SouthCoastMA

59 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I'm still upset about last draft 

For some reason I'm aware that you made a really dumb move last year, and I'm not even in your league. I just can't recall the nature of the stupidity

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

6z gfs is laughable. Gotta just tip our caps to mother nature’s ability to keep constant pressure on our throats. 

Wake me up near Vday. All ensembles showing a decent PNA and troughiness in the east, but you know the drill. 

15 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I'd love to trade hoods lol.

Looks like you're getting some decent OE this morning

Don't get me wrong. Enjoying the wintery appeal of the day. I'll take it since it's all we got

1 minute ago, George001 said:

What good is average snowfall if it all just melts away? My 6 inches I got from the early Jan storm just melted away a few days later. I care about things like snowpack and winter feeling like winter (cold temps) just as much as the total seasonal snowfall. I would go as far as saying I prefer a 40 inch snowfall winter with -3 avg max temp than a 50 inch snowfall winter with +2 avg max temp.

It can still feel like winter if it's +2°..it depends on how it's distributed throughout the winter. Like if you get 20 days of AOB normal temps with good snow events thrown in..but the last 10 days of a month torch to get you to +2°..who cares

Or if nighttime lows are the reason you're +°2..but days run near normal. I just think you're dying on a weird hill. 

Today is very reminiscent of what went wrong last year. steady snow all day but only a dusting to show for. tapping into a very mediocre cold source

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

The biggest issue with the prospects of this becoming an acceptable winter isn’t the snow, it’s the temps. I do not think it’s unrealistic that we get lucky and get a big storm in Feb or Mar to bring the snowfall totals near the coast to slightly below average or average, but let’s say exactly that happens and we get average temps the rest of the winter in Boston. Even if Boston gets the average temp snowy 2nd half it’s looking for (let’s say 35 inches of snow in Feb-Mar with normal temps), that would bring Boston to climo for snowfall, but the average max temp would be +2. That is still quite a bad winter. 

Meh...Who cares if it's +2° if you're getting normal to above normal snowfall. I guarantee you're on a very small island with that take.

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nothing has gone right. Nothing.

Somehow worse than last year and that's hard to do. At least last year I had some snow on Christmas Eve/Christmas Day. So far this is a King Ratter

Whatever chance Saturday had has continued to trend in the wrong direction. I guess George is not getting his met degree after all.  We're on to mid Feb 

Actually coming down at a decent rate now..still 33° but starting to accumulate a little on grassy surfaces 

Some non-accumulating OE snow snowers moving through, with temp at 34.0°

Cat paws mixing in now. congrats me 

Didn't think I would challenge last years putrid seasonal total..but here we are. 

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Ray is melting over February already and I haven’t even had a chance to pin it yet.

It's been slowly building up in the face of adversity. I score the melt a solid A-

6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

c'mon bro, it's D10, we all know that will not be the final outcome. Let's see what it looks like in a few days, ok??

Winterwolf stole your keyboard

HRRR has it snowing in CT as of 7am, so precip maps don't reflect reality. Perhaps that area gets 'isothermal' at 0°C in next couple of hours 

33/31 here

I think 1-3" is a good range for the coast. leaning closer to 1" for mby

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

How is this euro thump snow in CT?

 

 

 

 

maybe not euro but some of the other hi res are showing some thumpage sometime between 14z-19z

I didn't expect 18z to amp up the front end thump down to the coast.. figured we were way to warm but maybe the rates are helping. 18z HERPES was decent

yes I know, "Don't do it'

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The 1/7 storm a few weeks ago wasn’t a warning event for you there?  I know it snowed at the end for you guys there…but it didn’t reach warning criteria?  
 

We managed to squeak out a warning here in that one. 

I think Taunton had 4 or 5, so advisory.

.5" here 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just how we would draw it up except…

wow, she's even more hideous than I thought. look away

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just end ‘winter’ right now if the euro verifies. The final nail…

how much for Philly

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Ha, way to go euro!  I just glanced quickly at the 24 hr increments on TT.  Awesome storm with no cold air, lol.

Yeah it's way west, but I'd rather see some wide goal posts at this range than all runs having it over New Brunswick.

It's also the OP so I highly doubt that run won't be an outlier in the ensembles. 

OP Euro is much further west with that ULL @ Day 7, compared to CMC/GFS

Not that it has any sort of clue, but you're kinda looking for what the NAVGEM shows at that time

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro is thumpy in CT but man, that’s so close on the thermals. Could legit see 4” of wet cement or rain/white rain from that. 

Anything notable on the backend Monday, or just wintry appeal type stuff on the Euro?