ncforecaster89

American Weather forum member, Tony Brite, filmed in western-most Mexico Beach, Fl:

American Weather Forum member, Josh Morgerman, in Callaway, Fl:

Thought it might be a good idea to create a single thread for the sole purpose of sharing video footage of hurricane Michael from 2018. With that in mind, I'm just simply going to post a link to all of the various storm chaser videos (that I'm currently aware of) and any others I find on YouTube. That said, please feel free to share any other relevant videos, here, as well...that I may have missed. Will continually update the first few subsequent posts in the thread if, and or when, I locate any additional footage, in the future. I'll begin by sharing the links to the footage of the AmericanWX forum members first, that I know of, and subsequently list most others more randomly by how I find them listed on YT, and by the general location where they were filmed (to add more variety in the initial posts). Please note that all the footage I'm posting here, will be those that were taken directly from the eyewall, and/or eye, of the historic hurricane!

Hi NoPoles! Hope you have safe travels and enjoy your new home.

Been waiting, impatiently, all winter for this type of event. I’m taking all the blame for all the heartache everyone in SNE has had to endure. Didn’t realize until now, that all I had to do was book a non-refundable trip in the opposite direction (heading to the Fl Panhandle) to entice the atmosphere to spur up a big event! My bad!!

When you’re looking for this: https://goo.gl/images/TTmYt3 and, you get this, instead: https://goo.gl/images/huLirG SNE so far this season!

Just wanted to drop by to say, “hello”, to all my NE friends and tell you I’m really rooting for all of you to get a KU before the season concludes. Will be surprised if the period of 3/3/19 to 3/15/19 doesn’t produce at least a warning event for SNE...and a possible blizzard. Been waiting all season in hopes of chasing the big dog/KU and/or blizzard in SNE. Been pretty discouraging as I intentionally passed on a couple significant events closer to home in expectation of a much bigger event up here. Ironically, the timing of a prospective big event may very well occur when I’m unable to chase. Specifically, I’ve already booked a trip from March 4 to the 14th back to the Florida Panhandle for a last family vacation prior to the birth of our baby, and to document the progress of Mexico Beach 5 months after Michael. Regardless of how things develop synoptically during the upcoming period, I’ll still be following the progression and hoping it manifests into a huge event for this sub forum! Tony

For me, we’re still too far out in time to even provide a reasonable best educated guess regarding what may be in store for the upcoming season. Come June 1, we’ll have a much better idea of where we stand relative to the state of the important atmospheric and oceanic indicators, and their likely influence on the peak months of the 2019 season. As such, thought I’d share a few interesting continental USA hurricane landfall statistics (dating back to 1851) that are relative to the 2019 season. 1) There have been at least one major hurricane landfall, for three consecutive years/seasons, on 5 different occasions. These periods are 1854-1856, 1898-1900, 1915-1919, 1947-1950, and 1957-1961. 2) There have been at least one category 4 or greater landfall, in three consecutive seasons, on two different occasions. These are the periods of 1947-1950 & 1959-1961. In addition, the 1957 and 1958 seasons each had a hurricane that struck the continental USA as a borderline category three/four hurricane; Audrey in 1957 as a direct landfall and Helene in 1958 as a powerful Cat 4 hurricane that hit the NC coastline with 110 kt maximum sustained winds...while remaining just offshore. 3) Each of the two periods, of at least 3 consecutive years with a category four hurricane landfall, had at least one make landfall somewhere on the east coast of the USA. The Big Question: Will the 2019 Atlantic basin hurricane season produce the continental USA hurricane landfalls required to join, any or all of, the 3 year periods listed above?

Yes, except I documented that one from Washington, DC to Frederick, MD and up to Lancaster, PA. Didn't travel to NYC for that one, as I was focused on the Mid-AtlantIc.

Thanks, Eric. On phone, at stop lights, while on my way home. Hadn't seen the 18z products, yet. We'll see if it all comes together to produce. Too early, still, to know. IF it does, and hoping it does so, I'm leaning towards chasing in this particular sub-forum region. Reason I might be posting in here, time to time. Last winter storm chase was in NYC and on LI, back in late March 2018. Love to do it, again!

Ratios alone won't produce "big-time" snow drifts. Will need "big-time" winds, as well.

Irresponsible to be putting out specific totals at long-range. Of course, it's the "Weenie" channel (TWC)...so no surprise; all about those ratings. Hype train has already left the station, there.

Hi Mark. I'll be 49 in May, and my wife is 26 weeks pregnant. Our baby girl is due in April. I understand the apprehension, but I feel so incredibly blessed to have another opportunity to care for and raise another baby.... especially, since it will be the first with my second, and truly wonderful wife, unlike my ex! Good luck to you with whatever you may decide. If you do have one at a more advanced age, it will have been the right time, regardless, considering any other moment, and that particular baby/child wouldn't exist.

Happy New Year’s Eve, everyone! As most know, it takes a MECS or HECS to persuade me to travel to the region to document such an event. That said, I fully anticipate that (those) event (s) to materialize at some point between 1/25 & 3/15. Don’t expect a significant region-wide event prior to 1/25 as there will likely be a lag in the atmospheric response to the forthcoming pattern change, as the major teleconnections move towards a far more favorable pattern by the beginning of February. Patience is key. Give the atmosphere time to build it, and it will come! Edit: removed reference to Mid-Atlantic region. Irrelevant in this sub forum.

Thanks... greatly appreciate the kind words! And, your own appreciation for the gift of a child. Eagerly look forward to each opportunity to see our baby girl, inside the womb, via ultrasound. Given the developing El Nino, the probability of another significant winter storm in the SE, this winter, is certainly elevated. Will always choose my family over a prospective major weather event. That said, and as you articulated, there will be many more opportunities; especially since I'm willing to document them as far north as Maine. Would share local storm effects from here in Wilmington, but SENC has got that covered, and the highlights consist of a very cold, wind-driven rain.

For those who might be interested, here's the link to a list of the current record snowfall event for each individual county in NC: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/snowfall-extremes/NC/3 For instance, Lenoir holds the record for Caldwell county at 17". Morganton is the record holder for Burke county with 19.3". On a personal note, I opted not to chase this event as it would cause me to miss an ultrasound appointment for my wife who's 21.5 weeks pregnant. Lastly, I'm wishing everyone luck and hope all your weenie dreams come to fruition!

Absolutely agree with everything you wrote. I'll add that I presumed SENC was referring to a portable anemometer tower rather than a hand-held device (like a Kestrel)... which I do carry with me. As you noted, no anemometers are generally able to survive/register winds of such extreme intensity...as I observed in the RMW of hurricane Michael.

Hi SENC! Yes, I document all USA landfalling hurrricanes; Michael was no exception. The damage caused by Florence to my home had no relevance to it. It's important to note that I don't simply chase hurricanes for fun, but to help in the aftermath. I always devote at least one full day to help those in need. Have stated numerous times that I believe all of us chasers should do the same, and has been something I've committed to since observing the devastation following hurricane Katrina in 2005. I don't possess a portable anemometer. Not that it'd done much good, anyway. Not like it was a more common category-two hurricane, or anything! You know?

Just spent some time pursuing this thread, and feel inclined to offer my own two cents regarding the debate on the landfalling intensity of hurricane Michael. This intercept was my 31st hurricane experience dating back to 1984. Been in 10 different “major” hurricanes, and encountered confirmed 140 mph wind gusts during hurricane Irma in Naples, just last year. All that said, the indescribable ferocity of the winds I observed within the RMW, in Mexico Beach, was beyond anything I had ever witnessed or had conceived was possible, beforehand; meaning how can one adequately estimate the wind velocity of such extreme winds when they’d never seen anything close to it, previously?! The only genuine meteorological debate that merits such discussion (related to Michael’s landfall intensity) should center around whether it was truly a high-end category four or actually achieved category-five strength. Personally, I’m in the camp that argues for a 140 kt post-storm upgrade. P.S. Despite all my chase experience, I was one who underestimated just how high the surge would get where I positioned myself, and in doing so, lost my car and phone in the process. Based on google maps, it appeared I was at an elevation that was sufficient. My vehicle wasn’t!

Hi Frank! Thanks for the kind words and thoughts. Drove into Scotts Hill to document the absolute brunt of the eyewall. From there, drove into the center of the eye near Wrightsville beach. Been really busy posting updates and damage pics on Twitter. Now, I just got a tornado warning alert on my phone.

I'm in North Topsail Beach. Too busy to post much. If interested in updates every 1-2 hours...with video snapshots and pressure readings, please consider following me on Twitter @tbrite89. Pressure at 986.8 mb and continuing to drop.

Hurricane Diana of 9/11/1984 to 9/13/1984 was the reason I pursued my meteorology degree at NC State and became obsessed with hurricanes.

I just secured a hotel room in Beaufort, for Wednesday pm until Friday at noon, so I'm hoping they don't close it.

Another important consideration and hope is that it can come ashore during daylight hours.

Actually, there's still time for a very close brush...which would be the optimal solution/best case to spare the NC coast the absolute worst effects.