WEATHER53

Couple months ago some strong  declarations that regulars were “leaving here”

Why  was that?

Who were they?

Thanks 

Temps did continue to steadily fall and ample frost in Frederick with a low of 33

very little if any in Kemp  Mill with a low of 36

Low this morning of 34 and Sunday high of 53 

Glad I covered things up.  House in Frederick hit 32 for about an hour 

Low to mid 50’s  throughout the region while loopy DCA hit 62/63.  Disregarding that inaccuracy , on 1/21 instead of 4/21 this would have been highs 25-28 and lows 15-20 

DCA messed up again , running mostly +10 versus surrounding stations 

Where do we go from here ?

it’s clear many current resources are not working

Mankind is puny but the sun, the earths rotation  and revolution is not, axis angle is not, earthquakes, volcanos, massively deep oceans, tsunamis, mountain torques are not.

Keep going with status quo and remain inefficient and not able to predict 

40 degree spread for me

Low of 41 and high of 81 

Ok guy in person .  Still very much in charge though. 

i liked him here.  Far less effective couple of people  ran him off 

The highly touted mid Feb cold push was delayed to very  late March and early April.  10 consecutive days of +2 or lower with 8 negative at DCA 

No such streak occurred DJF thru late March 

Snowing at Snowshoe?

Fine almost winter weather just two months too late

Back 20+ years ago we used to get this in March.  Mostly sunny but cold aloft with strengthening March Sun and a little bit of any kicker and we would go from sunny to moderate rain or mixed snow and sleet  for 15 minutes and repeat the cycle 4 or so times  My record fir  all snow with a high temperature at that  moment of 47 at onset occurred March 1969  All snow at 47, fell to 35 and snowing. Stopped and sun came out and rose to 43 and then started up again and dropped to 35.

-5 month upcoming again for April 

Our cold month is here

-5 upcoming 

Since about 2011 we’ve been in a cycle of two months back to back per year are below average. If that’s March and April or October and November that’s no good. Hope soon it’s Jan and Feb

El Niño did perform to standard in firing lots of moisture  our way.  But, only about one miller A and otherwise to the west or useless phasing job transfer. 
So we are in  a transitional period where models don’t work and some usually reliable indexes aren’t either plus low pressure travel routes are 80-85%  to our west. Changes need to be made but status  quo defenders are steadfast 

Gotta go near there today 

It wasn’t  wind

Not yet confirmed by on boards that engines never came back on Lights  go off and the crew did something because look close and you will see when lights come back in that the rear starts to slide and bow turns right and directly toward supports. Lights go off again but they are on a new course and glide right into the bridge 

I think I might get more rain than I did during flood watch call of 2-3” several days ago that turned out to be 1-1.5” 

1 hour ago, TSG said:

Go hug that model know nothing .  Adult commentary with childlike  cartoon “response” 

Gotta protect the supply 

PSU need not  stalk reply

Worst internet winter ever

Such promise and so many cocky “promises”  Around 12/20 I identified the “delay but….” That was setting up and received tons   of wailing criticism.  That delay pattern continued until a one week late  January blessing with Insistence and constant dumb ass model projection showing indisputable favorable condition reemerging 2/10 thru end of month.  Abysmal failure but Tons of model defenses.  That delayed but horseshit continued on for  late Feb thru mid March and flopped also.

Unlike 90% here I post all seasons and the huggers disappear.  This place needs to decide if it wants to be a fantasy continuous 10+ day drum banger or a mature site for realistic weather discussions  Models  need a huge overhauling and have progressed very very little in last 20 years.  It would be wise to stop denying that. 

.

Did he become confrontational?

Cold low of 29 and high of 49

our -10 to -15 now come from Mid March thru April 

51 for a high but in shade and with wind it was cold.  In sun and no wind felt like 60.

46.5 for a high so far

Models at least got the cold right even if no precip .  

Wind chills in 20’s.  Been a while 

21 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

What criteria do you use to identify analogs for your seasonal forecast?  

You must stop responding to every single post I make, 95% of which are not directed to you

its stalking

its creepy

its not going to drive me away 

You are out of line. I have asked for you to cut it out and now I’m telling You-Cut it out.

Moderators-the history is right in  this thread with support from many other threads. This guy is obsessive. Take care of it please and thank you 

Which can’t miss event are we onto now.

Jan 14 2025  looks locked in