HighStakes

Snow showers here with a dusting on mulch and roofs.

11 minutes ago, Ji said:

What’s that recent winter you got 50 inches?

20/21

51 minutes ago, Ji said:

I think winter finally did to me what the redskins did to me. If they win great..amazing. If they lose….eh ok. Been there done that….life moves on

This is where Ive been at follwing the Winter of 19/20. 

4 hours ago, T. August said:

What’s your average? 30”?

Manchester averages roughly 37 inches overall. The Highest ridges and areas which reach almost 1130 ft. are probably at 40-42 inches for an average with the lowest valleys at 800 ft. In the 34-35 range. My house is approximately 860-870 ft. so I always say 37 when asked.

Not much melting. Temps have been hovering around 30. Currently Cloudy and flurries.

On 2/13/2024 at 11:16 AM, HighStakes said:

2/13: 4.5

Total: 17.3

2/16-17: 4.0

Total: 21.3

Always stay up. No other option!

On 1/21/2024 at 2:32 AM, HighStakes said:

1/19: 4.0

Total: 12.8

2/13: 4.5

Total: 17.3

 @psuhoffmanNice!

Another marginal storm where there's a big difference between you and me. Happening very frequently now. I ended up with 4.5 maybe a bit more but I measured after some compaction. I'm inclined to think just 10-15 years ago the difference between our totals would have been less than inch.

Final burst coming through now. Solid 4 inches.

3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

That was the hefty WAA crusher right? Didn’t we have the other in 2018 maybe where places NW had a 2 part storm, big totals in Reisterstown? 

15 inches here in March 2018 2 part storm. Most snow otg at any point was 12-13. Tremendous event for so late in the season even for up here.

Coming down nicely with small flakes and low visibility. Inch an hour rates. Looks to be around 3 inches.

Moderate/Heavy snow. All surfaces covered. Windy and 32. Close to an inch.

Long overdue for a positive bust.

Tom T going very conservative. 1-2.

Here's a little food for thought on how quickly this has transformed into a debacle of a winter. Our quick relax turned into a short reload which in turn became a long 4 week shift into a shut out warm pattern. Then to put more into perspective, once the pattern flipped to bad on roughly Jan. 22nd, our next chance for frozen is next weekend and that gives a 4-5  week stretch during peak climo where most of us won't have seen one flake in a Nino no less. Think about that for a minute! Not one flake from Jan 21st to Feb 20th and that's assuming we see something next weekend.

I still think everyone sees measurable snow at least 2 more times but unless there's a MECS this will go down as another awful winter. I could even make an argument for how our 1 good week of winter was really underachieving but I digress. Not to mention the Jan. 6th storm that looked like a lock for several inches in my area and ended up less than an inch. Since Nov. 1st 2022 my location has received less than 15 total inches. 

I'll take snow anytime no matter how big or small of an event. I don't need a big dog to be happy but this current stretch were in since the 3rd week of January is simply awful. 

According to the teleconnections from now until Feb. 23rd we will have a very negative EPO along with a negative AO and NAO and we can't even get a sub freezing day for a high. I suppose there's still some confusion and models will figure things out and maybe have a clearer picture to a victory and quite possibly a much colder look in the 5-10. There are some encouraging looks for March but we know how that goes. 

Holding out hope for strong end game!

Just now, stormtracker said:

I wouldn't be so sure rn

You probably need to let Interstate take it from here!!

19 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Thank you for your input. And yeah I mean...I've felt the need to redeem myself for bad posts the last several years I've been here. And yeah I do get too defensive like you and @CAPE said. I'm a naturally sensitive person who feels everything--and that includes everything said to me (often focusing on the negative said), and I feel the need to "make it right". When I see 20 likes/thank yous on something said against me it feels like an indictment on me as a person, and I gotta defend it. But that's not helpful...maybe not reacting at all is still better even if it has me fuming for a minute. Right now I'd be ashamed to meet most of you in person, knowing my shortcomings on here and how I'd be seen. 

And you're right...that's probably why some of my posts come off as looking for acceptance--as I feel the need to make up for one thing and end up slipping into another mistake.

As for why mention next winter...I don't know why I did again. I think that's just what I've been thinking in my subconscious about next winter, and it's kinda informed how I've viewed this winter...and it just leaked out. But I'm gonna aim to not fear post anymore. Like don't communicate any fears in the main thread...never ends well! 

I'm trying to be better on here, y'all...I'm not there yet

Don't ever feel ashamed to meet anyone. Like you said just keep trying to be a better poster and continue learning. Try not to take it so personal when someone calls you out. Just shake it off. That comes with age. Now that I'm over 50 I have a much different view opposed to 15-20 years ago.

You're a true winter and snow lover and that's great because they are WAY too many Debs and trolls here!!

31 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Try too hard? In what way? 

I mean I know I get vigorously defensive when folks attack me, and I gotta work on that...but I'd like to know what you mean.

I think because you have had many "confrontations" for a lack of a better term, you've become overly defensive, so maybe you try to avoid that and in doing so your post become too scripted and they come off as you're begging for acceptance or agreement. That's my best view. Again, I think you have a lot to offer this community but for instance in your earlier post why mention negative thoughts on  next year. You've already done that at least several times. No need to go there again. 

4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

That's what I thought. I'm telling ya I can't win with this board. I get weenied for saying to relax, weenied for being too much of a deb...I'm the forum piñata basically.

The last thing I want to do is insult you so don't take this the wrong way. You seem like a very nice person and give off a kindness and there's definitely a need for that on this board but you simply try too hard and that leads to incredible annoyance. 

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

With the advertised upper air pattern, this period could feature a shot of legit Arctic air, possibly coming in behind a winter storm. Maybe some (late) deep winter with snow otg.

I've been thinking the same thing. Just getting caught up on everything as I'm finally on my feet again after a rough bout with the flu. I don't see how we avoid a serious shot or 2 of real arctic air. Teleconnections look amazing and are all lining up. This period coming up looks to be centered about 15 days later than 2010 and about 15-20 days earlier than 2018. Snow amounts always a wildcard but a sustained 3-4 week run of solid winter looking likely.

3 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

First one was on the 24th and dropped 3-6” across the area.  The one on the 28th looked huge on satellite in the SE but could never consolidate.  I think we ended with 3-4” after it snowed lightly all day and finally started to accumulate well after dark.

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

haha....there was two of them? I remember one...and it was really wet but very pretty

The forecast for both storms were 6-10 with up to 12. I think I got around 5 maybe close to 6 in Reisterstown but it was a struggle.

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

i remember a heavy snow in late February back in 2005,2006..etc...it was the last week of the month. It was a really nice coastal but it had a super hard time getting to 5 inches. I think it was one of those dry noreasters where the map looked great but it had a really narrow shield but that storm gave me a bad taste in my mouth for late February storms. 

2005. The back to back underachieving Miller A's.

22 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

In NFL history...has a coach ever been fired after going 14-3 and losing the AFC Championship game? (Real question--I don't think I've ever heard of that being done) Therein lies the conundrum. I don't think any team justifiably does that...regardless of what has happened before. It's still winning football...coach hasn't lost the locker room (although maybe we'll see this off season, lol) just hasn't gotten to the SB. 

I feel like...we'd have to completely miss the playoffs in order for something to change. I mean in a weird way, if you root for Harbs to be fired, you'd basically have to root against the team next year and root for us to miss the playoffs, lol So like...y'all gonna root for us to tank? Lol

Marty Shottenheimer went 14-2 and lost in the divisional round to NE I believe and was consequently fired. I think it was the 2006 season. That season we were the number 2 seed and lost to Indy 15-6. Had we won we would’ve hosted the ADC championship game.