Heisy

That was so cool. Sitting in my car as it rocks back and forth! Thought it was the wind but it wasnt that windy! Such a rare but cool event, I remember the one back in August 2011

That was crazy. Thought a train was going by.

My house shook I live just outside Philly that was wild


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My house shook i thought it was the train since I live next to the tracks


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My buddy is at fox ridge resort in North Conway. Any reports out that way for totals, he hasn’t gotten back to me just curious


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Late last night driving home from work there was definitely some snow mixed in, or super cooled rain droplets. You could see the ice particles on the windshield when the droplets hit. Win I suppose? Lol


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Negative ha.  It’s either 1500ft or 3000ft.  Though could easily go out to that elevation and measure what’s on the crust from today.

Friend of mine drove up to North Conway for this. He’s at Fox Ridge resort prob around 550 elevation. Decent spot? Haven’t been in the loop for this one.


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Even if it’s a rainstorm it’s still a pretty interesting test for this model. It’s been showing a large system at this range for few runs now


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Meh second glance there’s no cold air really so would need a miracle track


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They discontinued the op and now consider the control run as the new op. The AIFS is their new AI-based model. Will be interesting to see how it performs. 

I’m out of the loop, does the OP euro not exist anymore? Pivotal only has this new version, check this H5 look it has for 6z run




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6z GEFS looks similar

Hey look high pressure...where the F was that all winter. 

Euro obv trending right direction, lot flatter vs 00z wrapped up solution



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EURO control has an I-81 3-5”er on the 8th.

EPS LR has us waiting til March 26 for a final area wide 2-4” lol

I'm still keeping the shovels out 

I’d like to figure out how those 3 ensemble members did what they did. I imagine they string out the trough and slow down the bottom half. So you’re telling me there’s a chance?




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I’d like to figure out how those 3 ensemble members did what they did. I imagine they string out the trough and slow down the bottom half. So you’re telling me there’s a chance?




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End of 00z control starts to give us some blocking around the 8th. You can see how this could lead to a workable pattern by mid month or so. By then we’ll likely have had a few 60-70 degree days so people might be checked out, but I still wonder if we have 1 last miracle shot come mid month with the SSW etc

End of EPS starting to move the heights towards Greenland. The weeklies give us a workable pattern once that trough out west finally heads east, we’ll see about that…




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Gfs has a goofy anafrontal wave around March 1-3. Hits NE good, it’s one way to score a miracle in a crap pattern though lol


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I’m not buying it yet but it would be ironic if when many of us are saying “just bring on the 70s”, we get our best period of winter with multiple threats with highs in Quebec. Something we haven’t been able to buy for 2-3 years. 

SSW magic still on the table, will be interesting see if see any changes in the LR with Atlantic blocking. I’m no expert in the Strat that’s for sure but it can’t hurt. 3 week lag time or so takes us to like end of first week of March


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Weeklies get us into a favorable look 3/12 onward but they seem to be defaulting to that look a lot so hard to have any hope especially at that date. Who knows


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GFS likely a bogus solution. Not much support for that at all. It’s just so much different with the tpv. Sometimes one run of the GFS can take few runs to initialize out. That diving N/S lobe isn’t close to doing that on any other model. I imagine by 18z it won’t exist. Hope I’m wrong though.

I plan to chase this wave if it somehow does develop into something big


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