hudsonvalley21

Interesting that they have a recon sampling in the open waters.

Funny how it’s showing rain on the backside

Borrowed from the New England thread,

Thanks Don

Nice write up. It will be interesting when the short range models such as the HRRR and HRDPS are in range.

Don, does it have estimates for other locations inland such as KSWF?

And a general 2-3” of QPF thru 274 hours. And as we know this will flip flop like a fish out of water for the next runs. Some better sampling in the next few days will get a better read.

Same here. Also heard that the speed was reduced on the Newburgh-Beacon bridge and it was treated for icy conditions.

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.3 2.1 1.6 1.1 -0.4

1.26” was the total in the Davis for the event. A dusting of ice pellets this morning here. I see that up on Storm king at 700-1000’ it was snow covered. Not sure what was actually accumulated tho.

34 here with just plain light rain. Had a mixed bag about an hour ago during the heavier precipitation at 125’ of elevation. 1.01” in the Davis so far in precipitation.

34 here with just plain light rain. Had a mixed bag about an hour ago during the heavier precipitation at 125’ of elevation. 1.01” in the Davis so far in precipitation.

18z NAM held ground from the 12z run

I feel the same way. I’d be happy seeing white rain. The 12z NAM kicked up it’s totals. I’d wait a few more runs maybe by 18z tomorrow we’ll see how things are trending.

Thanks Walt for the heads up. OKX mentions the possibility of the wintery mix for us folks inland in their AFD. A section of Upton’s is below. Thermal profiles look just warm enough such that anything that falls Tuesday morning is probably rain. After some wet-bulbing, precip type gets tricky starting in the afternoon in addition to an elevated warm layer pushing in from the SW. Further complicating the forecast is a period of potential low level cold advection over the eastern zones during the night as the stationary front sags south and winds flip NE to E. Won`t go into details, but currently have chances of freezing rain, sleet and snow for inland areas. Rain elsewhere

Maybe NWS can create a new advisory for those snowbirds down there.

14 here currently. Point and click forecast here is for low of 17.

2.5” here. The low got going too late to throw back additional moisture. The radar this afternoon almost looked like we got dry slotted. Mostly all snow up this way. Currently 23/12 edit: dropped off to 19/9 in the last hour.

Just starting here. 25/14.

That’s colder than Mt. Washingtons low temperature.

There is some information and photos of calls on this Facebook account for Orange and Rockland fire.

2.53” in the Davis. Draining the pool again. No damage or power loss last night. I’m sure there are some not as lucky as me.

2.12” as of 11:00 pm