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usedtobe

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by usedtobe

  1. 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

    That’s the big shift on the NAMs. The low position is now drastically mor inland and north than it was at 0z. Hence more southerly wind vs southeast. It evidently is making a huge difference.

    But the Euro has had that feature for days.  Here's a 90hr forecast valid a 7PM Saturday.  image.png.b574c874d5b24fd8b622f252a0f4a96c.png

    • Like 7
  2. 9 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

    I think February is a big test as to the decadal -PNA we are in. The N. Pacific anomalies over the last 6 Winter's are the greatest we've ever seen in an area at 500mb on record for a 6-year period. (Feb 1964-1969 -NAO comes in 2nd)

    Interesting that 1964-1969 was a snowy period. 

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  3. 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Yeah quite possible. That said, if it’s borderline, still could work out. But the confluence and high shifting north don’t provide much confidence things can shift. Could also be a precip rate dependent deal. Heavier precip progs might be colder and vice versa. Things to watch. 

    I think your last two sentences are correct.  We need the heavier precipitation and associated vertical motion to keep temps cold enough for snow.  Of course not for me. 

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  4. On 8/16/2023 at 12:34 PM, mattie g said:

    Maybe I just haven't been paying attention, but I can't recall seeing a system that rides so closely against the Baja coast and runs into southern California like the GFS is showing for early next week.

    Kathleen in 1976 had almost an identical track.  It cause lots of flooding and pretty much wiped out one town.  image.thumb.png.f6bfe3bd81c8c76123a332cf4e6b8a96.png

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  5. 16 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

    I'm thinking 96/97 for all three days at DCA.  Just a touch under what NWS is going (98/98/98).

    I think that pretty much what the 06Z GFS was forecasting.  The GFS definitely has problems. It's been running hot or at least that has been my perception.  Still 96 or 97 with dewpoints in the 70s is nasty. 

     

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  6. I power washed my boat yesterday.  The warm temps really motivated me to do something I hadn't done for a couple of year.   The other motivation was the boat had lots of bird poop on it from being parked in its slip in Florida and really needed a wash.     Anyway,  boat carpet looks the best it's looked in years.  I still need to fill the various boating compartment that I emptied prior to the wash.  I'm looking forward to fishing this spring if gas prices don't limit me too much.  I rarely post here anymore because I do the Capital Weather Gang bit but still stop by and read thoughts on storms and remember how much I enjoyed interacting with everyone. I am hoping to see a few snowflakes though it's doubtful I'll see accumulations. 

     

     

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  7. 1) PD1 1979,  thee highest hourly snowfall rates I"ve ever seen.  Also, a colleague at work told me the storm was over after the 1st 4" and that we might see another inch with the vort. 

    2) Feb 5-6 2010,  my second biggest snowstorm in terms of accumulations. 

    3) March 1958.  Much like this storm this year, I had 16" of heavy wet snow that knocked out our power for a week.  We cooked over the fire in the fireplace like cowboys.  I thought that was neat.  My dad and mom weren't as thrilled since they had to keep bailing the basement to keep water from reaching the freezer. 

    4) the blizzard or 1966.  Snow drifts reached the second story of my high school.  Wind driven snow in with temps below freezing and the only true ground blizzard for a couple of hours after the snow ended. 

    5) December 2009 storm.  The most snow in December i can ever remember from a storm. 

    6) honorable mention:  the 1993 storm of the century because I got to do a live interview on the Today show.  My snow turned to rain but then we had a flash freeze and my remaining snow became on huge ice block. 

     

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