outflow

Me too, big limb fell ripped the service line off the house just a bit ago

Power outages are going up fast across se mi with 33,000 for dte energy now. Trees are really stressed already up here in the thumb and starting to loose some bigger limbs. Probably about 3 inches so far

Haven't been looking at this as closely as normal, what's the upper end wind potential along the lakes looking? From my brief look. I'm guessing 50-55mph?

I could deal with a third, fourth, and fifth November or any month for that matter if it came with something interesting instead of the endless zzzzz much of the great lakes area seem to be stuck in.

Fun little cell yesterday afternoon came across Saginaw bay and tried very hard to produce as it came onshore with about a 10 minute window when it had wall cloud with rapid motion before becoming wrapped in rain and outflow dominant. Produced some 60-70 mph gusts as it came overhead with lots of tree damage. Nice little local marginal day. Looking from the se to nw before I moved and the storm tightened up

It's like mother nature seen this and said hold my beer..... Side note it still amazes me how summertime convection can make humans and computers look completely clueless when it comes to forecasting even 12 hrs in advance, but in the same sense it wouldn't be as fun if we knew exactly what would happen would it

I think the severe chances, besides some low end risk over the next 1-3 hrs, are highly in question just about anywhere in the enhanced risk area with this first mcs coming through before the better support and dynamics come into play later this afternoon. There will have to be a quick recovery in order for another round to fire and have a chance at some higher end potential. At least there is another widespread rainfall to continue to erase drought concerns.

Nearby corn got cut....

Lots of tree damage in that area along with wind driven hail damage. Couldn't keep in front of it when it finally got tight around the village of Applegate, got a late start and played catchup having to drive in through all the heavy rain.

Pretty much a given if there is a giant event happening, nascar race, that requires good weather it will rain the entire time.

Worst I have ever seen it today in mi thumb, it's even hazy inside our shop today with the overhead doors open.

Its the monotony of this pattern that is the worst, it's like living the same day over and over. Hell, I'd take a 55 degree cold light all day rain every few days just for a change of pace.

First thunder in forever just now, rocking the typical 65/53 temp/dewpoint you would expect for June thunder. Trace of rain so far

There was/is a 3500 acre wildfire near grayling that has shut down i75 for most of the day today

At least as you get into later may and June you usually have daily activity off the front range to chase as a backup if there isn't any targets further east in the plains. It might not be high end tornado potential but you could still get lucky and also have some spectacular structure shots. You try to plan a April or early May vacation you may end up with a week of cool and dry after a cold front plows Into the gulf the day before you get out there. If I ever were to have the chance to dueba plains vacation it would definitely be the last week of May up to mid june

The boats fishing off the thumb in 20-50 feet of water are getting surface temps in the low to mid 50s today

At this point it's go massive or go home when it comes to cold/snow, 20s and mood flakes just don't cut it

No one wants a Canadian coup

Wwa for bay Midland Saginaw tuscola Huron imo

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10160242926902559&id=83040292558 This is what it's been like going on 18 hours around this part of michigans thumb. I would guess 4 inches of snow but with the wind it's been very difficult to impossible to travel outside of towns. Sheriff's department early this afternoon stressed no travel unless an absolute emergency and wreckers and road crews were being pulled at dark. So despite that relative low snowfall totals it definitely will be one to remember locally for a while.

What the hell is the SWC and what drug were they on when they posted that best guess low track map

I see Hawaii is under a svr tstorm watch right now don't remember seeing that too often

I always feeled robbed when such a dramatic shift in the weather comes with zero local interesting phenomenon like your dry frontal passage

Box elders are good for that too.