weatherpruf

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

The weeklies are wretched. God awful, horrible, worst I’ve ever seen in all my years as a weather hobbyist. This fail/bust was one for the ages. If the weeklies said the sky was blue I wouldn’t believe them

We had a few events. Maybe next year things will turn around. Other than the freakish warmth, this was pretty much an 80s type winter. Time to plan the garden, change the fishing lines, sharpen the hooks. 

20 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Numerous strong El Niño events have seen snow in March and have turned colder for a time in the leadup to mid-March (generally weeks 2 through 3). Of course, there's no guarantee that the upcoming March will evolve in such fashion though the monthly guidance hints at an almost canonical ENSO map.

was 93 an El Nino? we had some piddly events then a bigger one in Feb, followed by the superstorm in Mid March. 

28 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Snowshoeing to the tip of Sandy Hook. So far looks like 9-12" here

And you didn't bring a rod? Never know......

6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Same. By less than 3 miles I got 8 instead of 3

We finally jackpotted instead of dryslotting for once.

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

no mail delivery today

Thanks for the update. No bills coming til Tuesday.

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

As of about 5.50 am the snow band finally petered out and I measured 11.0" for a paltry 1" in the last hour - usually i would kill fire that lol.  Could still get another inch over the next few hours but the main event is over. Saw 12" retorted in Readington and plenty of 10+" amounts in CNJ and 9.9" in Metuchen at 5 am which is very close to my 10" at 4.45 am. Really feeling like a once in a lifetime event for a surprise localized major storm and especially getting 2"/hr rates for 5+ hours.  Very LES like.

I was the only maniac at the mall today...me and the janitors. But couldn't start up the snow blower at 6 am. Let the neighbors sleep, plus it is illegal.....got some nice pictures around Menlo. Plows having an easier time with this storm. They actually struggled with the ice a few weeks back, they closed the upper decks for a week til it melted. Going to fire up the big blower today.....10-11 inches ....

36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Notice all the snow on the trees?  This a nice wet snow, not some average dry powdery stuff.

it's a powder out here in NJ. Not wet at all.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

HRRR has it snowing until 11am for NYC but lighter rates.

 Great storm out here Ant

17 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 4.45 am we just hit 10"!  So 1.75" last hour.  Must be at least 15.1 ratio snow... looks like another 30-45 min of heavy snow...

Just picked my daughter up from work. She said dad its like a foot. I said no way, strapped on my waterproof short boots, went out, snow went right over them. Time to get the pack boots out.....and still snowing. Biggest snow since 2022..

51 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Looks good for our area. We better not loose this heavy band to sw ct haha 

Don't even think it.....

1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

so far nice shifts this morning on the models,,,,on a selfish level I hope that it shifts just a wee bit more for me and let's get it juicier !!!

I'm surprised. Last I checked this was south and struggling. Remember Henry Morgusity; " It wants to snow there..." very unscientific....but who knows?

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

No

Gotta take the daughter to Brooklyn to doctor this afternoon. Good thing we didn't take the Sat appointment. No place to park even without the snow.

4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah still enough time for a north bump. RGEM tonight looked lousy but HRRR and both NAMs looked ok, so it hasn't been a bad 0z suite so far. I'd love to see 3 to 4, but I'll be satisfied if we get 2. 

Is this a clipper? Never seen one produce yet since I've been following.

4 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of about 12:15 the snow ended and that last good 45 min band got us to 6.0" as per my lousy pic below, using the yardstick I grew up with, lol. 

Not quite the 7.2" I predicted, due to probably missing out on 1.5-2.0" from being in that heinous subsidence hell hole for 3 hours, lol. But Woo-hoo! since my expectations several days ago, when things were trending warm/wet for 95, was maybe an inch or two of slop...although there was certainly some hope for a 10-12" event in the past day or two if things worked out perfectly, but not a surprise that that didn't happen, which is why my prediction was for a more realistic 7.2".

This brings the season total up to a respectable 13.3", still well below where we should be (about 18" through this point in the winter), but way better than last winter's 5.2" here. And there are some more snow chances over the next few weeks.

And this storm is one more data point showing that snow will easily accumulate on all untreated surfaces at 33-34F, as long as there is moderate to high intensity, even after a warm/rainy day. Curious to see what my ratios were (in progress). Guessing pretty low early in the storm with some sleet and pretty wet snow, but probably >10:1 once the snow started falling heavily around sunrise and especially by mid-morning as the snow was fairly fluffy with nice dendrites, but I'll only be able to get one aggregate number.

6 is a pretty good storm for us, we were progged for 4-8, so there we are. Was hoping for a bit more but it's fine. Was a little tough driving down route 1 this morning to Edison, and worse coming home, but things are fine now. More like a March storm IMO.

Just now, Gravity Wave said:

Lack of consistent heavy rates plus the bad boundary layer (and warm pre-storm conditions) killed the storm in Manhattan. Very reminiscent of 3/7/18 where it snowed all day but the deform band ended up over NNJ instead of the City where it was modeled to be and the torched boundary layer never never got the full dynamic cooling effect so we had 33-34 degree white rain. Wound up with a coating of slush in Midtown and little more in Chelsea.

i think its a little better than that; we had about4-5 today just across the rive from the city and in that storm it was white rain; and the one after was almost as lame here.

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

It's coming down at a pretty good clip here. Should be picking up in your area soon as this final band swings through. A little over 5 inches here. A heavier burst with the back edge should get us to between 5 and half and 6. Yesterday I thought we'd be somewhere between 4 and 7, so pretty much what was expected. Not a blockbuster obviously, but a nice moderate snowstorm seems like a great event after getting very little the last couple years. I'm pleased. 

A typical 80s type event. But heavier  wet snow than we would have gotten at this time of year back then; it was usually a powder.

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

one final band then its a wrap

Can't break 5 inches around here unless its a blockbuster. But good enough. Got a workout. 

7 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Lame. Substance hell 

No real accums for hours. If you hate snow, this is the region to be in around the metro.

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's happened many times over the years. It is what it is. It doesn't mean we won't see anymore snow but we were stuck in it for an hour at least 

I know, people here in the past often did not believe me. Like, why would I make that up?

1 minute ago, ag3 said:

Nonsense. Let it play out. 

it isn't nonsense. it happens quite a bit here. Something about the geography is my guess.

Just now, RU848789 said:

As of 9:30 am 4.5" of snow on the ground at 32F as we only got 1/2" over the last hour, due to being stuck in what looks like a subsidence lull. Might keep us from getting above 6" if this doesn't end soon.  

I think this is about our ceiling for this one. Enjoy it. After the last two years, it's a welcome sight. 

8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yep would've gotten 7 or 8 otherwise

Still could I guess if we get lucky later on

It is the default setting for snow in this area. It will find a way to underperform here most of the time. I have never gotten an explanation as to why, but I've watched it for at least the past 8-9 years or so. But we got some and its a nice wintry day out, and lots of people got to sleep in and blow off serious work for the day. If your are an essential worker well that's the way it goes. We need you folks. Guess I'll read for a bit then go clean up.

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

I'm in hazlet northern Monmouth. Got about 4" an it's snowing hard for the last hr 

That's better than here and what radar is showing. Subsidence hell.....that's what this area is lol. Less for me to clean. 

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

 

 

 

That looks like a big swath of CNJ isn't doing much. Trenton to Woodbridge. As usual and its what I'm observing. That looks like Monmouth is doing well. Reports from the area?

52 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Puking….

 

We rip 

It's pretty slow going out there. Just got back. Traffic is moving ok but you aren't going anywhere fast. Lots of plows and salters out on rte 1. Side streets are a mess. Good day to stay home. I was the only maniac walking the mall just me and the homeless and the maintenance crews.