SmokeEater
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Posts posted by SmokeEater
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That was 100% down in the middle of the woods, obvious TDS with it for multiple scans at very low altitude too. May have been on Joint Base property, prolly will never be found though.TOR over in Jersey. KYW EAS'd and they cut over to NBC10.
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TOG on the Burlington/Ocean County line. Debris ball and TDS multiple scans.
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It's 100% down, in the middle of the woods too, prolly lofting trees.TOR in NJ...looks decent too. Add another to their list this year?
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Over the next 1-2 hours, additional storms are expected to form from the Delmarva across far eastern PA and into NJ, as lift increases. Some storms may become supercells, and the tornado risk will also increase through early evening coincident with strengthening low-level shear and cooling aloft. Any increase in dewpoints will also increase the probability of a tornado.
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They have issued special outlooks before for upgrades or corrections.I'm watching this from afar in NH. I can not remember the last "high" risk. 2 questions. The next convective outlook would come out in 6 hours, right? My second questions is do they ever change convective outlooks with any special outlooks? I know the discussions come out more often.
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Probably strongest wording I've ever seen that isn't a high risk.This is the strongest wording I’ve seen in an SPC outlook in a long time. They’re always mindful of their wording and it’s very notable that they not only use the word “violent” to describe the tornado threat; but that strong/violent tornadoes are “probable.”
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Controlled burn season, at least in NJ. Most of SJ is hazed out from a couple of them today.Been hazy for a while, but today might be the biggest aggressor so far. What’s with the eternal inversion lately?
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Cason, TX was just hit, debris sig over town.
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Tornado Emergency for Idabel, OK.
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Big wedge with the centermost tornado.
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Warning for Chicago itself now. Wrapping up.
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PDS watch out, 90/80 tor probs.
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Numerous collapses in that area, scanner going nuts. Also a pic of the supercell, insane structure.Took kids and pets to the basement but didn’t experience much here thankfully. I’m very worried about the Wentworth area.
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Structure collapses reported in the area now.Worried about Rockingham County…
EDIT: PDS warning now, this is looking really bad
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Multiple reports the tour van was rolled with injuries.
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Lockett took a direct hit, major damage being reported.
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Large stovepipe tornado continues per chaser.
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Several power flashes just east of Lockett.
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TLX is down, bad time for it to happen. Tech is heading that way.
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Extremely audible roar at his location, he's bailing south. Can't see it.
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Very, very large tornado on that, personally know a chaser on it. Just lost visual.Absolutely vicious rotation in the cell just south of Lockett TX, hope it's not a populated area.
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Large tornado just north of Seminole, this is nuts.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2023 OBS Thread
in Philadelphia Region
Posted
Snippet from the latest SPC outlook for our area, most of the subforum is now in 5% tornado risk.
The parameter space should be favorable for severe well after dark, with 40-50 kt effective-shear magnitudes, locally enlarged hodographs with 200-300 J/kg effective SRH, and around 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Convective coverage is uncertain, but all hazards will be possible.
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