GrandmasterB

Is this where I post if I mowed today?

3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@GrandmasterB, any thoughts, yo?

This is like when you’re completely daydreaming and you snap out of it only to realize everyone is staring at you expecting you to say something…so…can you repeat the question?

Crazy that the warning was probably justified when it was issued and almost immediately modeling fell apart.

2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

This would produce sick rates @Bubbler86

That’s a legit look 

Increasingly likely 3-6” is going to verify for southern up through central areas. Will we get Blizz’s much anticipated warning down here?

49 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

We need some snow map porn

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I got you. GFS 10-1. Another bump north and juicier.

5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

21z SREF improved over its previous runs for the LSV.

I only have it in 10-1, so bump amounts accordingly with ratio help.

That’s a sweet map. I think there’s another 25 mile bump north yet before show time.

I’m typically a defender of the central NWS as well, but I’m getting tired of the York, Lebanon, Lancaster circle of no headlines when we’re encircled by counties with headlines. Also, slow to react lately when all of the data shows they should be.

Nice bump north on the GFS. More juiced than it’s 12Z run.

9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Roofus is looking like Icon a bit as to accums.  Two maxima's in between a minima and basically what someone in the MA board (maybe PSU) about the northern Maxima getting more due to fluff/ratios. 

Maps Bro! Did you not read ITT’s post??

The Euro/NAM is the old EE rule I believe. Both show top end advisory/nearing warning criteria amounts. Let’s see if the GFS bumps up.

3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

It's time for our friend DT's prediction:

Looks like the 18Z NAM 10:1

NAM’ing inbound 

The 10-1 looks higher on TT than the Kuch map posted. Would t expect that.

6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Looks great at 31

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Wait until you see 36

@Itstrainingtime Thanks for posting those “tributes”. Very well done, and like you this place has been an integral part of my winters going WAY back.
Thanks to everyone who keeps it going and especially @Blizzard of 93 for the snow maps that I look forward to all winter. 
Now time to get NAM’d and get Blizz his warning criteria.

GFS is…not great

16 minutes ago, canderson said:

Doesn't the NAM struggle with clipper qpf? 

No idea, but let’s go with it.

37 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The Icon will be here to cheer us up shortly. 

I can’t believe I’m about to look at the ICON. 

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Nam holds onto the precip longer by pulling in some ocean moisture. Methinks that's a sign of future qpf increases.

I noticed a little more coastal development on the NAM vs its 6Z run. Something to watch. 

It’s a little odd seeing the Euro more juiced than the NAM.

31 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I would sign up for this 18z Euro.

You and me both!

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Not as good as one would expect with all that deep, digital blue.  Did 10-1 since it will be cold enough IMO.  10-1 is higher than Kuch.   Both are close to the same though. 

 

Thanks! Looks like a fairly wide area too, so maybe some wiggle room for any shifts in track.

11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Wagons North on the 18Z Nam

 

 

Do you have a snow map, Bubbler? TT is down for me right now, and I love a good NAM clown map.

Certainly some weenie optimism in this take, but this is the type of set-up that could bump north in the last 24-36 hours. It would be a kick in the nuts to NVA and southern MD crew, but that’s even more reason to believe it will happen.