Snow dog

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

GFS now in alignment with other models showing virtually no rain (<.25) over the next 10 days. 

Man-sorry you guys have missed the rain.  Us update SC folks have been hammered lately.  Lake Hartwell currently 2' over full lake level, after being down almost 8' in early December..

Here is a novel  idea….if you don’t want to read/hear about, stay off the board.  Good grief, the guy is just discussing what he sees, and what the models might be showing.  This whole nonsense of ‘rooting for cold weather’ is utterly ridiculous.  Guess what, the weather is going to do what it’s going to do, regardless of what we ‘root’ for.

I’m headed to Whistler for some skiing in 2 weeks.  It’s been bad there most of the season, until now!  At least I’ll see snow this year, just hate I have to go to Canada to see it. 
 

48 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Foothills, whatever you want to call them 

We NEVER do well in upslope events.  I've lived in Greenville all my 53 years, and the snow from those type setups always seem to stop at the  Cashiers/Highlands area.  Moisture cant ever make it over those mountains..

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

That’s hilarious. I cannot believe the highlands couldn’t even buy a rogue snow shower dusting during one of the many upslope events NC has gotten 

Highlands?  That's in NC, although there is the very thin strip of Mts in Greenville, Pickens, and Oconee counties...

Here’s how bad it’s been for the SC folks…

https://wyff4.com/article/south-carolina-only-state-no-snow/46860399

4 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Fwiw hot off the press this is the average of the last 12 CFS 4 member ens runs for 2/22-2/29: this follows a mainly pretty mild first half of Feb; then sustained significantly colder first comes in near midmonth and intensifies; strong +PNA and -AO 2nd half of Feb; also a weak -NAO 

We're late in the 4th quarter by then, at least in the upstate of SC...

Just keep it out of the Southeast as long as we can!  Its hot enough here now..

49 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

GFS has mid 80s for next Friday in C and ENC

Sweet!  Ready to get my boat out on the water!  Gotta find the good in every season!

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

Charlotte with the sweet spot lol..

6 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

The NAM needs to continue to shift east about 100 miles.

Not for the NE Georgia folks...

1 minute ago, PantherJustin said:

glad its the euro and not the gfs.... if its here Monday i will be all in 

 

Agreed.  Thinking back to the pre-Christmas threat, when GFS and others were showing action in the SE, but the Euro never caved, and proved to be right.  So thinking/hoping its gonna lead the way this time..

Not bad for Upstate SC folks either!

4 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Well, no matter what happens with the snow, coldest Xmas in a long time seems to be a lock.

You seem to forget 2020.  High Christmas day was 30 here in Greenville..

16 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

GEFS looks slightly improved from last night. EURO is out to lunch and still seems to be handling the energy out west poorly and the op remains at odds with the EPS. Need that western ridge a little further east. GEFS looks pretty dang good for snow chances. It’s really that western energy and making sure it rounds the ridge and doesn’t over amplify in the Mississippi valley that could be the wrench thrown in this. GFS is super suppressed but I’ll take that look all day at range. Hopefully by the weekend we have a good idea of how the western energy will evolve

'EURO is out to lunch and still seems to be handling the energy out west poorly'

Why do we always say this when one model doesn't show what is 'wanted'.  Maybe the EURO is handling the energy correctly..

24 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 It has been dry down here, too. For me, this dryness has been the proverbial double edged sword. I've been absolutely loving the good number of days with low dewpoints this spring for comfortable outdoor activities in advance of the almost guaranteed long summer doldrums of heat and humidity. Late last evening was the latest opportunity taken advantage of with a walk in the mid to upper 60s and dewpoints near 50 resulting in no sweating. But on the negative side, soils are dry due to rainfall being only near 50% of normal since 12/1/21 (40% of normal this month) thus necessitating irrigation of the grass just to keep it in halfway decent shape. (Temperatures this meteorological spring have averaged a hair warmer than normal.)

And to add to this, looks like the long range has 90s here in the upstate.  That'll further dry up the ground, and I'm fearful that we might be looking at a dry, hot summer.  Hope I'm wrong..

15 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

 

Just keep it cold & snowy in Utah when I'm there next month!  

58 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I’ll trade about 20 of my 90+ degree days for some 70’s with someone. Anyone? 

Yeah, but living in a climate that rarely gets above 70 means you live in the upper mid west.  I'll pass!..

24 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:

Yea I gotta agree…. Im

NEVER that guy, but it’s about that time lol I hate any heat….it’s 63 here today and it’s already making me wanna begin my preparation for yet another miserable Carolina Summer. I’d give anything to live in Minneapolis or Somewhere it’s just never above  75 I’ve lived here 30 yrs and hate every minute from March-October lmao 

Good Lord man, I wouldn't trade Carolina weather with ANYONE!  And I've lived here all 51 years of my life..

55 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

I'm ready for spring now. With the jet so strong, looks like a blockbuster severe spring is on tap. 

...and i hope the West gets winter in Feb into March.  Going to P City for Spring break, and the last month has been terrible for snow there..

For upstate folks, Greenville especially, its been a GREAT winter, biggest snowfall in years, and  pretty consistently cold the whole month of January.  I have to give it an 'A'.

I wouldn't mind spring at this point...

1 minute ago, olafminesaw said:

Jan 16th part 2 (but with a better track)

Push that low just off the coast about 75 miles and the upstate folks would be very happy!

We also need to remember that what's not good for MBY, might now be the case for someone else's.  

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

3K NAM is even worse. 

That map tells me I need to go to Wolf Ridge ski resort tonight to  see the 4-6"...

IMO, collage football has the OT correct.  To make going last fair, each team switches turns going first.,.