewis counties. The heaviest snow is expected in central and southern Jefferson County and northern Lewis County. * Timing: lake effect snow is expected to develop Wednesday evening and continue through Thursday evening. * Snow accumulations: may exceed one foot where the lake effect snow persists the longest. * Impacts: heavy lake effect snow may produce difficult travel conditions with snow covered roads and poor visibility. * Forecaster confidence: there remains some uncertainty as to the exact placement of lake effect snow. A small change in wind direction may Carry Lake effect snow farther north into northern Jefferson County or farther south across the Tug Hill plateau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 LEK, I'm heading up to Redfield to spend some quality time with my daughter and check on the camp. Plans are up in the air, but I am thinking about getting up there by about lunch time on Thursday. Based on what I am seeing with the LES potential, it looks like Thursday night - Friday morning may be the best setup for Redfield. Do you agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 LEK, I'm heading up to Redfield to spend some quality time with my daughter and check on the camp. Plans are up in the air, but I am thinking about getting up there by about lunch time on Thursday. Based on what I am seeing with the LES potential, it looks like Thursday night - Friday morning may be the best setup for Redfield. Do you agree? Yep, and was busy making you a .gif just for you while you were posting!! Below are my thoughts on the placement of the main bands in 6 hour animated form ....I'll comment more later and post a "still in progress" total map (thru Fri 12z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Great map! Look forward to seeing that total map. Yep, and was busy making you a .gif just for you while you were posting!! Below are my thoughts on the placement of the main bands in 6 hour animated form ....I'll comment more later and post a "still in progress" total map (thru Fri 12z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I slowed down the animation...(looked too fast!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Yep, and was busy making you a .gif just for you while you were posting!! Below are my thoughts on the placement of the main bands in 6 hour animated form ....I'll comment more later and post a "still in progress" total map (thru Fri 12z) so you think the band may impact the metro area for a while on wed-Thursday period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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