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weathermedic

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Posts posted by weathermedic

  1. 59 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

    Meh. My guess is they die out and we get weak showers and some wind

     

    FB_IMG_1713102209186.jpg

    From OKX AFD:

    While there is deep-layer shear present with strong mid-level
    flow, instability is generally weak and confined primarily to
    the mid levels. Surface-based CAPE is located mainly north and
    west of the NYC metro with SPC HREF max CAPE values of 500-1000
    J/KG. Mean CAPE values are less than 250 J/KG. This is partly
    due to the frontal timing in the evening after max insolation,
    but also dry air in the low-levels. CAMs generally show the line
    dissipating this evening as it approaches the area and in some
    cases with no more than a spotty shower reaching the coast. So
    the best chance will be across the interior with chances
    decreasing toward the coast.
    • Like 2
  2. 32 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

    Don’t be surprised if we see thunder and lightning later. The soundings support elevated convection. It’s extremely unstable 

    The morning KOKX AFD mentioned the possibility:

    Confidence in
    thunder is low, but with some elevated CAPE, it can not be ruled
    out. Some CAMs also continue to show a convective line moving
    through the area this afternoon into the early evening. Given
    the possibility of this line, strong southeast winds this
    afternoon and then strong northwest winds again behind this
    system tonight, decided to go with a Wind Advisory for the whole
    area. Although gusts will be marginal (mainly isolated 45 to 50
    mph) soaked grounds will make it easy for trees to be downed.
  3. Wind advisories posted area wide late tonight and tomorrow for gusts up to 55mph. In other news, I’m in Westbury LI and there is graupel falling mixed with rain. Car thermometer showing 45 degrees.

  4. 5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Looks like the highest tide at Freeport of the 2020s so far.

    https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=01310521&legacy=1

     

    0EFC4D73-1A8F-4781-930C-8AD456DAABD1.png.7ae9d5ecbaccd93a4710c9a2819e1a9e.png
     

     

    Definitely more tidal flooding today than the last storm. Meadowbrook Pky, Wantagh Pky near Jones Beach under water. Parts of Howard Beach and Broad Channel under water along with a couple of blocks of Cross Bay Blvd in Queens.

    Edit: Island Park LIRR station also flooded.

    • Like 2
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