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Deck Pic

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Everything posted by Deck Pic

  1. Deck Pic
  2. Deck Pic
    The short duration of the storm makes it a likely challenge for the DC crew when we're starting out so warm. For those outside the beltway, nobody should be cliff diving.
  3. Deck Pic
    RAP has like 0.09" for DC lol. I'm not too worried about those totals. Though I imagine the 0z NAM will cut back some.
  4. Deck Pic
    8 pm update my backyard: 44/20 DCA: 44/23 IAD: 41/17 BWI: 40/19
  5. Deck Pic
    Forecast for my backyard Midnight - 1:30 am Rain/Mix changing to all snow. Temps drop from upper 30s to mid 30s 1:30 am - 4 am Snow then tapering off. 33-34 degrees Total accumulation 1-2"
  6. Deck Pic
    in Frederick...midnight- 1am
  7. Deck Pic
    Id probably use euro/NBM combo for overall QPF. But maybe we’ll be surprised.
  8. Deck Pic
    DCA falls to 33 at 2 am. It would be nice to get some accumulation here before that.
  9. Deck Pic
    47/19, partly sunny. Can’t wait for the sun to set
  10. Deck Pic
    That’s kind of my thinking now for mby. That more than 0.5”-ish by 1:30 is kind of a bonus. And the bulk falls after that.
  11. Deck Pic
    This is known as the "bargaining stage of grief".
  12. Deck Pic
    i'm glad we have a good 4-5 hours of dark pre-event to cool down a bit.
  13. Deck Pic
    my 2 cents is no. Because the "bad" trend isn't region wide. The latest trends are good for the climo crew. We could start an obs thread tho? I don't know the protocol here
  14. Deck Pic
    This was predetermined days ago. It's why the GFS with the southern stripe yesterday was silly. Climo wins. The usual suspects are going to clean up.
  15. Deck Pic
    I've rapidly transitioned to head in the sand mode. I'm ignoring anything negative.
  16. Deck Pic
    It came across wrong. I was speaking generally about how I'm approaching this. As far as maps, the more the merrier. Kuchera, 10:1, snow coverage in siberia. It's good to have the data. Appreciate all the posts.
  17. Deck Pic
    I don't like the kuchera maps for this. Better to come up with a predicted liquid amount and work from there.
  18. Deck Pic
    I think that's right for us. We probably do pretty so-so in the 11 pm - 1 am segment and score in the last 2-3 hours. I could see 0.5" or something in the first couple hours, and then we'll score at the end. I think 1-3" might be more realistic though.
  19. Deck Pic
    3k is quite a bit better than the 12k - at least for me
  20. Deck Pic
    well?
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    where you are, you could hit or even exceed 4". I'm a little worse off. I think I have to be happy with 2-3"
  22. Deck Pic
    NBM seems to be ingesting the latest trends.
  23. Deck Pic
    yeah, and I got sister kissed to death.
  24. Deck Pic
    46/18, Partly sunny. awaiting my snowstorm
  25. Deck Pic
    I think so. You for sure. I could see you doubling my total. I might get stuck at like 34 for a while.
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