72" at this location in 13/14, well above normal, but March sucked (2"), only a quarter inch in Novie, and Jan below average. But Feb was pretty great.
Several rounds of convective showers along 495 and the pike this afternoon. Temps were close to 50 though so no dice on mangled flakes. Low 40s I think we could have pulled it off.
Gorgeous day on the Cape beforehand. Mid Novie is a great time to be there.
Our 1 minute update radar data has a ton of potential for training ML models. Have hundreds of terabytes of it. Starting to look into it now.
Recently had a paper accepted that uses a non ML approach, run in parallel with parameterizations tweaked to produce an ensemble nowcast and converted to gridded risk for stochastic routing purposes. Every minute produces an updated grid of risk for every minute from 1-20 mins. (About 2 mins latent) But a single ML based deterministic nowcast would still be better it if were accurate.
I'd like them to work more on their nowcasting. Some results are promising but it still has a quite ways to go. The benefits if they could quickly generate a highly accurate 20-30 minute nowcast would be immense. AI based methods *might* be able to pick up on convective initiation even without true data assimilation. Non AI nowcasts cannot. But AFAIK non AI methods are still outperforming AI methods right now.
Let's get that cold to drop in a little faster on the euro for next weekend... I'll be on the cape... hybrid tropical system is getting a tug back to the west that run
We could be hucking cliffs and steep trees and ice waterfalls all day but never declare victory until after we navigate the stairs to the lodge and the trek across the parking lot.
I've seen a Marten, all white, from the chairlift at Sugarbush. Moving right across the trail in full view. I didn't even realize the rarity of such til just now.
Big southerly flow and high dews and rain are what takes out man made this time of year. A couple hours of 50s or even 60s on low sun angle is of negligible effect on your typical early season trail offerings. The bigger issue is the pause in expansion.
At a distance you might think the abundant pines around Quabbin were badly affected by a fungus, because the tops are so brown. On closer inspection they're just loaded with cones.