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BxEngine

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Posts posted by BxEngine

  1. 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

    I think 2-3 is a good forecast for nyc. I don’t understand the negativity this morning 

    Because some like to whine. Others like to be overly pessimistic so when they get 2” instead of 1” they get excited. And others just need to keep typing the same shit over and over to show theyre right in some weird mommy and daddy issue from their childhood. 
     

    but i got a B+ in psych 102 so maybe im way off.

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  2. 29 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

    sleet here in rockland. 2” on the ground.

    Went back to all snow with that “heavier” band moving through. Enough to re-cover the plowed and shoveled areas, mostly light but bordering on moderate occasionally. Trying to time the shoveling of the driveway. This is gonna suck. 

  3. 1 minute ago, Volcanic Winter said:

    I was supposed to get a decent amount from the ACY storm Jan 2-3 ‘22. Right up until go time I was modeled for a few solid inches and I got nothing but virga. Granted the dry air was super aggressive to our north I recall, but yeah the models didn’t really depict it well wrt snow totals along a tight gradient.

    IIRC I was within the northern extent of the banding almost the whole time but absolutely nothing reached the ground.

    Models fail at different points all the time for sure, especially when it matters to weenies such as us who debate over 2” vs 4”. Theyll never be perfect, especially when small distances matter significantly with a dry column, lack of uplift, subsidence, etc all over a mile or two at times. But that doesnt mean the models have failed, or that they didnt take into account certain conditions properly. 
     

    its along the same lines as when people here complain that once a model has locked on a rainstorm, it never waivers. Complete nonsense. It wavers constantly, its just that sometimes the rain/snow line is in suffolk county, and we all watch the battle and waffling of the model runs….and sometimes the rain snow line is near buffalo. The model performance is identical, but because we are entrenched in the warm sector, 100 miles either way makes no difference, let alone 5 or 10 miles. 

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  4. 59 minutes ago, Picard said:

    That is really going to struggle to get any further north than it is right now, at least for many more hours.  These near zero dewpoints are going to be hard to overcome.  I'm a little skeptical of 4-6". 

    I sure hope the next versions of the models take in the atmospheric conditions so they dont print out 4” of snow when it wont happen because of a dry column….

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  5. 6 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

    Some snow showers at the Buffalo Bills football stadium.  forecasts are for 8-12" tonight and then another 3-5" tomorrow?  What if they played at the regularly scheduled time of 1 PM today?

    Snow showers? 

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