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Everything posted by Ellinwood
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Mid-Atlantic Snow forecast For December 21-23 (Initial)
Ellinwood posted a blog entry in Ellinwood's Weather Blog
Since my forecast maps cover parts or all of several different sub-forums in the eastern US, I've decided to just post my snowfall forecasts on this blog to get more exposure without having to spam all of the different sub-forums with my forecast. For those of you who don't know, my main focus with snow forecasting is centered around the Mid-Atlantic. The geographical location does not regularly change from storm to storm, and neither do my snowfall contours. You can interpolate snowfall totals within the contours (for example, the outer edge of the 2-4" contour is for 2", and in most cases the center of the 2-4" contour is closer to 3-4"). I usually try to issue an initial map and one updated (final) map, though sometimes I like to throw in an a second update. Other times, I might only issue one forecast near the start of the event. No updates are issued once the snow starts to accumulate within the forecast region (except in rare cases when the accumulation starts just before I get home from work). ----- Most if not all of the snow with this disturbance will accumulate well behind the cold front, with lake-effect snow bringing some respectable totals to western PA and WV. Most of the snow will fall Friday morning through Saturday afternoon. Low-level temperatures will limit accumulations across central and eastern PA. South and east of the 1" line could see snow in the air Friday, with little to no accumulation expected. -
Temperature anomalies July 6, 2011 through July 5, 2012: That's just nuts... not just for our region, but for North America.
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April 2012: Extreme boredom.
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I do not.
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Soundings, available moisture, dynamics and jet streaks are the most important things to look at... I'll get something drawn up this weekend but for now it's chase day!
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Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No prob. I don't know why anyone would waste their time and money getting a met. degree if they didn't plan on getting a job within the field. I think vortmax112 nailed it. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It has been brought up... more than once... including in this thread. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks for pulling the data! It was also interesting (though unsurprising) to note that in Atmos. Sci. and Meteorology, the number of males to females is 4:1. The only physical science with a bigger ratio is physics, which is 82% male. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Neither the article nor the link to the data in the article specify whether the employment is within the actual field of study or not... I would venture a guess that it applies to any employment and not just within the field. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
Ellinwood replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Chasers caught the beginning of the tornado: WARNING: NSFW language -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
Ellinwood replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This. I haven't seen anything indicative of an EF-5 yet... should be able to get some quick shots in this morning before the next storm rolls through. -
Can we get this OP in the Mid-Atlantic? We desperately need it Great set of rules, and from what I hear/see you have been using it well. If only I was still in Raleigh...
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Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No love for the UAlbs? -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Double-check the course requirements to do an Atmos/Comp Sci double major... not sure about Lyndon State, but in SUNY Albany I was a year in before I decided to try the same thing... would have had to stay in school for 4.5-5 years to accomplish the double-major at that point. As it is, I had to take a Comp Sci class in the summer to make up for the time I lost by not doing Comp Sci freshman year. If you do want to go into the world of broadcast, I would suggest taking at least one broadcast/journalism class that works on vocal training and composure for when you're in front of the camera. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Indeed. Avoid Kean at all costs! -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
inb4lock This thread... had it's moments. Unfortunately, it has crashed, burned, the fire has gone out, and plants have started to grow over the ruins. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Like Isohume said... wow. I'm starting to really question Kean at a B.S. in Atmos. program, as its major requirements seem lax compared to the other colleges I went to and looked at. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I just went for the one semester of grad school before I got a job But yeah it's a pretty good school for undergrads and grads alike, and it's great for most kinds of meteorology. As for all of the people who say "I like it as a hobby and I'm glad it's not my job" ... I laugh. If you love meteorology and forecasting it will never get tiring. I was able to get something very close to my dream job (I need to do more severe weather forecasting! ) from an entry level position! Even if I was getting paid horribly, I wouldn't care because I love my job and it doesn't really feel like work at all. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, the paid positions at SUNY Albany went from 12 down to 6 for fall 2009. Don't know what it was this year. 3.5 should be more than enough. I applied to four schools in total (NC State, SUNY Albany, Penn State and Univerisity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) and only got accepted to NC State (without funding no less!). It was a tough year for met majors. Thanks for sharing the info, catocin. Networking does help a lot as well if you can talk to the right people -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The grad classes can be easier or harder, depending on what kind of study habits and mental retention you have. Most of it is old stuff rehashed and more deeply investigated. The classes you take can also make a big difference, which are tailored to which part of meteorology you want to concentrate in. What kind of GPA got you into your grad. program, if you don't mind me asking? I only ask because I had a 3.31 GPA (and something like 28 or 29 GRE), and I struggled getting into grad school. Of course, part of it was the fact that last year was one of the hardest years to try to get into grad school. When I applied in fall 2009, most colleges had cut back on the number of paid graduates. For instance, SUNY Albany cut their incoming RA/TA positions in half, and I was 2nd in line on the waiting list, so I got screwed over there Any other year before that and I would have gotten in. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I also have to LOL at all of the C/D grade discussion going on... I would have abandoned ship if I was getting those kind of grades in calc. The last two years of your met degree involves quite a few advanced calc-based atmos courses, so you'd better know how to do it! Sure, you use very little of it (if any at all) once you're out forecasting, but that doesn't mean you're allowed to walk away with Cs and Ds in core classes and expect to be favored in the job market. EDIT: Also, it CERTAINLY won't fly if you go on to grad school (if you can even get in with those grades). Most colleges require that you maintain a B average in your graduate courses... at least in atmos. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There is a LOT more to private forecasting other than just predicting the temperature and precipitation, etc. weather elements out to 7-10 days. There's a lot of value in extended range forecasting, as well as client-specific forecasts that are tailored to their needs, whether it be power, trading, production, risk and safely, agricultural or anything else that the clients need a weather forecast for (both nationally and globally). Imagine if the thousands of companies that receive specific discussions and get daily client calls all decided to call the NWS for more information. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I had that link but the one I bookmarked is broken now I'm sure a quick search on PSU or Google would yield the correct page. -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Out of the 9 people who graduated with me with a B.S. in Atmos. Sci., two of us have full-time jobs and one has a part-time job, all as forecasters. Two of the atmos. people that went the B.A. route (out of about 6-8) have broadcast met jobs. The rest of the B.S. graduates are all in graduate school or just finished. And this was the group that graduated in one of the worst times to get into the real world in recent history. I'm sure it's different at other schools, but that's what happened at SUNY Albany. I did start looking in March, so it took about 10 months in total. Virtually no one was hiring entry level from March-June. I took a job-hunt hiatus for the most part in August-September, but then the job market started to open back up in October so I went for it and got in. I stopped applying to the NWS in June... I'd like to think I saved myself a bit of time trying (EDIT: Though it is suggested that you DO keep trying!) If you really want to look into what kinds of private sector jobs are being offered, http://www.nwas.org/jobs.php is a really good place to start. (EDIT: It looks like that will be going to a paid service in January, so get your looking in now!) Another good site is the AMS jobs page: http://careercenter.ametsoc.org/c/search_results.cfm -
Reconsider majoring in meteorology!
Ellinwood replied to stormguy80's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
FWIW to those who are looking... I got a full-time entry level position last in Feb. 2010. I graduated with a B.S. in Atmospheric Science and minors in Math and Comp. Sci. in May 2009, and I spent one semester of graduate school in Fall 2009. I had the summer internship with the NWS, a summer research job in meteorology amongst a few other things. Having good communication skills is also very important in this industry. Before I got this job, I had had interviews with 4 other companies and could have had one with a 6th interview with another company, and all of those took place between October and January. Get good grades, diversify yourself, and get as much experience as you can.