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tombo82685

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Posts posted by tombo82685

  1. Thinking 6-8 here in the northern tug, but could see double digits if we can stay just north of sleet line. 

    The VT/NH area on northeast looks pretty darn good for early next week system right now as your deeper into the cold than here. Hoping to get something on the back side with some lake effect. 

  2. 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

    EPS day 10-15 is pretty nice. Might have to punt next week down south for us but post next week is looking nicer. 

    87F9DEDA-94D5-43FA-9E0D-11E88B8BF8F2.png

    CB59F1EA-856E-4A85-9F12-DD4E4EB4CA8D.png

    3C25BA84-EA19-46F2-B120-31B4BE92CA65.png

    The thing I think you have to be careful about with these 10-15 day outlooks is the over smoothing due to disagreement. My worry here is, right now they look good because they may be over smoothing the below normal hgts. As we get closer though, you get more agreement of a -pna and start losing the below normal hgt look in the east and replaced with a stronger se ridge in response to the -pna. I just don't see the -pna going away with how the tropical forcing is materializes. More and more agreement from what I see any convection croaks before reaching the whem and to me, that spells continuance of the torugh out west. 

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