Iceagewhereartthou

Gotta be honest, this Monday ice potential for the piedmont feels like Mother Nature is just rubbing it in and is more frustrating than exciting. I suppose seeing a glaze of ice is better than nothing if you like winter weather (which I do) but it's just ridiculous to have all this cold and can't get a drop (while everyone to our south and east gets plastered) then the cold high tails it out AS the first freakin drops start to fall. "Oh, here's a token ice glaze that will amount to nothing and melt in ten minutes, but see, you got you winter storm (while Charleston is still digging out of historic snow)" Gee, thanks Mother Nature, nobody wants your messy ice when it would have been snow any day this week! Except I do because I like winter weather, but I don't because it's nickel and dime and I want SNOW! I'm sick, I need some help; anybody?

Ok, that really is sad and I hate it for you guys. Gee, why does that look so familiar... oh that's right, that's what I see every time it's supposed to snow here in the upstate. Ours is caused by mtn downslopping, what causes it for you guys?

Interesting, even though it's the GFS and if has performed poorly from this range, that map perfectly mirrors what we've seen with the first two winter storms. Precip max to our west and southwest with storm 1, and precip max to our southeast and east with storm 2. Where's the precip min for both you ask?

GSP not too impressed at this point. Says nuisance event for Monday morning before becoming all rain by midday when bulk of precip arrives. Needs to come in a day earlier when it's still cold, but of course it won't. I guess I have to move the CHS now to see snow... The current forecast has highs still only in the 30s with temps allowed to drop into the 20s Sunday evening. Looking at the partial thickness p-type nomograms for the three medium range models, there is decent agreement on any precip developing overnight being a mixed bag of snow, sleet and freezing rain across anywhere it reaches the ground in the CWFA. With PoPs ramping up overnight, I expect at least a nuisance ice/light snow event. At this point, it looks like WAA should gradually transition p-types to all rain by midday Monday (at the time of heaviest precip rates). With that said, using consensus temps and timing of PoPs, I do get some likely wintry p-type with light accums before daybreak Monday. This is especially a concern for the mountains. I will plan to add a mention of winter weather possible for Monday in the HWO.

Thanks, don't really have access to all that now. Well that stinks out loud, not much fun about ice. Give me snow or give me nothing but cold! (CHS can get inches of snow and we can't )

But ice instead of snow? What are 850s, 925s looking like?

THIS looks like someone is either getting truly NAM`ed or they are going to get buried! Heck, the other image shows six plus for CHS!

I assume you mean Greenville, SC ( yeah, THAT Greenville)? Na, no more snow for us. Next system will be just rain, Mtns will get buried again. There's no conceivable set up that will ever yield snow here again. Everybody else , even in Florida, but not us.

How about winning one for the Gipper!

Wow, I forgot it was modeled to be that big. Both have getting about 20 inches! I got 3.

SC. Almost as much fun to see Clemmy lose as to see SC win!

I might just throw a party to celebrate this one! Been a great game so far, need to finish em off!

Yet Raleigh still gets more than the upstate

Great last 20 minutes by the Gamecocks, Tide Rolling; good football day!

If another Carolina Crusher happens I'll certainly be crushed!

Times 999,999,999,999,999...!!!!

"Now I, now I know I wish would snow down, down on me Oooooh... yes I wish would snow, snow down on me now..."

"Don't your feet get cold in the Wintertime The sky won't snow and the sun won't shine It's hard to tell the nighttime from the day Losin` all your highs and lows Ain't it funny how the feelin` goes away..."

Well best of luck to all the coastal peeps, to be sure, they don't get a lot of chances, especially below Wilmington. Gotta say though, it will be tough to swallow, for us piedmont peeps, to get skipped on two storms so far. Many to my West and SW got the big one last time and many to my East and SE May get this one. I know there is a lot of winter left but we won't be cold forever and the piedmont would like some snow too please... ...ok, Mother Nature?

This is about where I am honestly, except I got min from that snow. The models have been so wrong with all those systems its is indeed frustrating. I am slowly coming to terms that there will be no snow with the current pattern. The one good thing is the cold. If it's not going to snow, at least give me some cold so it can feel like winter! I get sick of all the 60s and 70s we've been having the last couple winters, at least now I can actually wear a jacket. I don't get all the people wanting to wear shorts the whole winter then complaining because it won't snow. Only problem with the cold is GSP is either not impressed, their being conservative, or its looking pretty "meh". They've raised my temps several degrees for next week since yesterday. Looking at highs in upper 30s to low 40s, lows upper teens to low 20s. Not bad, below normal, but nothing to write home about.

This is exactly why I hated getting the short end of the December snow. We only get a few legitimate shots regardless if it's solar winter or not. While I think we'll get a couple more shots after the upcoming pattern change, that could ironically have been our best shot this winter.

CJ from WYFF just jumped ship for Friday system, it takes a lot for him to jump. I'm still not ready to call that one till tomorrow evening though, already we're seeing some correction NW on some models. However, we are quickly losing out on this colder pattern of opportunity. At one time there were pretty good signals for a Christmas system; kaput! Weak signal for 27th; no dice. Big consensus for 29th; sun is setting. Big dog for New year's; fat lady on stage. We could very soon be a quick 0-4 and running out of cold!

I was just looking at that, 2.1 inches on the 12th, will soon be 4 years. That's hard to believe even for CAE. It either has to be a perfect or a freaky setup for you guys. You also got 2.1 that January so 4.2 that year, but that is it going back to Dec 2012 ; 5 years. So an average of .84 per year For comparison, GSP has only had 20.6 during that time frame, or just 4.12 per year, so we're not knocking it out of the park either. Been a rough go in the state for sure.

I haven't seen snow in awhile, think it's just the proverbial 33 and rain, May not even be sleet anymore. Oh well maybe a half inch of mess here at my place, better than nothing!

Pretty map but so far we have some major problems in the upstate. Temps are basically steady in mid 40s and we have a flaming 925 level. Add to that the bulk coming through in the middle of the daytime and we don't have a good recipe. And don't forget, western upstate NEGA are always the last ones to benefit from CAA coming over the mtns, there's a reason all the models are showing that minimum there.