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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. I apologize - upon further review - I see how my post was not contributing to the overall knowledge base of the discussion so I removed them - though, seriously, fruit is going to start developing if we do not get some cold!
  2. One thing I can say for sure is that this Winter has had lots to track, not necessarily with storms but with overall model changes.
  3. That is a good way of expressing the difference between the GFS and the EURO!
  4. I know it is a little drier here north of Nashville but yea, we could use several weeks without any precip - chances are if it doesnt get it done the next few weeks - as far as snow is concerned - just gets very hard with increasing sun angle as we move into March to get it done; the system depicted on the morning run of the GFS this morning, if just a few hundred miles northwest, we give us all a pretty good snow, it is those chances, those tracking opportunities over the next couple weeks, that will make this interesting in my opinion.
  5. Guess analysis depends on ones outlook on things. I choose to be more optimistic about our chances going into the next couple of weeks.
  6. My apologies, I referenced the every model run because that was what was posted, the current post that I am replying too is referencing trends.
  7. I would go crazier than I already am if I lived and died by every model run, again trends; personally, I have no expectation that we score 6 weeks of cold and snow - we live in the South after all - however, I am more hopeful than most years that we can score a storm or two in the next two weeks and change.
  8. I think we should be looking, not to say that you are not, at the trends that are being portrayed with modeling, for example, what we know seemingly for sure is that it will get colder around the 5th; the pattern is just simply too complex I think at this time to expect modeling to all be on the same page, just my opinion.
  9. @carversgap i appreciate you translating the model and posting being sincere i really do!
  10. @Hilton01not going stop posting for sure! Thank you for the kind words
  11. Last post I am doing on this subject. I wasnt saying I found fault with what you or Jax had posted; I was saying that realistically, for me, with my experience looking at things, I was confused. Will go back to reading and not posting lest we get into another back and forth. Goodness.
  12. With all due respect, my posts are not intended to be negative, I am being realistic. I am sure that I could search the threads in this discussion or others and find some that would tend to portray others as negative, besides, we are getting off topic.
  13. Just posting thoughts, apologize that they are not as robust as others.
  14. If we don't get help somewhere this pattern we are in is fixing to suck IMHO.When the jet retracts back into East Asia this is going to build back the ridge into East Asia and keep troughs from going through,so our active pattern won't be so active,Basically it would look just like the GEFS is showing in the long range
  15. Indeed because seems to be in contrast to what other people are posting.
  16. Latest run of the GFS looks good but I am suspect of its ability to accurately forecast anything past a few days - I know it is to be expected with such wild pattern swings, etc.
  17. Oh, give it a day, evryone will be singing the modeling praises, then the next scratching their head in confusion, pretty standard winter for TN
  18. So, it is at least possible to see some of that cold in the PV make it south towards us?
  19. That is true - according to the EURO looks like the PV is displaced headed towards the continental US - in reality, I will never be satisfied with the Winter season living in the South, I recognize that!
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