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H2Otown_WX

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Posts posted by H2Otown_WX

  1. 19 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

    They started hitting it harder that morning and afternoon. I mean by the noon cast they had to hit it harder since it flipped west of Boston already. Still not even close though lol. Hopefully the crowd on here that’s younger than 30yrs old can get something like that again. It’s just an all timer in so many ways. I don’t get bored talking about it to this day. 

    What was the total QPF from it at BOS and ORH?

  2. On 3/8/2021 at 3:20 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

    Marth 7-8th 2018.

    Light to moderate snow began during the day here. It was mostly white rain with less than <1" by sunset. I thought we would have a hard time with this in the lower elevation areas but that changed quickly after sunset. By the time i had less than an inch of white rain glop, @Sey-Mour Snow was closing in on 8.5" just to the west of me around 550ft. Shortly after sunset radar returns started rapidly deepening and we were under S+ with heavy 1-2"/rates. NWS issued an SPS for 1-3"/hr rates and possible thunder.

    Captu43re.thumb.JPG.fc5016c5fdde0fa17863dca4858b16f8.JPG

     

    At this point i went outside for a while and the snow was still coming down very heavily. I saw this huge white flash above my head and thought briefly it was a flood light turning on and then a second late a large summer-time convective clap follwed by even heavier rates. This was probably the most intense thunder snow ive seen since Feb 2001. As i was outside for a while i saw several more CG strikes and extemely loud thunder. The majority of the snow fell from 5-10PM and we ended up with 13.5". I imagine some of the rates reached up to 4"/hr during the period of thunder/lightning.

    Forecast for this was really really good but ended up being too low in W CT where some amounts ranged from 16-28". The ranges worked out perfect and the gradient from 0-2-->8-16 SE to W did as well.

    Which storm overperformed in '13-'14? I think it was in February...it was either in 2014 or 2015. I just remember it was sort of in two parts and the ULL snows overperformed quite a bit especially down your way.

  3. Anyone else get the error message: "There was an error trying to insert a new row"? This is the second time it's happened to me. Last time I just waited til the next day or something and it didn't happen.

  4. 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    Lol .. not you no. I didn’t mean you. The guilty know who they are. I was bullish on 4-8” statewide based on exactly what you just stated.  If one looked past snow maps and looked at fronto and forcing one could see that being signaled the last couple days. I thought the NAM (while having some high outputs) and the HREF mean showed the overall idea the best. These coastals almost always have that . I just think overall it was a pretty poor performance by the globals as a whole. I’m enjoying the beer out of this today! 

    Don't forget a horrific performance from the HRRR.

    • Like 1
  5. 1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

    :lol: Awesome.  So you get a SNINCR 1 for anything over 0.5"?  For some reason I thought you had to get to 1" or more to get that.  And 2" or more to get the 2, etc.  I just saw the depth go from 6 to 7 and then 7 to 8.

    It's 0.5" or more and the depth has to increase by a whole inch. So like if you got 0.6 and your depth went from 6.7 to 7.3 then  you wouldn't report it.

    • Thanks 1
  6. Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

    You’re not running anything that far north. I mean I suppose you could have a snow to ice deal but with everything else snow to the coast.. toss it until other stuff shows it. Nam does better with coastals qpf issues aside . This is just overrunning basically 

    Yeah I agree with you Kevin. I think the blocking should tend to keep things south of CT track wise. Should be a good refresher to prime for a bigger event at the end of the week.

  7. 4 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

    27.6 here.  I Like Ginx area and for 6-7.  Probably 3" here and 4.5 on the Massif

    Fighting quite a bit of dry air in the lowest 5,000 ft or so. Working at BDL as an observer right now...27/12. I think I may take the under on 3".

  8. 3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

    Agree 100%. Just to be clear, i said "in the cards"...def not my forecast or what im expecting atm. We're going in the right direction today and thats what matters right now.

    I'm becoming a real fan of the GFS16 this winter (Dec 16-17, Feb 1-2) and looking back at the past 4 runs or so its had the least dramatic swings at the sfc and H5 from other models ive seen.

    (Real quick plug, im working on updating the season-to-date snowfall map in CT, so this is for anyone who hasnt updated their new england snow page @Damage In Tolland @tavwtby @CT Valley Snowman @RUNNAWAYICEBERG @metagraphica @H2Otown_WX that would be very helpful to get it done. ty)

    28.1

  9. 5 minutes ago, Greg said:

    DO NOT CLEAR THE BOARD EVERY HOUR. YOU WILL INFLATE THE TOTALS THAT WAY.

     

    6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

    lol is that a joke? i just meant taking measurements every hour, not clearing every hour.

    Just making sure...lol

  10. 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

    I noticed a grainy/sandy 1-2” top layer when I just shoveled. 

    Yeah, I saw it too, like graupel I guess. How much there now? I think I finally have a theory as to why I don't do so well. I get shadowed by Wolcott.

  11. Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

    Def not that much i wasnt measuring every hour so not sure. Seymour has 16.0, Bethany 15.8, im at 15.4 as of 9pm.

    Is it bad to not clear every hour? I thought that wasn't permitted. I've been clearing every 6.

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