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CNY_WX

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    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Write up from Channel 9 in Syracuse chief meteorologist Jim Teske:
     
     
    10419528_733269470076329_450421992121889
     
     
     
     

    I'll just add a few notes for tonight's post about the weekend storm.

    IMPACTS: Arrival time looks to be about the same with something early in the afternoon. Remember, just because a Winter Storm Watch starts at 1 pm doesn't mean it starts snow hard at that time. The snow will be steady but relatively light through sunset.

    Heaviest snow begins in the evening and peaks overnight Saturday with snowfall rates of 1 - 2 inches and hour.

    It seems like the threat for real heavy snow is through about 8 or 9 am Sunday then lighter snow.

    However, wind will whip this snow around. It is not a wet snow so I would expect quite a bit of blowing and drifting.

    SNOWFALL AMOUNTS: I'm re posting our snowfall accumulation map. When forecasting the snowfall amounts this time around we really keyed in on temperatures. During the duration of the event we should be in the teens, not the 20s to near 30 like you might see in widespread snows like this. Why is this important? With these colder temperatures we end up squeezing more snow. If this snow occurred with a temperature around 25 - 28 we might forecast something closer to 8-12" However, with the colder temperatures we've ramped it up to 12-20" for Syracuse.

    LAKE EFFECT: We are still watching for lake effect Sunday night into Monday but two things seem to be working against a big accumulation for Syracuse. 1) The air is trying to dry out and 2) the wind direction seems to be a bit more northerly then the models were forecasting early in the week. Right now the best chance for an additional accumulation from lake effect looks to be over the Finger Lakes west of Syracuse. We'll keep you posted on the exact amounts as we get closer.

    That's all for now. Don't forget to join me on Facebook Live Thursday night at 8:45 pm.

    No photo description available.
    No photo description available.
     
     
     

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

    Winter Storm watches up for portions of the GTA. Looking around 6-10" here which I will gladly take because this winter has been awful. 

    What is Toronto’s yearly average snowfall?  Being on the wrong end of Lake Ontario and not in a favorable synoptic location it’s probably fairly low.

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted 

    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
213 PM EST Wed Jan 16 2019

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-170715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0003.190119T1800Z-190121T2300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-
Lewis-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville,
Orchard Park, and Springville
213 PM EST Wed Jan 16 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Light snow will begin as early as
  Saturday morning. Snow will become heavy Saturday night and
  continue into Sunday. Snow will then transition to lake effect
  Sunday night and continue through Monday. At this time, greater
  than 7 inches of snow is possible. Gusty winds and arctic air
  will also produce blowing and drifting snow and wind chills well
  below zero.

* WHERE...All of western and north central New York.

* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
  Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Begin needed preparations at home or with your vehicle. Travel
may become difficult, so plan accordingly.

&&

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted 

    Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1238 PM EST WED JAN 16 2019

NYZ009-018-036-037-161845-
Onondaga-Southern Oneida-Madison-Northern Oneida-
1238 PM EST WED JAN 16 2019

...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT ONEIDA...NORTHWESTERN MADISON AND
NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTIES...

At 1238 PM EST, a snow squall was located along a line extending from
7 miles northwest of Old Forge to near Plainville. Movement was east
at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with this squall.

Locations impacted include...
Syracuse, Utica, Clay, Rome, Cicero, De Witt, Sullivan, Van Buren,
Oneida and Kirkland.

     

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