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Everything posted by weathertree4u
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December 2018 Pattern And Forecast Discussion
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Such a tease -
Oh and post pictures!
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Pulling for you guys out east - nothing but a cold cold rain here north of Nashville
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
So, will be interested in the 12Z suite of models. Looks like the Euro over-corrected too far north imo, seems like allot of the modeling is clustered around the KY/TN border east, just my untrained thoughts!- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Will wait overnight for the Euro - after all - it is only early December and there are many more model runs between now and the end solution - look at the general patterns not the single model runs.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Get an error message could just be me...- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yes, I would concur, the snowdome is safe and sound and they are expecting it to hold this year as well. Though, as we have alluded to, if modeling is still showing the same thing especially by Thursday at this time, then well, perhaps we might get a plowable snow.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Famous last words; they are historically overly conservative; guarantee that it will change by this time tomorrow.- 1,195 replies
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December 8-10 Storm Discussion
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Too soon to get excited but have to say that my experience with ULL is that they can pack a wallop- 1,195 replies
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December 2018 Pattern And Forecast Discussion
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
You saw those too! Some of them were pretty heavy hitters for the area, especially I-40 north. I would say the greater majority of them were showing at least something next weekend. -
Interesting, thanks for posting
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Well, yea, thanks for all the information. To throw a wrinkle in it, I may be deciding between two schools that direction, ETSU or ASU in Boone, may come down to which one reliably gets the most snow and not $ lol
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Considering a offer with ETSU - where would be the best location - best guess - to reside for winter weather? Totally not familiar with the area, in theory, with the added elevation, should at least have more chances for snow than currently do in the middle part of the state - just north of Nashville.
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I was thinking the same thing about Hugo, was in high school back then and can recall the huge impacts on the US - alarming is that there really are fewer and fewer escape options for Florence with each passing day. In addition, with each passing day, she inches closer and closer to that high octane water of the Gulf Stream. I honestly wonder if a projection of 145 is conservative?
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sounds great to me! Seems like we started with the heat right out of the gate this year and it has hung tough!- 279 replies
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seems it was fairly localized; here north of town near White House, we have gotten hardly a drop the last few days.- 279 replies
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I was thinking the same thing. I dont follow the stuff as closely as some in the forum but could tell yesterday early on that things in reality were not modeled correctly. Was a great air mass but could have used a little rain!
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Excellent point. The physics behind the models I know is way over my head, simply amazing that we can take an educated guess at it at all. Plus when you factor in the things that probably are not factored in like low solar and continued volcanic activity, heck, we might as well flip a coin!
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Which is generally why the weather is just so fascinating. Not sure whether we will ever develop the capability to forecast much better than we are now honestly!
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Have been seeing some brief mentions for next Winter for a El Nino Modoki, is this an indication of that as well and or what are your thoughts?
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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018
weathertree4u replied to Cary_Snow95's topic in Southeastern States
What am I missing, do not really see any chances over the, well, for the rest of the season. Good that we are getting the rain though! -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2019-2020 Winter Wonderland Discussion
weathertree4u replied to JoMo's topic in Central/Western States
Usually just lurk in your forum but cannot resist posting! We are the same way really in the TN Valley, though, we have gotten more snow this year than in the previous couple. Still, I am left wondering why it is so hard to get one or two of those "I-40" specials like I remember as a kid in the late 1970's and 1980's? The good ones that give everyone 5" or 6" and melt away in two days? We got 3" or so last Friday plus the 3" - 4" we just got. Snow is really becoming an issue for me since we have an inability to keep the side streets clear. I am fine with a snow that is gone in a couple of days, not so much snow that hangs around for close to a week! -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018
weathertree4u replied to Cary_Snow95's topic in Southeastern States
Might be a blessing in disguise. With snowpack, what is cold now will be frigid with snow. -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018
weathertree4u replied to Cary_Snow95's topic in Southeastern States
I was just thinking the same thing, what year was that and you are right, it is ironically opposite of what we usually see, where the cold is always in the LR and keeps getting pushed back. I know here in the Nashville area, the record of consecutive days below 32 is 9, back from the late 1800's, we should come close to that after today, we are not projected to break 32 until at least next Saturday. Hopefully the utilities are up to the stress of sustained cold. -
August 21, 2017 (was "2 Years From Today!")
weathertree4u replied to rbowman's topic in Tennessee Valley
I should be right in the most totality; I tried to find when the next total solar eclipse will take place over TN. Seems like there was one when I was in elementary school which would have been late 1970's