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Chicago WX

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Everything posted by Chicago WX

  1. Chicago WX
    Yeah, we are kinda screwed sitting in the middle. At least it shouldn’t be a shut out. Some snow is better than no snow.
  2. Chicago WX
    Hi. Models have been very consistent in the sucker hole. IKK just happens to be pretty much locked in it. That’s why I think a Watch for here is kinda silly. It’ll be an advisory at best for the LOT CWA portions, south of I-80. North of there, different story.
  3. Chicago WX
    Total mess here this morning. Had freezing drizzle that has now turned to light snow. Everything a sheet of ice. Going to be an awesome day at work.
  4. Chicago WX
    6z RGEM is lol. Rains to LAF. HIRES models are being ridiculous. FGEN plus LES will make for a nice storm for Chicago. Have to have some perspective. Alas, there will be a screw zone of sorts that gets stuck in the middle. Unfortunately I'm sitting dead center in it right now. But, I'm hoping to squeeze out 2-4", which would be a nice refresher.
  5. Chicago WX
    Consensus is in the eye of the beholder I guess. For MBY anyways, pretty clear move in the models..and not for the better. And IMO, the ensembles have been almost useless. Especially the EPS. Consistently too far north up until this point, but they are lower skill. Alas, storm hasn’t happened yet. We watch and wait...
  6. Chicago WX
    Hard to ignore pretty good consensus now. Not that there can't be more changes, good or bad. Regardless, looks like a pretty good storm for the OV crew. Just hoping for a couple inches up here, a refresher of sort.
  7. Chicago WX
    12z GEFS individual member total snowfall thru 0z Monday (10:1 ratio). Purple shading starts the 6" and up totals.
  8. Chicago WX
    Checking my weenie model folder...and the FIM is not running due to the shutdown.
  9. Chicago WX
    lol, I guess I was wrong with FV3. Does some weird jumping around with the slp between 96 and 114 hours...almost looks like it jumps the slp with convection from 102-108...but still manages to drive a 999mb storm into SE Ohio. I'm punting that solution verbatim. End result would probably be more favorable for N IL, IMO.
  10. Chicago WX
    Way too early to freak out for sure. i can only see it thru 96, but the 12z FV3 certainly doesn’t look south as alluded to earlier. But maybe it goes to crap after...
  11. Chicago WX
    Just for fun, 12z GFS 10 day total snowfall (kuchera). Congrats Hoosier...
  12. Chicago WX
  13. Chicago WX
    Lots of fun cherry picking individual EPS runs. I'm partial to #2.
  14. Chicago WX
    Some pretty tasty 12z EPS members. Few clunkers. Really like this one for the sub at this point. Also looking ahead to the storm following this one. I think that one has potential for something really neat. But first things first.
  15. Chicago WX
    12z Uncle. Yes please.
  16. Chicago WX
    The one where IND got like 12.5”? I remember that one. And I’m enjoying. Out working out in it!
  17. Chicago WX
    Coming down in buckets here right now. Flake size is pretty good too!
  18. Chicago WX
    Pounding. I smell an overachiever, relative to my expectations anyways.
  19. Chicago WX
    LSX (St Louis) CWA 0520 AM SNOW WILLIAMSBURG 38.92N 91.70W 01/12/2019 M13.5 INCH CALLAWAY MO TRAINED SPOTTER
  20. Chicago WX
    You debbed your way to 6". Congrats! Radar returns crawling north around here...snow literally knocking on the back door, lol...but we are getting some flakes with whatever moves overhead. Still like somewhere in the 3-5" range for IKK...
  21. Chicago WX
    12z RGEM brought the 0.50” line north of IKK. That’s nice.
  22. Chicago WX
    Painfully close for here. Alas, I’ll take 3 and change. Not a perfect match, but snowfall distribution with this one looks similar to the March 24-25, 2013 storm. SPI probably isn’t getting 18” and LAF close to a foot, but fairly similar.
  23. Chicago WX
    12z NAM improved for quite a few. Brought higher totals northward for central IL, the QC,...and farther east for the IN and OH crews. Jackpot is just west/northwest of STL.
  24. Chicago WX
    3-5" seems like a good call for IKK. Wouldn't take too much of a nudge north to realize slightly higher totals...wouldn't take too much of a nudge south to get slightly lower totals. All in all though, looks to be a decent event.
  25. Chicago WX
    [/IMG Taken from here: http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com
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