H2Otown_WX

One more north tic and we're teetering with disaster like a 1-3" deal even along or slightly north of 84. I feel this could be the worst winter ever in my lifetime given that we had multiple chances to do a lot better but have come up virtually empty.

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, that was Feb 2001

Seems like you're in line for another 20 burger

4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

37 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I wanted to get back and change both recent titles actually, but during the course of both run-up week(s) I was bombed at work; and so it not really being a huge priority in anyone's life ( certainly should not be),  I didn't find the time do so - oh well.

That said, I don't typically use the word "threat," anyway.  Not a big fan of that expression. I feel/suspect it is used ( if unconsciously ) to lean everything in a euphoria pitch. I like talking about prospects more dispassionately than that. 

I refer to 'periods of interest,' and then if those coalesce more coherently, 'signals' is warranted.    I find that tact to be necessarily neutral enough.  I am aware that I do reasonably well at diagnosing these events in the D6-10 range - not my first rodeo and have been told this over the years.  NO, one cannot guarantee therein who gets the 8" and who "suffers" with 3" ...  But the confidences of those, this season so far, have worked out well being set at medium for good reasons  -I'm satisfied with the verification on both.   But therein lies some responsibility not to inflate using dialogue that contributes to that euphoria thing people have created out of weather modeling graphics-engagement.  Which I frankly am not even sure that is healthy -

No worries man, I greatly appreciate your insight. We're very lucky to have someone as knowledgeable as you on the board. I was kind of tongue in cheek about the word monitoring being bad luck lol. Thanks for the response.

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At this point, I'd be happy with an advisory. 

Agreed, a 3-5" type deal that doesn't melt the next day would be nice. I guess by the time that might happen we'll be battling sun angle.

I've got no issue with Tip starting the next "threat thread" but for the love of God, start it with a different word from "Monitoring." We have like a half inch combined from the last two that started with that word

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, and George could pursue his met degree and be the next Harvey Leonard....I'll bet against it. Yet another epiosode of the atmosphere's premier presentation "One Million and One Ways to Not Snow Prolifically in SNE".

Mutant Phase 8 swallows up the earth leaving only a strong Nino with a southern jet omega block pattern where we watch DC and Philly cash in for the rest of eternity.

36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Those charts blow.

As in they're not a good chart or the projected outcome?

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

??

Previous page, I'm washed up anyway. Not that I was ever any good. May need to join @George001 for therapy with @40/70 Benchmark

Man, I try to quote a red tagger and use analysis but I guess I'm just too dumb. Even though we both went through the same sh*tty met program at a 5th tier school lmao

Interesting sounding here from the 18z NAM. I don't think we'll quite get it done but it's close:

15 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

If it was 2 degrees colder man…. Some nearby towns have 800-1000’ elevations I wonder if they can sneak out a miracle. 

Seems like elevation won't matter unless you're north of HFD. Euro 850s are toasty most of the event except the mid level stuff that develops which I'm guessing is overdone.

9 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s not just the sun man; be objective. 

 

 

If it's not just the sun what else is it?

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm not sure how you arrive at that.....

Sorry, autism

18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, you can see how this pattern can make someone want to extract their eyeballs with a pair of tweezers........big ULL buries itself in the SE next week and slides out to sea fast enough to not interact with the diving  N stream, which then blows up too late and murders the Maritimes next weekend with a new ULL posted to bury itself in the SE again. 

Hate to say it but I think that is what makes the most sense...its the kind of sequence that can make one long for spring.

Admitting defeat to @qg_omega?

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

GFS lost the 2-4 footer?  WTF?

It's alright it will bring it back sometime around 144 hours but then it will trend into congrats NH/ME

47 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Muted torch FTW or, FTL depending on who you ask

10 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Need a wall hanger anyone?

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

@dryslot hanging from a moose antler?

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

The E MA melts would be interesting 

That whole solution looks sus

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

I don't think this will be that poor. I think we will see more than that depiction. EPS is probably a mild step back from 00z.

And just think, that's the 10:1 map. Imagine how bad Kuchie looks.

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

A real weenie woulda moved to the highest hills of Woodbridge/Bethany there's some 600' elevations there big difference from the shoreline

Maybe he doesn't wanna live in the middle of nowhere? Lol

53 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Completely exhausting. Staring down the barrel of another wet slushy commute Monday. Pain 

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Absolutely…Not. Lol.
 

I just do t get the angst anymore..especially at this juncture. It’s gonna change and morph quite a bit between now and Sunday night. So just roll with it…it’s just another run. 
 

And if it goes to shit, then go out and get away from this place.  It ain’t healthy if all it’s doing is making you upset. 

I think the angst comes from knowing how precarious the setup is and the propensity for the Euro to show a good solution around D4-5 only to pull the rug out. It seems to happen more often lately than it did in its heyday.

29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lots of really angry folks here. 

 

It’s not a final solution. The GFS had the thing crushed till now. It’s correcting.  Chill and watch modeling as it unfolds. Obviously, the GFS is not leading the way as qgsmegma tried to tell everyone, so let it  adjust. 

What if I don't, are you going to start angrily charging up the Meriden-Waterbury Turnpike canines showing?

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What’s wrong with that run?

It's weak, the airmass is marginal you're only snowing light to moderate so ratios would be terrible. Need something more dynamic like last night's Euro.