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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Thanks for the shout out @CT Rain!
  2. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I'm sure this is somewhere within the August 2019 discussion thread but I don't feel like reading through all of the temp and dewpoint crap and about how people who live in forests try to use their weather to quantify a regime and how people on tarmacs try to quantify their weather as a regime so here it goes... The next few days offers up several opportunities for convection and like we saw this weekend the meso-models (or CAMS) are going to have a very difficult time grasping the evolution of convection. Today: Moderate (to even borderline extreme) instability in place thanks to very high dewpoints, rather warm sfc temps, and modest mid-level lapse rates. Shear isn't overly strong (but a modest MLJ of 40-50 knots) punching into the region will help create bulk shear values supportive for organized convection. The verdict: Scattered severe t'storms today which will produce localized areas of wind damage. Transient supercells may also produce some large hail with low risk for a tornado up in ME. Tuesday: Weak shortwave approaching, high humidity, and low CIN will result in scattered t'storms developing during the afternoon with isolated svr potential Wednesday: Wednesday is a bit more intriguing with strong front/shortwave energy approaching, and decent wind shear/instability. Could see scattered severe weather with all severe hazards possible.
  3. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I heard Lamont is now looking to tax storm photos and videos
  4. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Yup...just checked. Not a bad estimate lol
  5. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Interested to check after what BDL recorded for a gust. Was some decent gusts before the rain...I would estimate 25-30 knots. Some pretty close CG’s too
  6. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Looks like 30-40 mph gusts possible. Only radar with a read in velocity is ENX which sucks b/c it’s a bit far
  7. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    The CAMs were concerning but they had been terrible the past week. When I saw shear increasing late with the spike in instability I had a solid feeling
  8. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Lightning picking up a bit
  9. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Sweet!!!9
  10. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    We giggle at their snow
  11. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Hmmm interesting
  12. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I get up at 4:15
  13. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Ahhh yes you’re right...I remember now. BDL got to like 93 or something.
  14. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Line better hurry up. Getting close to bed time
  15. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I meant June 10, 2008
  16. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I think June 1 was upper 80’s. I don’t recall getting into the 90’s. I know on July 10, 2008 (think that was the date) with that EML we got to like 95-97
  17. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    By the time the line gets here it will be too dark to see much ughh
  18. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Tough to tell...might be legit based on where it was from
  19. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Litchfield warning has TOR wording
  20. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    If that line holds I wonder if it Ramos up in the Valley?
  21. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Line gaining steam. Nice rotation on edge too
  22. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I wish the lightning in that line would pick up. I hope it doesn’t fizzle out. Come in dynamics!!!
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