HailMan06

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

An Insurance nightmare waiting to happen...

Yup one more Andrew but shifted 25-40 miles north and it’s lights out for Florida’s economy.

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

Down to a chilled 32, now 46.   Eclipse, eclipsed by clouds in E/C - PA- will be close.   Otherwise mid/upper 60s.  Warmest day since March 14/15 perhaps bit more and since last fall, tomorrow with low- mid 70s.  Clouds, ran Wed - Sat before drying out. Sun 4/14 into next week warmer.

 

 

It’ll be cool looking at this map later with the eclipse.

2 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Hopefully not an 8.8 

Go big or go home

It first felt like an explosion but was going on for too long to be one. Last real earthquake I experienced was when I was in Virginia Beach in 2011. But I’ve felt two much smaller ones more recently when I was visiting in-laws in Ecuador.

I was in Bernardsville at the supermarket here when it happened. Everything was shaking and rumbling and people were rushing outside. It was crazy. I guess I felt it stronger than others since the epicenter was less than 10 miles from me.

19 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Wow, that is news. I guess I won't be using the MEI for future outlooks then. Might have to go with RONI or use my own custom dataset or something.

 

Bring it on. 

I'm not expecting a winter next year imby, so might as well go ape with this nina and hopefully the strong trades push those cooler waters all the way into the maritime content / west pacific warm pool while we're at it.

 

I’m probably going to Ecuador this August so likely looking at dry conditions over there when I go.

28 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The lack of snowcover in North America is incredible.    Has to rival stinkers like 01-02 and 11-12

Yeah it’s going to be another bad Canadian wildfire season.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

People need to realize that 1 Mecs/ Hecs storm can bring NYC near normal and the pattern ahead can certainly do that.

Sure anything is possible, but relying on a HECS as a Hail Mary to bring us up to normal kinda reeks of desperation.

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

 

It’s cold but for a cold snap at the climatologically coldest week of the year it’s pretty meh.

Happy (almost)Birthday @Rjay!!

1 hour ago, North and West said:

Honest question, how is this a torch? It looks dull and seasonable more than anything.

It’s not cold, it’s not snow, and it’s not memorable.

(You did say signs, so I’m assuming it’s going to trend warmer?)




.

Those are like +5 anomalies averaged over the week. Idk if you’d call it a torch but it’s certainly warm climate-wise.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

My neighbors back on the South Shore would wrap their windmill palms and they would survive the winters. Probably made more effective by not having any cold winters since 14-15. I like the look of the newer Crepe Myrtles more. They match the look of our natural tree varieties better in my opinion than palms. The palms on the GSB in the winter in Lindenhurst when the bay freezes look out of place to me. But I can see how people like them the rest of the year with the party atmosphere down there.

Yeah I’ve been seeing a lot of Crape Myrtle popping up around my area in Somerset County, NJ.

34 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

woah... this is a new side of you i didnt know existed

Forky will never pass up an opportunity to troll the snow weenies but he’s honestly pretty fair. If he sees something coming up that’s favorable for winter he’ll post about it.

The USDA released their new plant hardiness zone map and almost everyone moved up a whole zone.

https://www.axios.com/2023/11/17/2023-plant-hardiness-map

https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/pages/map-downloads

1 hour ago, Dark Star said:

Cirrus here as well.  Is this normal: The cirrus spinning clockwise on the westernside while everything else is moving in a counterclockwise direction?

I thought that’s pretty typical having an anticyclonic flow above TC’s, especially well developed ones.

Looks a bit annular to me. Beautiful.

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

IDK, everyone has an opinion....and I know that the smart money is always on above normal to some degree in this modern era, but this doesn't signal "game over" to me.

It looks like December is kind of eh......then shit hits the fan in January into February, which lines up with what I am coming up with independently.

 

If anything this screams record high global temps. The southern US would be an island of BN temps in a sea of warmth.

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

You are a broken record. You have been saying this literally since March. 5 months now. Boy who cried wolf 

Pot calling the kettle black

43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'm really curious to know how this theoretical 160 deg F has been determined ...

CNN -

"Southern Iran registered a heat index value — the apparent “feels like” temperature to the human body — of 152 degrees Fahrenheit on Sunday. Heat indexes of 160 are widely considered the upper threshold of what humans can endure."

https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/global-heat-wave-weather-temperatures-07-18-23/index.html

Because you can slow smoke-roast at full bird turkey at 160 F ... 

Maybe around 35C wet bulb temperature?

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Hrrr has it fall apart but who knows

Anything’s possible I guess

2 minutes ago, HailMan06 said:

Look at all the activity down over the Delaware Bay and se PA. That all has pass through here still.

Delmarva too

Look at all the activity down over the Delaware Bay and se PA. That all has pass through here still.

6 minutes ago, Picard said:

That might be conservative if we get in on that mass of precipitation still training through eastern PA.

It's been a while since we've seen a radar this geographically extensive at one time with heavy rainfall rates.

1.55" in the bucket here, but so far I'm missing the heaviest of it.  

Radar presentation resembles a lot like Ida to me.

I would that today should warrant a heat advisory. 

Made it onto the home page of CNBC.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/05/climate-crisis-world-registers-hottest-day-since-records-began.html