UpstateSCBud

1 minute ago, Tigerchick224 said:

You must live near me! Literally the bullseye between the northern warning and the southern warning.


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I'm close to the spinx here in TR.

Got fortunate here where I'm at in Travelers Rest. Worst of it went just south and just north of me. 

Confirmed large tornado according to Chris Justus with this cell that went through Seneca 

Some sort of rain/snow/sleet mix now in TR. Hard to tell in the dark. Sidewalks and roads have a nice dusting on them. Should be a fun drive to work in the morning.

1 hour ago, Tigerchick224 said:

Has there ever been a storm in Upstate SC where the warm nose was a non-factor? I’ve lived here my whole life but have only really gotten into the technical aspects of meteorology the past few years and it seems it always has to rear it’s stupid, ugly, head every time!


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That's a good question. Climatology is a real b*tch and it's hard to get just snow here. Even in the 93 superstorm I remember sleet mixing in here. 

4 minutes ago, Ontherocks said:

At what time will we know we’ve missed our Hrrr or fv3 window...if we aren’t transitioned/wedged out by midnight? 

Not sure where you are, but I don't think we'll know until morning in the Upstate. Believe the heaviest is suppose to be from midnight to the morning.

What a differencea few miles makes. Left Simpsonville to cold rain, arrived home in TR to beautiful snow falling. 

12 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

I’m hearing taps being played. Throwing in the towel. 

You've thrown in the towel so many times with this storm I'm surprised you have any left. You've made it clear how pessimistic you are about it. 

2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

39.4 rain, winning:(

Isn't that where you were forecasted to be at this time?I 

30 minutes ago, Tigerchick224 said:

Can confirm a very wet snow falling in Travelers Rest, SC per a friend.


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I'm stuck in cold rainy Simpsonville at the moment. I'll be back in Travelers Rest by 7 hopefully before the worst of it starts.

1 minute ago, Cornsnow said:

Devastating if that verifies.

Not gonna happen, not that much anyway. Even half of that though in this area would be terrible. 

7 minutes ago, Cornsnow said:

I just do not get all the negativity. Sure it may or may not snow/sleet/ice or whatever but some people get so happy when the negative forecasts verify or start coming in. That's when their post counts start going up and and they seem to become giddy. I would hate to to through life that way. It must be down right miserable.

lilj and mack...cough cough 

15 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

I get an inch off the NAM. Woohoo. I’m saved.  

In early December. Be thankful for anything you get here this time of year...or any time of year for that matter lol. 

Hopefully it's a sign of things to come in what's suppose to be a very active winter.

Not sure why all the cliff jumping for some in Upstate SC. WYFF still seems highly confident and has even upped the snow totals in some places. 

Of course, I'm also sitting good being up in TR too. First winter on the good side of I-85! Glad I made that move lol 

WYFF is buying into the southern trend. They've upped their snowfall totals for the upstate.

Game over for snow in Upstate SC? Looking more and more like it. Once it trends this way it usually doesn't trend back this close to the event.

5 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

out to 102 of the fv3 gfs the snow fall mean has shifted south a good bit. if you go back and compare the previous runs the southern trend that Wow pointed out is clearly noticeable

Hoping that trend continues so more of upstate SC can cash in. Definitely different seeing a continued southern trend. Use to it trending North, but still plenty of time for that to happen unfortunately.

6 minutes ago, Lookout said:

I'm willing to bet a dollar that the gfs is full of **** for gsp/upstate. 

canadian is quite a bit colder than previous runs. a whopping 8 degrees colder in fact here. 

I'll take that bet. Living in upstate SC for 30 years can make one quite the pessimist. I've even come up with my own formula to determine snow amounts. Take whatever is being modeled/forecasted and cut it in half. Take that total and cut it in half again. Whatever is remaining from that total, assume at least 1" of it will be either sleet, freezing rain, or cold rain. Be happy if what's left of the total is snow.

14 minutes ago, pbrown85 said:

Living in the Greenville SC area I also remember maybe 3 years ago we were super close to a modeled huge storm. Gsp even mentioned 12" possible for Greenville. We ended up with maybe an inch of slush after all the cold rain and mixing. Crossing my fingers that this one gives us something 

A "storm" that will live in infamy around these parts and one I will remember forever. Biggest forcast fail I can remember for this area. Even Chris Justus and John C were on air on WYFF for that day guaranteeing 8-12" of snow. Then we end up with sleet and freezing rain.

#Florence is getting OWNED by wind shear! Potential it might be an elevated Tropical Storm at landfall... Time to stop shoveling coal into the hype-train; wind, surge and precip will be dangerous, but now significantly lower with this storm: https://t.co/eJ3ufwsY69

1 minute ago, jshetley said:

Maybe folks should listen to me more. This storm is done for the GSP metro along with Charlotte.

Lol what?!