rochesterdave

About 2” at Brantingham. Snow ridge is reporting 4” at 7 am. That snow minima over Lewis county was for real…

4 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

We are but mere hours away from reaching last season's paltry show totals and upgrading this winter from a D- to a D!

Morch 

1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The last jeb walk of the season. 

Sweet! But it’s early March. Ya never know. You really got lucky with a few of these sliders

14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Heavy snow 

Won’t be the first time this winter you get a surprise over performance. What the heck! Lol. I would not be at all shocked if you end up with more than my location in the western ADKS. 

Big flakes on my cam in Irondequoit. Nothing sticking yet

14 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

How much pack is left?

About 6-12 in the fields. Not much under the pines.

Just got up to Brantingham. 37f and cloudy. 6” would be a win!

What a terrible storm. Like water torture. Each run is just slightly worse until we are down to nothing. I have no idea what the NWS sees. 
My brother is driving from NW Philly to the ADKS to go skiing and the latest NAM run gives Philly more snow than the western ADKs. 
 

Pretty lackluster stuff. I guess we’ll take what we get. 

EURO looks better too

2 minutes ago, PerintonMan said:

I know this is a SYR-focused forecast, but 1-3" for the Thruway corridor from basically Del Lago on west is much lower than anyone else.

He always does that. It’s only accurate for Syracuse proper. Drives me nuts

1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said:

Alright, I'm pushing off for Vermont at 4am tomorrow morning/tonight.  Still riding the hairy edge of that rain snow line, but that's typically where you want to be.  I'm hoping some elevation also helps out.  Good luck to everyone with what will likely be the last "big one" of this winter.

I think you’re golden

18z suite looked a lot better than 12z for most everyone here. Spread the wealth. More organized and more agreed upon track. 

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The NAM is a "good" model. 

You’ll be eating your words when a tidal wave wipes out the east coast. Lol

1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The NAM is a "good" model. 

It was way ahead of the globals with the SE shift

Look at the 3k difference early

HRRR and NAM look completely different than their 12z runs

1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

It's so ridiculous there's this much disparity amongst the models so close. The trend of it becoming a non-storm is unfortunately increasing.

Crazy how far apart they are for how close we are. 

10 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

UK barely has a storm lol

Christ. This is gonna be the bust of the winter at this rate. 

GFS keeps hope alive!

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

It too shifted SE a bit. Ok, NW trend can start any minute now.

As MJO stated, we don’t have blocking, is that why it wants to slide away? At least NAM is the only disaster thus far. 

2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Still snowing at Hour 53.

Just unbelievable how different these are at this range. 

The FV3 has the LP over NW NJ at 986. NAM is over water at 990. Let’s pray that the NAM is wrong. 

Puke

NAM looks to be digging a bit earlier. Who knows…