WeatherMonger

Hit 68 degrees today, warmest day since Oct. 19th.

Be nice when these temps get here without the higher winds. 

As sad as the winter had seemed, still ended up nearly 10" above normal on snowfall. 

I'm ready to hear some thunder.

Hit 65 degrees here today, kinda makes one forget all about winter.

Ended up with about 1- 1/2". Roads were crap, it's like they don't even try to keep up anymore. Wait until it is finished then send the crews out, all schools canceled for less than 2". That never happened when I was a kid, took 4"+ and even then might be a late start but school still opened

2 hours ago, WeatherMonger said:

I got .85" on my measurement for this mornings wave, official airport recording was .8"

 

Calling for 2-3" tonight, I told most to wxpect 1 1/2 or less, excluding the morning snow which would melt off, and did.

 

I'll give winter until Palm Sunday to show itself, after that I am Spring or bust.

May have to cut it down by 1 1/2 - 2 inches. 0 - .5"

I got .85" on my measurement for this mornings wave, official airport recording was .8"

Calling for 2-3" tonight, I told most to wxpect 1 1/2 or less, excluding the morning snow which would melt off, and did.

I'll give winter until Palm Sunday to show itself, after that I am Spring or bust.

3 hours ago, WeatherMonger said:

Pretty much winding down now. Average of 3 measurements is .85"

Few hours later and it is all but gone. Temp back up to 35 and drizzle

Pretty much winding down now. Average of 3 measurements is .85"

Back to big fat flakes

Tapering off a bit, be interesting to see how much temps rebound

Solid coating now on treated surfaces here at work, not sure about roads. Wooden surfaces approaching 1/2"

Rates have actually allowed a coating to start on most surfaces. Temp has dropped 3 degrees as well, sitting at 33. Guessing wet bulbing is the cause.

Either way wasn't expecting to see snow until late morning early afternoon, still have a forecast high if 38, which it was 38 at midnight so they wouldn't be wrong.

They have 38 at 2pm in the grids, but supposed to be 4 degrees warmer currently and holding steady.

Moderate snow now falling with big fat flakes.

Wish this was the beginning of accumulating snow

Currently have some sleet mixed in with the rain

WPC sticking to the 8"+ band

ILX latest graphic

58 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Latest nam utter trash. Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Would barely be wwa worthy here now

You got your watch

Quote

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
256 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

...Significant Snowfall Possible Tuesday Night and Wednesday...

ILZ029-031-036>038-040-250500-
/O.EXB.KILX.WS.A.0002.200226T0000Z-200226T1800Z/
Peoria-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Including the cities of Peoria, Eureka, Canton, Pekin,
Bloomington, Normal, and Rushville
256 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5
  inches expected. There remains significant uncertainty with
  this system and small changes in position or temperature could
  produce higher amounts and significant impacts.

* WHERE...Portions of central and west central Illinois.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow will likely begin as a mix late
  Thursday afternoon northwest of the Illinois River. Rain will
  transition to snow for Woodford, Tazewell, and McLean counties
  during the evening.

ILX afternoon AFD

Quote

LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

A 120+kt jet currently along the British Columbia coast will
plunge into the central U.S. trough reinforcing it tomorrow and
allowing arctic area to move south into the Midwest. The wave
associated with the jet should be strong dynamically and will be
able to wring out and moisture that remains in place in the trough
after the initial wave pulls out. There is a diverse range in
solutions with respect to the position of the highest QPF axis,
amounts, and thermal profiles from Tuesday through Wednesday. Run-
to-run trends have been moving the QPF axis southeastward as the
pattern evolves. However, with SREF trends showing a run-to-run
surface warming there remains a question as to when accumulation
will begin.

This is certainly not your average set-up for a significant winter
storm with little in the way of a surface reflection and only
weak isentropic lift. Although, the most likely forecast would
keep accumulations below warning level will retain watch and
expand it southward this afternoon to cover the uncertainty and
the potential for additional shifting south. Differences in tens
of miles and two or three degrees will lead to very different
solutions.

Latest guidance suggests late afternoon northwest of the Illinois
River and before midnight further southeast. As the system works
east it is expected to tap additional moisture and increase
snowfall rates. This combination leads to the unusual arch shape
in the storm total snowfall forecast.

Once the low moves out the cold air mass remains in place several
days with abundant cloud cover until the axis of the trough can
pull east of Illinois Thursday Night. Wind Chills may drop to near
zero northwest of the Illinois River both Thursday and Friday
mornings. A warm-up should begin over the weekend, with highs
again reaching near 50 degrees by Monday

7 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Latest nam utter trash. Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Would barely be wwa worthy here now

I can't complain about the trends, yet at the same time I can't put any faith into the amounts either. Kuchera on 18Z shows 4.2" yet snow depth never gets over 1.6"

Figure it will be just enough for them to salt the roads and rust some more frames

Waiting to see what ILX afternoon AFD looks like.

Here was this mornings

Quote

LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 317 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

Heading into Tuesday, this is when things get a little
questionable. A secondary Low pressure system will fall from the
northern Plains into the Midwest. As this system falls on the
backside of the current Low, cooler air will filter in with it.
This cooler air will allow for rapid temp changes in which
snowfall will develop. As the Low sinks into the mid-Mississippi
River Valley, it will become a closed Low, allowing for deepening
and then stall out over the region. This will allow for moisture
inflow to the storm, from Lake Michigan, bringing the potential
for a substantial snow storm. A Winter Storm Watch has been
initiated this morning, for the far northern 3 counties, for the
possibility of 6+ inches of snowfall. The main axis of snowfall is
expected to develop to the north and east of our CWA, where
upwards of 1 foot of snow is forecast in northeastern Illinois.

Once this system slides out of the region, cooler temperatures
will arrive during the second half of the week. This will bring a
dry spell to the area as well. And then heading into the weekend,
temps slowly warm, with dry conditions persisting.

Latest from ILX

ILX latest graphic

Canadian is hilarious

Slowly getting over this winter but know I have to make it to to mid April before it releases it's grips fully.

Probably close to average for snowfall on the winter, but hate getting to that stat in this way, quite a bit of it fell before December.

9 hours ago, StormChaser4Life said:

How much snow you got now?

Damn you got about as much as here! 

I'd say around 2 1/2", didn't hit freezing until sometime between 3 and 4 this morning so a lot of compaction and melt still took place before the flash freeze. Airport recorded 2.4" at midnight doubt we made much gains on that.

At least the ground is white for this short arctic blast.