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Posts posted by Zelocita Weather
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2 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said:
This run crushes SNE!
Not really, 6-12”
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3 hours ago, MJO812 said:
It shows sleet at 81 hours with temps below freezing lol
Wow, this has well over a foot into S NJ, Philly, N Del, etc......impressive
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I feel like many will be surprised tomorrow, especially just NW of the cities...with everyone concentrated on Wed/Thu, this storm normally would be getting quite a bit of attention, 0.5” LE or so, good amount of it snow....
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NAM is a very intense/snowy solution...
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NAM is juiced...
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Ukie was 8” plus for all I95 and west from one model and one run....
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Did GFS really up qpf with this or is it me, any snow maps from GFS?
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Confluence/cold no joke...
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Gfs looks good...
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Anyone have the snow map?
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NAM looks decent
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GFS looked good for 2-4” with this?
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Sound similar to NAM with 1-2/3”
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Ukie and Euro for this storm?
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9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:
Not much to stop the Mon event from keeping trending north. We’ll see what happens I guess.
Cold air and confluence is pressing here, storm will scoot south of us...storm can trend stronger, but with orientation of trough and pressing cold, can’t get too much more north (a la NAM that squashes it)
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This setup is interesting, surface starts warm, but cold it is pressing smartly at same time coastal passes well to our south, could be 1”-2” for many
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It’s a balance between the low position and the confluence/cold air, we have all seen a low pressure tucked onto the Delaware beaches, but NYC not see a flake due to confluence (Feb 5 2010); lots of fresh very cold air and a lot of moisture should make this at least a 6” storm, but very well could be 1’ plus...
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With current depiction, I would expect significant (3" - 4"+) on ground after the storm has passed for most of the region.
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Just now, snowman19 said:
It turns to rain on the GFS: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2020011312&fh=150
Little to no rain/mix from N/C NJ northward, unless you count 0.05 or so as signficant, that verbatim is a snowstorm
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Wow, basically a complete snowstorm for the entire region on the GFS with VERY COLD air in place. Not even sure much mix would enter the picture per that run.
March 13-14th Nor'easter Threat
in New York City Metro
Posted
New NAM @ hour 75, Nuke, still snowing for much of the region with 2.0"+ QPF