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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. I liked that run better than 12z. Storm south falling as she goes 1004 to 994 to 989 to 978 offshore cold air crashes into those storms. I think the GFS at 18z is a move towards the EPS and a move back towards our 8-12" storm shown on gfs a few runs back. The thermals will be taken care of by a developing storm system as she goes. I am interested again.
  2. Totally agree with you. It i the case of split the difference the take away is cold air intrusion from the Euro and I bet in future cycle runs we get a GFS solution a few times of 8-12" of snow.
  3. Well we had 994-997 all over the place down in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and how far north did that get. Looks like we are getting the blocking just the wrong kind LOL and also with no real cold air to boot.
  4. I will keep asking the question? Where is the Cold High up north for the cold air feed? This is a common theme time and time again with few exceptions over the past 5 years or so.
  5. Is that 975 mb?? okay that got real quick drops from 996 mb at Cape Hatteras to 975mb. Would like to see a cold high up north but that storm is strong enough to pull the cold air down and manufacture it's own cold air.
  6. I hear you! In the meantime, be patient. Go shopping for Superbowl snacks, clear the yard of sticks to light a fire and roast marshmallows. It's coming and we track by next weekend!
  7. Yea he comes out before sunrise! Phil didn't see his shadow early spring! Wait it already has been spring! Wait the can kicking is real!
  8. I love it Pineapple Express??? How is this a Pineapple Express when the flow is not coming from Hawaii. Look at the Water Vapor Map. This "Pineapple Express" is used for one thing especially in this case Ratings!! Pennsylvania Water Vapor Satellite Weather Map | AccuWeather
  9. Welcome to April come early! Also when was the last time we had a backdoor cold front in February LOL.
  10. Light wet snow 36.0f humidity 82% dewpoint 30f pressure 29.93 steady wind ENE 7 ground wet. Snow and rain trace.
  11. Hmmm what's that a sign of? (I have been talking about it for years) Cloudy days too probably go through April until about April 20th.
  12. The Philadelphia area is a little off. The yearly snowfall total for 2009-2010 is below as reported at Philadelphia International Airport what's 11.4"? 2009–2010 78.7
  13. Cloudy light rain drizzle fog 41f humidity 99% dewpoint 41f pressure 29.70 steady wind NE 14 mph Total rainfall 0.97" High so far today was 43 probably after midnight last night temps have held steady all day 39-41f. Welcome back to December 2023 for now!
  14. "We just can't know?" ....... I don't think any of this is ironed out until at the earliest Tuesday or Wednesday. Like you said lots of time to go!
  15. 100% agree not too often you have a 993mb-996mb low that far south in Central Gulf to Cape Canaveral I too believe this is probably coming north in time on the GFS all about timing and how the energy ejects out of the southwestern states as it heads across the south.
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