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Posts posted by Nelson
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9.9" for mby to get us over 20" for the week.....
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**edit** just saw we pulled the trigger on a thread. I like it.
Obviously would be tits if we got back to back 6+' storms (in my neck of the woods) but long ways to go yet on the weekend system. Lot of spread on the GFS ENS. Don't mind the EPS look at this point.
Also, lots of talk about how the ECMWF has been shit as of late but does anyone have verification stats to back that up (I'm too lazy to look)? Seems like it was pretty consistent at range with the early week system vs the GFS.
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Ride the ENS....
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5 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:
Not at all a bad look. Lots of good members for a big Chi hit.
GEFS has been fairly consistent with the mean low track over the past few runs. As always, ENS are really the only thing to be seriously watching at this range.
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3 hours ago, krfd said:
enjoy the heat. you're schtick has run its course once again, you're about 6 months overdue for your cyclical ban. folks are tolerating your shit as its summer but if you keep the antics up the next few months you're donezo again. maybe tone it down and try to act normal.
The ignore feature is wonderful. Use it and save yourself the bullshit.
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stay safe cyclone
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2 minutes ago, roardog said:
While it’s been very dry recently, the changing pattern next week looks much more favorable for rain across our sub. We don’t usually do dry very well these days around here. If anything is agw fueled, it’s the extra moisture we get around here in the summer. It seems like an eternity since dewpoints have been as low as they’ve been recently in the summer.
That's the one thing that has struck me more than anything so far this summer - the low dewpoints. I can't remember a stretch where they have been, on average, as low as they've been.
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Yeah, 60/54 here - feels like we are on the northern fringe here but will be fun to watch things unfold down south.
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Eyeballing 6" here - right around what I was thinking. Some higher amounts to the east. Overall, nice little snowfall. Been the story of the winter her in South-Central Wisco.
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I'll go with 5.5" for mby. .5" liquid seems to be about the model average and we should stick around 10:1 ratios. MKX talking potential dry air to overcome to start so we will see what that does to totals. Feels like general 4-6" in and around southern WI seems like a safe bet.
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16 minutes ago, madwx said:
the pinging has become constant here. if this carries on for the next 6 hours or so I'll get a feel for what LAF experienced during GHD1
Crazy - mostly snow here with ice pellets here
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18 minutes ago, madwx said:
Been mostly sleet here. Switches to freezing rain under the lighter returns
Same here - with snow at times.
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Switched over to mainly snow now... 29.5/25
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1 minute ago, madwx said:
Crazy the difference in precip over a few miles. Looks like some sleet is mixing in here now
Yeah, was just thinking that. Let's hope it stays sleet...
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29F with moderate sleet here
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I would not be surprised to see some 8-9" totals
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Just did a quick and dirty measurement and we are roughly around 6", maybe a little more. Snow is so wet/big flaked that there are highly variable measurements. ***still heavy snow
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1” /hr seems legit at the moment. Switched over just over an hour ago and we easily have an inch already. Paste job
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Looks to be ripping in Madison per radar
Confirmed.
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Jan 11-13th Blizzard
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
Running about as expected here. Guessing 6-7" so far (hard to measure at this point). Might make double digits if this afternoon can produce.