nzucker

Barring a tremendous -NAO block, looks as if it's almost time to stick a fork in the 2015 Greenland melt season. Melt area has been significantly below average for the last few weeks.

Both White Plains (HPN) and the Dobbs Ferry Wunderground station had a high of exactly 90F yesterday. That makes five 90-degree days here in Southern Westchester. We may get one today, despite last night's rain, and tomorrow should definitely be at least 90F. August is quickly making up ground for the cool start in June (my high on 6/1 was 58F and my high on 6/2 was 54F). Been a very warm stretch since early July, though lacking the extreme heat we saw in 2010 and 2011.

Looks as if melt is below average to start August, and should remain that way with cold air pooling over Greenland. Might get a brief spike from WAA as the low from the Beaufort approaches, but then a strong high pressure with -10C 850s settles over the ice sheet, keeping it cold...GFS shows 2m temps of -20C in the higher elevations atop Greenland.

Only have four 90-degree days in Dobbs Ferry this season.

What are temperatures like in January and February?

You guys got a late start on 90s with the wet May and early June pattern. I imagine it's pretty much a given that every day in July and August hits 90F.

Was surprised NYC hit 90F yesterday. Today is probably too cloudy but may come close in parts of NJ.

Looks like a major cooldown coming.

LOL, thanks for calling me out...Got some new stuff coming along in the garden. This was one of the smaller red cabbages I harvested... Inside of a large red cabbage freshly picked. Eggplant now has a fruit, was just developing in this photo. My first zucchini, although powdery mildew and cool weather has slowed plant down. It hasn't been that hot here this year, although the last few days in the mid 80s has pushed the garden along. I should be harvesting cherry tomatoes within a week or so, regular sized tomatoes in 2 weeks, along with eggplant and zucchini. I am still harvesting cabbage, and a big green one is almost ready to be picked. Cabbage has been one of my highlights this year, excellent crop with delicious flavor. I also made a bunch of pesto with all my basil, as I have at least 20 plants. Will update this thread more as the garden warrants...

Here are some pics from this year.. Usually grow Apollo Arugula but this variety with serrated leaves is good too, looks a bit like frisee. Red cabbage planted in early April, almost ready...also have the green variety. These guys get huge. Growing slowly with the cool weather. Love fresh eggplant though, makes pasta delicious. Tomato plants have a few flowers but also suffering from lack of heat. Lettuce has gone nuts this year, bought this early April and has yielded for almost 2 months. Can't wait to harvest my first zucchini. Has some powdery mildew though... Love making salads with fresh greens from the garden.

Great thread, always follow it closely. I live north of NYC on a small suburban property so have a cooler climate and less space, but I manage a garden. Here is what I have: 8 lettuce plants, mostly oakleaf 8 cabbage, some red, some green 2 varieties arugula, mostly Apollo 1 kale 20 basil/purple basil 4 tomatoes, cherry, beefsteak, Lemon Boy and Brandywine 4 peppers, sweet and hot 2 zucchini 2 eggplant, Black Beauty and Japanese 1 winter squash, Guatemalan blue oregano dill wild mint thyme sage tarragon I have harvested a lot of greens and herbs, especially arugula and oakleaf lettuce which went nuts. Basil has gotten huge. Zucchini has several fruits but not big enough to harvest.Tomatoes are flowering and so are eggplants but no fruits yet. I have a second round of arugula getting ready. We don't have nearly the heat...most days this June have been in the 70s, a few in the 60s, and the first two days of June had highs of 58F and 54F. So it's a little different up here...I have been gardening since 2008 and learned a lot. Just started composting again, and can't wait for this year's harvest.

Greenland is so far behind on melt this year that we will never catch up to 2012 or probably even last year. There is only like 7 weeks left of major melting with max insolation as we wasted most of June with the cold pattern after no preconditioning in May.

Definitely something wrong with the Teterboro ASOS...well north of PHL and TTN but more 90 degree days. Seems fishy.

Amazing we had the winter we did with a strong +NAO. In any case, models show Greenland finally warming up as a ridge builds into the area. This is after a few more days of cold conditions with -10C 850s atop the ice sheet..A lot of cold continues to get dumped into the United Kingdom and Northern Europe where 850s are below 0C in many areas even in the middle of June, and this should accelerate with a significant trough moving into Spain/France as the NAO declines in the coming week.

All of the Arctic looks to be cold in the long range as the fractured PV returns to the Central Arctic Basin and pushes all the warm air away.

Greenland remains cold with -10 850s showing up again..

From the anomalies posted, the Euro shows the ridge setting up west of Greenland, which would keep northerly winds over Greenland itself thus cooler temperatures. The stronger warmth from that map would be Baffin Island, the CAA, etc...NAEFS keep Greenland chilly well into the latter part of June, anyway.

Good pattern for lowering global temperatures.

We won't make the 2010 record with the trough moving in by later in the week, even if we don't snap the streak tomorrow morning.

You mean a good good night?NYC has been sitting just short of 90F today...85F there right now as clouds are preventing forecast highs from being realized.

Almost definitely.

August will probably be the coolest month of the summer with what models are showing and the developing Nino. It wouldn't surprise me to see a taste of fall early.

I started posting in Summer 2008, so I was on for the 08-09 winter...I was home from Middlebury in Westchester for the Dec 19-21 storm...had about 8" or so from the 12/19 event, then 3" plus icing from the second wave although it turned to rain in NYC proper. It was a huge double-barreled event in Vermont with about 10" from each storm. The New Year's mega torch ruined most of the snowpack but January 2009 was just epic in Vermont, had the fluff clipper early in the month and then the monster SW flow event on 1/28 that dropped over a foot. I left to study in Chile a few weeks later but what a great front-loaded winter that was. Your posts have been great man...you are a wonderful contributor to the forum.

This was Dobbs Ferry during the 1/27 blitz...great memories: Amazing to think how bad this winter is: last year I had nearly 30" of snowpack at 350' right outside NYC; this year, I'm thankful for a coating on the ground at 1200' in the Monadnocks.