weatherwiz

I think we have room for another 3-5. Between Friday and Tuesday we could pull of 3...things will have to work out but that possibility is there.

I want a September derecho.

BDL could tickle 90 Friday and Saturday.

No CAPE

In terms of alcohol I don't really drink it anymore. I really did get into IPA's the past several years and loved trying many different kinds but I think IPA's are just too heavy for me now. I always feel like crap after having one. It kinda sucks. My preference would probably be like a margarita or something mixed like that.

I don't even drink beer anymore. Had one the other night (well barely one). Was probably the first in at least a few weeks.

I miss my 40's

I'm hoping this will at least lead to a few decent severe setups as we move into late August and early September. Kinda out of climo, but we have had some fairly decent events in the past during this time frame.

I actually do enjoy those. I remember last year I was visiting a friend in NY with a few other friends...around Albany. We went for an evening walk and there were still some nice towering cumulus around. As I looked at them I got this tickling sensation in my body...always happens when I see them. There is just something visually appealing about them.

glad we don't live there

That trough actually amplifies a bit nicely as it moves into New England...even GFS gets ~-15C 500 temps overnight. Should be some decent moisture convergence too. Shear not terrible so maybe some small hailers

Should be scattered t'storms later afternoon through the overnight...maybe even quite numerous

This is a sig worthy post. This also may be my favorite post of all time.

Man...this is one hell of an AFD https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Just read about it on wiki...incredibly interesting!

It’s cold

90!!!!!! Let’s go. May tack on two more Wednesday and Thursday. That would get us within 1.

maybe we'll get a labor day 98 to plow through the region and make up for the boring summer

First half of the week will be a refresher but boom. Maybe we can get some dying convection on Monday.

12z euro too wanting to throw some heat our way. If BDL falls one shy of the record I demand every day that hit 89 be reanalyzed...maybe someone forgot to round.

despite the boring wx there temperature gradients are certainly intriguing and I'm sure quite challenging at times. the entire west may engulf in flames by next week

One problem is we will continue to struggle with pushing any meaningful cold fronts through here. Given what is being advertised on the Euro and GFS we would see a plume of anomalously warm 850 temperatures push well into Canada and southeast Canada and then right into our region...almost similar to I think what happened in June...(just w/o the cut-off to the south). There offers potential to get a solid NW flow down the road...sure sun angle is decreasing but a downslope flow with dry ground at favorable areas are going to torch.

I disagree with that to an extent. In fact, you could argue pattern becomes even more critical. Late June and July..we bang bang out 90 "relatively easy"...you don't need that crazy anomalous pattern or airmass...earlier than that and later than that it likely need it more. The look on the pattern (at least through the end of the month offers a much higher potential for heat against average or below-average. With the strength of the western and WAR ridge's there is plenty of room and window to pinch heat into our region. We have to solely rely on troughs to dig in and for some actual cold fronts to move through. Maybe perhaps some weaknesses develop within the WAR but as long as it stays that developed it's going to take numerous trough ejections and fronts to really weaken in.

guhhhhh BDL got to 89...let's see if they can tack on that extra degree.

You know...may need one of those suckers (either in ATL or PAC) to do that.