skiier04

1 minute ago, MAG5035 said:

Yea this is a really unique setup, CTP had noted a lot of mixing at the office there in State College. It’s almost like a valley to valley difference.  I briefly had mixing when I made that report at 915am, figured that was going to be it. Then it went back to snow and it resumed piling up. The CC product is starting to close in now, so it won’t be long. I actually am just starting to hear some pings. 

Yeah similar story here... told the wife the snow was done after we went to sleet/rain around 9AM... then it changed back to heavy snow for a while longer... there goes my met credibility 

Wishing I would've made the predawn drive up to Blue Knob now.... was tempting to still try it after I saw they opened the whole mountain but I imagine it's still gonna get pretty wet and nasty up there very soon.

8 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Between 6.5-7” now, heavy rates. 32/32ºF

Wow surprised you're still holding on and impressive totals! Seems like some rain mixing in with some lighter rates here now. But that was a fun one. Heavier snow this morning than I saw anytime on Saturday. Eyeballing about 3" imby

Fun AFD from CTP this morning 

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Yesterday`s signal for a front end snow thump has materialized
with areas from the Laurels through the WC and C Mountains
having seen a quick 2 to 5 inch accumulation this morning.
Dramatic snowfall rates and reflectivities have accompanied
the heavy snow, with some of the largest aggregates I`ve seen
occasionally tripping DP hydrometeor hail classifiction.

The warm air is on the move and messy mix to to sleet and rain
is occurring from south to north, slowest over the Laurel
Highlands and WC Mountains. Here at Innovation Park southeast of
campus, we have repeatedly gone from heavy snow to mixed sleet
and rain and back again several times. Strong forcing will keep
this back and forth transition going through midday, with
additional coatings of high SLR slush across the central and
south. Best additional snow accumulations will be north of I-80
with again a general 2 to 5 inches expected before the warm air
wins by late afternoon.

9:15 AM: 4.3 inches measured at Penn State Altoona and a 5.4"
from our Glencoe observer from this morning`s burst of heavy
snowfall. Transition to sleet and rain occurring central and
south with minimal additional snow accumulations south of I-80,
but we`ll see similar 2 to 4 inch amounts up to parts of McKean
and Potter through the midday hours. No additional updates at
this time.

805 AM: Doubled snow amounts into the central mountains
as 1.5-2" per hour rates are lifting across the area. KCCX
WSR-88D sampling of aggregates bumped hydrometeor classification
into hail, a first that I`ve seen. In the bizarre category, a
large flock of starlings simultaneously flew over our office at
Innovation Park (between State College and UNV). Very possible
that this large biological target was being sampled along with
the heavy snow. A general 2 to 5" range is now being mentioned
for the Winter Weather Advisory, which we`ve expanded to include
Elk, Cameron, Potter, McKean and Clinton Counties

Like that Euro! Precip beginning as snow flurries in State College. Lets get this winter going! 

39 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I lived there from 2004-09 and had a bunch of moderate events, nothing I would really call major. The largest single event was the Valentines Day 2007 snow/sleet event with I think 11". Consistently below average snow, one year 08-09 maybe got above 40". PLENTY of events that split PA down the middle and skipped us over, storms that formed too late or cutters that were sleet events. This looks like the kind of storm that can really dump on them-a track over the Chesapeake Bay into S NJ is essentially textbook for that area. The result is a sloppy mess for my backyard but I'll be thrilled if somehow UNV can pull it off to get above 20". Yes it's really been since 1994 that it's happened. The area is known for nickle/dime events that can add up but often to below season average. Further east/north often get in on the big nor'easters. 3/14/17 if I recall was a very nice event in State College but not like Binghamton/Scranton area. I drove through much of PA in the wake of that and definitely remember a huge max in NE PA that petered out a little to the west. 

Great to still see you posting! I remember many of your posts from EUSWX during those years you lived here. Really seems like this might finally be the big one for us....I've finally given in to full-on hype and excitement. Those last two EURO runs are probably the best I've seen in 20 years of tracking them. Nice to see the last minute trends breaking in our favor for once. Hope Gail can find a way to exceed expectations for everyone in this forum!

52 minutes ago, paweather said:

Wow... thought that had to be a Kuchera ratio map at first glance. Simply one of the prettiest I've ever seen at this time frame. Getting excited!

48 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 12z EPS also crushed CTP!

 

Like the looks of that one.... we're tired of being fringed back here!

After an entire winter season last year without a single event even worth posting about it's great to be back. Wonderful early season "Jebwalk" through the snow showers at Shingletown Gap yesterday. Thanks as always for the insight on the upcoming storm MAG. Crossing fingers that a chance at accumulation this weekend can materialize!

29 minutes ago, kerplunk said:

Interesting that you're only 4" - I just measured 6.75" and that's AFTER sleet and freezing rain compacted it. Must have been under some intense bands during the night. Agree that this one stings. But at least we'll have an ice pack that should last for awhile. 

After having lived here for over 30 years, have come to expect our best snows in March. So plenty of time left.

That's not an official measurement, just eyeballing this morning. But never really saw the heavy snow last night that some Altoona/State College posters were reporting. Maybe we just missed out on that. Based on the snowfall reports it looks like Clearfield really got screwed too.

But yeah, learned long ago to keep expectations very low for these things... then you're happy with whatever you end up with. I'm most upset all the mixing will ruin the ski conditions... I had high hopes of shredding some pow at Blue Knob this week.

4 hours ago, 2001kx said:

Right around 5.5" (same as the earlier storm)

I guess the hunt for a big snow storm still lives...It just doesnt happen here for some reason.

This one stings...from a 15" NWS call just hours before start time to 4" of slop out there.

Light snow has commenced here... enjoy everybody

49 minutes ago, 2001kx said:

The first time they mention mixed precip in my point and click forecast.

 

Saturday

Snow, mainly after 10am. High near 28. East wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

Saturday Night

Snow before 1am, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 17. East wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow showers, freezing rain, and sleet before 7am, then a chance of snow showers. High near 18. Wind chill values as low as -5. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Looks like their latest map actually bumped UNV up to 15"... pretty crazy

2 minutes ago, canderson said:

Ha!

I hope you get nailed (by snow, well the other type too because you need to keep warm). 

 Hopefully it will be a region-wide overperformer. It's been fun tracking this week regardless.

Just now, Atomixwx said:

CTP is either going to have to sit us all down and teach us some shtuff after all this is said or done or the locals are going to head toward State College with pitchforks. 

I'd trust them over all the southern tier people doom and glooming because they're not in the jackpot for once 

WSW for 12-16" here.... highest forecast total in a LONG time. Pretty exciting! 

8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

·         11:00pm – JM1220 comes in from Long Island to say congrats to UNV, even though he’s going to get triple the amount of snow that UNV ends up with

 

Definitely remember that one more than a few times 

I've laid back on going crazy model watching too after getting burned so many times... but this one sure is looking promising.

Just now, daxx said:

Mag, Williamsport and 2001 should be dancing in the streets with that run!

I'm all aboard the hype train 

1 minute ago, MAG5035 said:

Heavy snow... past an inch already. Paved stuff still mostly wet.

Hope that's coming this way. I'm staying up late for this one haha

1 hour ago, MAG5035 said:

Well that didn't take long... Heavy snow and starting to accumulate (dusting)

Awesome hope you pile up! Just been a light rain/sleet mix here since precip started around midnight... haven't even seen a flake yet. fringe life 

1 minute ago, 2001kx said:

First flakes are starting to fall here

Still waiting on them here but I'm sure it wont be long...looks like we're gonna be right on the fringe again. Stilll awesome to be tracking snow in April! Hope this one is an overperformer for everyone!!

KUNV getting some bonus april fringe? lock it in.