jburns

But it was 20 years go tonight here in Archdale, NC, just south of High Point.

Read to the very end of this post to get the answer to a question I am sure many of you have been asking.

Taken at 9:27 PM, Feb 26, 2004.  Just getting started. Lightning and thunder had just begun.

11:37 PM, Feb 26,k 2004. Nearly constant lightning and thunder. Some flashes lit up my yard as light as day and thunder rattled everything.

1:36 AM, Feb 27, 2004. Things finally winding down. Lightning and thunder ended somewhere around 12:30 AM. Total accumulation of 20".

Weather service accumulation map for event.

Now the fun part (for me). When I got pissed and took a "break" from the board in NOV. of 2022, I decided to take all the piedmont snows with me so I cast on of my old guy spells. Worked even better than I thought it would.  Still haven't decided when or if I will get back on but I just wanted you to know, THAT'S WHERE ALL THE FUCKING SNOW WENT! 

6 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I don’t have 8” the last 3 seasons combined lmao 

21 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

8.2”? I would think a sloppy 1.2” then change to 33 and cold rain would be more appropriate in that scenario 

I'm going to take a wild guess and say that if NW Wake got 12 feet of snow and SE Wake got 8" the anguished posts would reach an all tine high. 8" would suddenly become, "almost nothing".

On 8/22/2022 at 3:47 PM, WinstonSalemArlington said:

 

Now that is a gradient. Imagine snow at a 10 to 1 ratio.

NW Wake County in NC received 151.6" of snow. Over 12 feet!! Amounts dropped off quickly as you moved south and east with SE Wake County recording only 8.2".

14 hours ago, jburns said:

Only 0.28" today which gives me a grand total for the month of 0.80" for the month. Lots of dark days for August but not much rain. 

OK. Someone heard me complain.  1.72" overnight in the loudest storm of the year.  Several consecutive lightning strikes with almost simultaneous thunder. Freaked my dogs out.

Only 0.28" today which gives me a grand total for the month of 0.80" for the month. Lots of dark days for August but not much rain. 

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Only problem with mid afternoon storms. I love when they push through at 6 vs 4 like now.
 

This storm was around 1 pm.  It has actually gotten worse outside.  90.3º, 83.7º dew point, and a "real feel" temp of 115.3º.  Can't remember when I've seen that combination here.

Had a nice storm about 2 hours ago that gave me just over one inch of rain. But now I pay the price UGH!!  The sun is out 87.6º temp with an 80.7º dew point.

21 hours ago, Avdave said:

Wow helluva gust front here now just ahead of that line to my west.  It was cranking even enough to make this house creak some. Had to have gusts up around 40 mph   Sitting at 75* currently before the line rolls through

 

Yeah, my weather station reported 7 gusts of 40 or more. Four of them between 6:10 and 6:40 pm.  Had to go out and gather up the yard furniture.

18 hours ago, calculus1 said:

Well, Adam Schefter used unnamed sources to report Tom Brady was retiring yesterday, and let's just say there's been a bit of pushback.  Just sayin'. 

It's kinda difficult to argue with the math behind @cbmclean's calculations.  And, the word average can indicate either the mean, the median, or the mode.  Most people understand the word average to mean the mean, but the mean is the measure of central tendency that is most susceptible to having extreme values skew it's value, in this case, positively.  If you remove the Carolina Crusher year from the above dataset, you will find the mean annual snowfall in RDU is only 4.4 inches, and that's still keeping in the two unusual values above 14 inches.  Take those two out, and the mean is even closer to the median value of 2.5 inches.  I would argue the median is a much better measurement of the typical annual snowfall in a location that has such extreme variability.  While RDU can definitely have a year or two here and there with a double-digit snowfall total, it's much more the exception than the rule.  Thus, I would make the argument that RDU is already above average (the median average) in snowfall for this winter.  Anything else is gravy. 

This settles it. You can’t argue with a guy who’s very name is math I don’t understand.

18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I like the college football model for college. The only problem I have with it is it’s gimmicky. It doesn’t force a team to drive. Running plays inside the redzone is a heck of a lot simpler than driving down the field to get to the redzone. I don’t like it for the NFL 

I agree with your point about long drives but the main issue with overtime is fairness. Guaranteed red zone chances would be more fair than the current setup. 

2 minutes ago, Snow dog said:

IMO, collage football has the OT correct.  To make going last fair, each team switches turns going first.,.

It certainly better than the NFL.

3 hours ago, marsman said:

Heads up! Seeing ice/snow sheets slide off north sides of the steeper roofs in the neighborhood.

Damn, how embarrassing would it be to be killed by an avalanche in Raleigh NC.

1 minute ago, Snownado said:

No. The other team has an another opportunity to match them.

I see a problem here. The program seems to be stuck in a loop.

Besides it is never completely fair.  If team one scores team two knows it now does not have to worry about punting on fourth down so it has 4 plays to get each first down on its drive instead of three.

10 minutes ago, Snownado said:

Keep going until one team has more points than the other. 

OK so team one gets the ball for the second time and scores again. Is that it?

4 hours ago, Snownado said:

At the very least the other team should be given the chance to match their touchdown. 

OK. Let’s say they match it.  Tied again.  Now what?  

1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

But the MidAtlantic is not what it was either, however that is defined 

I wasn’t trying to start a climate discussion.  My comment was basically a tongue in cheek tidbit about years of Raleigh posters moaning about gradiants and being screwed several tines a winter. 

Just now, StantonParkHoya said:

I think it depends how long is long. Consider if you’ve lived in Raleigh since the ‘60s, you’ve seen dozens of foot+ snows, and below zero temperatures. While declining in frequency, that is more akin to a Mid-Atlantic climate than a southern one.

Was.  

8 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Kind of an odd thing to plant in Raleigh tbh

Not to create too much of an aside, but I do wonder if people moving down from the NE think this is a warmer climate than it is.

Now that things have concluded I will respond to this.  Perhaps the bolded is true but I can tell you from years and years in this forum that many long time residents of Raleigh think it is a colder and snowier climate than it is

4 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

‘93 was a once in a generation triple-phasing deal

Well that is definitely good news.  Time marches on and if it is a once in a generation storm we are just about overdue. 

6 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said:

By that logic, Cincinnati, Ohio, Indianapolis, Ind and Lexington, KY all have the same climate as Greenville, SC so they should post here too   

Carrying that logic to distance it is further from Greensboro to Miami than it is from Greensboro to Portsmouth Maine.  Let’s add them. 

1 hour ago, letitsnow said:

Not in the Mtn's but wouldn't mind it at all.  Refuse to post anything in a thread called izzy or anything twc named.  

A pic of our token 2" or so yesterday which was absolutely beautiful

 

 

Nice shot of Izzy

Crapfest here.  Ground is white but less than an inch.  Sleeted most of the day but never at a heavy rate.  Sad thing is we actually had real winter storm temperatures for a change. Started out at 21º this morning and after lunch it slowly climbed to what it is currently, 28º.  Congrats to all who scored enough to make it worth the time tracking. 

Man I didn’t want to hear this.  Raleigh is usually right about this type event but damn I hate ice.

Models are coming into better agreement with the details, and
confidence is increasing that this will be less of a snow event and
more of a freezing rain/rain event.

11 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

Whoa, the ICON pulls the 500z ULL through the Carolinas... breath of fresh air after these models wanted to bring it up the spine of the apps.

The 00z ICON, I should mention, is warmer on what looks like every level. edit it's a little warmer but not on "every level" didn't look everywhere i'm multitasking between model watching and dishes

I think it is terrible how many Mets have to take second jobs just to make ends meet.