Jump to content

1234snow

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,725

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. 1234snow
    18z FV3 slowly coming in on tropical tidbits and boy is it a good one. Dynamical cooling really takes effect. Here’s the clown out to 126. There are some frames there and not there after this time frame. But it appears that some snow sticks around to hour 150. So this map will go up some once it loads.
  2. 1234snow
    I’ve been following storms on various forums starting out in 2008 on the old Accuweather forums and Toot’s old forum and I will have to say that the 12z has the highest totals I have ever seen modeled by any model for NETN and surrounding areas. That goes down #1 of all time for fantasy runs. That being said I’m at work and haven’t had to chance to look at why that run was different from the 0z Euro.
  3. 1234snow
    I’m pretty sure the FV3 GFS incorrectly assumes sleet and freezing rain as snow on the clown maps. But it is colder overall. Even gives Chatty a front end thump of snow.
  4. 1234snow
    12z Canadian has a similar idea and track as the GFS but it is warmer. West TN gets heavy snow on the backside. 12”+ west of Nashville. Canadian does have an initial strip of snow across most of the state on Saturday before the main event that drops a few inches. ICON is by far the warmest model with rain even in CAD regions east of the mountains
  5. 1234snow
    Like Carver’s said this run was different with the banana high to the north helping to switch the rain over to heavy snow on the north and eastern fringes of our area. That is something different from the past several runs of the GFS. Euro has been more of a front end thump and then switching to rain at the end. I would be shocked to see the models lose this storm just based on the consistency of all models seeing the energy out west and rolling it east. That’s a fairly big trough ejecting out of the 4 corners region. What I have noticed is that the system has trended slower the past few days of runs. That has me concerned a little bit. I’m afraid the energy will hang back longer out west and we will lose our cold air source and highs to the north and we will be stuck with a cold rain. Regardless I’ll file that run into my top 5 fantasy runs ever lol.
  6. 1234snow
    The 12z GFS clown: Coming into agreement with last night’s 0z Euro.
  7. 1234snow
    Thanks for the explanation for this odd band Jeff. I had never noticed it before during northwest flow events. The flow around the mountain was more from the West yesterday and more from the northwest today. But, I’ve never noticed that band all by itself with no other bands close by before.
  8. 1234snow
    I was in Lebanon for most of today and there wasn’t much to write home about. But I’m not sure if Honaker gets more than south of there.
  9. 1234snow
    Just drove through a really nice snow shower in Bristol. Really interesting band has set up south of Kingsport today. Nothing much in SWVA today.
  10. 1234snow
    Yeah I think areas to the east and northeast of us saw a lot more rain on Sunday. I noticed the Holston was really up in areas close to Abingdon yesterday.
  11. 1234snow
    I have a feeling we might be getting NAM’d again. All other models are skimpy on backside development. The normally reliable RGEM didn’t have much on the backside. But the RGEM looked funky with convection in the Gulf Coast that may rob moisture up this way. Anyways it would just be cool to see big flakes falling this late!
  12. 1234snow
    Back to all rain now that was quick. CC line has pushed thru. Very accurate
  13. 1234snow
    Ginormous flakes falling now all snow. Heaviest snow of the year.
  14. 1234snow
    Some big flakes are flying but still mixed in with rain
  15. 1234snow
    Snow is mixed with light rain here currently. The CC line has moved back and forth over past 30 minutes. I’m just too far south for this event. 35 degrees and another “what could of been” storm. What are you seeing BlunderStorm?
  16. 1234snow
    All 0z models shifted the initial snow band for Friday night/Saturday morning west into more of SWVA and getting close to NETN. Areas from Marion to Blacksburg look to get anywhere from 4-10”. May have to use shovels at the Martinsville race on Sunday.
  17. 1234snow
    Had a dusting overnight that partially melted this morning but now moderate snow has moved back in over the past 30 minutes. Probably have an inch now and the roads are starting to get covered actually. Wind is howling and the flakes are tiny tiny. Not pellets but very tiny little balls of snow. Temp is 31.
  18. 1234snow
    Knoxville should start switching over around midnight or shortly after.
  19. 1234snow
    I really feel like you are in the best spot out of all of us for this event. I think you can get 2-3” inches from midnight till sunrise. You have some more elevation and you will be getting most of the “heavier snow” before sunrise. After sunrise nothing much will stick for anyone expect the highest of peaks like you said.
  20. 1234snow
    Areas from Wytheville to Blacksburg have turned over to heavy snow just now.
  21. 1234snow
    CMC and ICON bury the east coast while the GFS is a whiff for those folks. 12k NAM buries parts of VA east of Roanoke with a foot plus. For us it will be tough to get accumulating snow outside of the higher elevations. Unless the vort can close off and suck the cold air in faster. Your saying is snow just a few days after thunder and lighting right? Lol
  22. 1234snow
    Kingsport needs to watch out for hail over the next hour or so. Already half inch hail reported. Also some idiot lit a brush fire about 10 minutes ago. Wind is howling.
  23. 1234snow
    SPC outlook today. Large hail and damaging winds the threat this evening across NETN/SWVA.
  24. 1234snow
    Well that was certainly worth the wait! I'm so glad that I camped out overnight and found a place right on the centerline. I knew what to except going in but nothing can prepare you for what I just saw. The raw emotions were incredible. 20 minutes before crickets started chirping and it got dimmer and dimmer. Right as totality hit the shadow bands of light danced across the ground and the cars and it instantly got dark. Everyone let out a big roar and started clapping and jumping up and down. It was literally a 360 sunset around edges. You could see Mars and mercury and other stars. It went from hot humid to about 10 degrees cooler. There were a bunch of clouds that we thought was going to block the sun but they vanished right before totality. I think it was directly due to the eclipse. The corona was so vivid it's hard to describe. 3 minutes later the moon left and a big diamond ring appeared in the top right corner and the shadow beads returned and totality was over and the birds started going crazy chirping in the distance.
  25. 1234snow
    I've meet people from all across the country. Mostly from Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York.
×
×
  • Create New...