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olafminesaw

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Posts posted by olafminesaw

  1. 21 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

    Yuck, talk about lack of saturation through the column. Definitely going to struggle on the outside edge of this. Very cold dry air 

    Almost reminds me of lake effect snow showers in Pittsburgh. At least you can get decent squalls with that, but it amazes me how any given January day, there's a high chance of seeing light snow showers. Kinda takes the fun out snow.

  2. 7 minutes ago, msuwx said:

    The Charlotte metro and surrounding area is an incredibly difficult call as it all hinges on a very subtle (in the overall scheme of the atmosphere) NW expansion of the back edge of the snow shield. I mean these are very small differences when looking at the atmosphere as a whole, but the result has been very wild swings in possible snow totals in that part of the region, even just over the course of the 0z and 6z runs. 

    6z vs. 0z Euro:

    154431901_ECMWF_WeatherBellMaps(1).thumb.png.82193007c48d05120838625b8d61a769.png

    It's going to be painful for those on the N and W fringes watching the precip run into a wall of dry air for hours and hours

    • Like 3
  3. Just now, calculus1 said:

    Yeah, really like where the NAM is going at the end of the run.  But, I can decide if that’s a good or bad thing, because it’s the 84-hour NAM.  Virtually no wintry precipitation for anyone with the stalled out front unless you are on the immediate coastline.  But, it gets cranking near the end and possibilities abound…

    Yeah, I feel like the hr 84 NAM tends to be like... "Hey look! A storm!", When sometimes suppression makes more sense

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