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Posts posted by JC-CT
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Snowblower struggled with this one. Snow was too sticky, kept clumping up. Perfect snowball snow.
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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:
I don’t really care to go and look…but I know that Sunday during the day it was clear CNE was done. So that’s my point.
72 hours is usually when meteorologists need to start honking the horn to the public...and when we normally expect to be able to start to hone in on at least a general picture of what will happen. Don't usually expect a 1000 mile adjustment that close in.
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Just now, WinterWolf said:
Well that’s Saturday night technically..I meant Sunday during the day.
The model runs are all freely available to look at.
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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:
But by Sunday we knew Dendrite area was out of it..no? And SNE was the ground zero. Then Monday afternoon happened.
Not by 0z Sunday, no
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Just now, ORH_wxman said:
If you had to pick a “winner”, the RGEM is a good candidate. In an absolute sense it still struggled but it had the smallest swings compared to other models and I don’t think it showed a whiff inside of 48 hours like the Ukie did multiple times.
Yeah not perfect by any means, but when you compare to other models at 72 hours out, the Canadian suite is hands down the winner. GFS and Euro both had 1" qpf up to about Dendrite. GGEM/RGEM blend will come close to verifying.
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18 hours ago, JC-CT said:
Why take any one particular model as "right"? Does its insistence on a grazing blow indicate a need to take down some of the higher totals, especially around the springfield/orh corridor? Maybe?
Blend is still the 1998 NYY
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Just now, CoastalWx said:
Can we end the save the horse bullshit. Just end it.
Yeah, f*** horses. Not literally.
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You know what did pretty decent the last 36 hours is the rgem.
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1 minute ago, TalcottWx said:
Honestly, Wolfie is in an exact location in Southington.
Foolish to fight against the magic mountain, he's already got 5" down
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Just now, NeonPeon said:
Am I missing something?
No
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1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:
Well... So much for my message to Pope last night. I kind of gave him credit for being somewhat right. I RETRACT MY ENTIRE STATEMENT!!!! LOL
Yeah, never do that
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Nobody cares about massawherever
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9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:
So nobody saw the hints of this with meteorological insight, somewhere someone had to see some flags
If by meteorological insight you mean the 6z euro then sure.
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I'm going to need someone to go to Ohio for ground obs.
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4 minutes ago, weathafella said:
That was epic in CT/MA. Wasn't that the one with the perpetual RI sucker hole?
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5 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:
I highly highly HIGHLY doubt that.
I went from 12-15 predictions all over to 6-8 everywhere. And I’ve only been in a perfect place for 2/7/03, Match of 2019, and the Blizzard of 1978. Not good odds.
Dont forget march 2013. That was epic for RI
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Just now, The 4 Seasons said:
Icon is still solid for a lot of the area, trimed back on the NW edge so up there its rough but for a lot of CT, MA, RI it's still a solid 6-12 type deal. Same with RGEM. But i get it..it's the trending is whats causing a lot of the melting on
I believe the Euro's verbatim <0.5" QPF across the entire region sans a few beaches might be partly to blame as well
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It was also on the southern end of guidance to begin with
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Rgem maybe a hair south but mainly held serve
Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one
in New England
Posted
11.25, doesn't change your map