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Posts posted by hawkeye_wx
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I'm sitting at 4.2 inches. These bands keep lifting north of Cedar Rapids, allowing the dry slot to poke in here. I really hope this latest band can remain over us so we can reach six inches.
1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said:Huge bust here. Had a feeling. Dry slot screwed me. I80 north keeps getting richer this winter. Pretty frustrating. Hoping that deformation band out by DMX can somehow get here later but thinking that will be north. Models kept showing that more precip would blow up further south and wrap into my area but that never happened
Yeah, southeast Iowa is getting the shaft as well, just like last storm(no mix this time, just a dry slot). Down by Keokuk there isn't even an inch on the ground.
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I woke up to 3.4", about what was expected from the intial heavy batch. As the mid-level energy slowly moves in from the west, snow is once again expanding across Iowa. Models suggest another few inches for Cedar Rapids. South of I-80 may actually get a bit screwed by the dry slotting.
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4-6+" of snow has fallen in the greater Des Moines area in only three hours tonight.
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I'm going with 4" in Cedar Rapids.
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The 12z euro has really amped up the Wednesday midwest storm. Of course, it's dropping another several+ inches across much of Iowa. It is an epic period for Iowa snow geeks(unless you live in Sioux City). The only thing that is lacking is real biggie storms.
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8 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:
Nice improvement by the NAM tonight, especially in eastern IA/QCA. Would be cool if the blind GFS/FV3 squirrel finally found a nut.
Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
I'm interested in seeing if the euro continues to shift the best precip into n/nw Iowa, or rejoin the rest of the models.
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25 minutes ago, Hoosier said:
With it being mid February, I have made the transition to "go big or go home" mode.
Nah. It's still the heart of winter. "Go big or go home" season is March. "Go home" season is April.
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Today's big warmup unfortunately melted a few inches of snow, but it made it possible to finally get all the thick ice off the streets, driveways, and sidewalks. That stuff sucked.
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We're going to need a nice snowfall this weekend just to get back what we're losing today.
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We've surged into the mid 40s here in the city... way higher than originally expected.
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I measured 6.9" a couple hours ago from about 0.90" precip. We are currently receiving more bands of light to moderate snow on the backside, which will push me over 7". The wettest models were correct about the qpf. The GFS and Euro were way too dry and way underdid the warm nose surge. I would have received 9-10" without the mixing.
The wind is whipping now and blowing the top layer of snow around.
I finally got my 6" storm.
I think we've had four winter storm warnings this year. This is the first one that verified.
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The back edge of the snow/mix line has quickly surged northeast through Cedar Rapids/Iowa City, so we are back to snow. Much of the heavier precip is done, though. Radar shows a lot of dry pockets to the sw. It might be a struggle to get the additional 1.5" of snow needed to reach 6" for the event.
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It's pretty crazy how something always seems to go wrong for Cedar Rapids. It's a real struggle just to get a 6" snowstorm here. 6" just isn't that much, but it is here. This one finally looked like a sure thing, but nope.
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Cedar Rapids is now received a mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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My total is 4.5" and it will only rise very slowly for a while as the mix moves in.
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The mix crap has surged into Cedar Rapids, something I did not expect at all. Our 1"/hr snowfall rate earlier has turned to garbage as the snow has turned into sleetish chunky flakes. We can probably knock the 8-9" forecast down to 6-7".
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2.3" here so far, 1+"/hr rate.
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Large flakes ripping in Iowa City. Radar shows pretty heavy snow over the area.
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Light snow has begun to fall in Cedar Rapids.
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The heavy snow band is pretty thin down here in Iowa before the system wraps up and becomes much more widespread in Wisconsin.
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I'm going with 5 inches for Cedar Rapids. The qpf range is 0.50-0.90", with the euro down to ~0.62". We've had a forecast calling for 6-8" a few times this year, but each time we only received 3-5". I'm hoping the ratio won't be as lousy this time.
February 17th, 2019 Snow Event
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
I'm up to 5.1". As expected, this wave moving across Iowa this afternoon is dropping nice, fluffy dendrites.