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ncskywarn

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  1. ncskywarn
    From the NWS Raleigh AFD kind of ominous. While the risk of impacts associated with Florence along the East Coast has increased, there is too much model spread/uncertainty to speculate what kind of impacts we can expect here in central NC. Given current model projections, impacts, if any, will be possible during the mid to late week period. Residents of central NC are strongly encouraged to closely monitor the latest forecasts and to ensure everyone has emergency kits and hurricane plan in place. It is never too early to prepare!
  2. ncskywarn
    Actually looks like 18Z landfall was a little North of 12Z. Biggest difference that I see is at landfall it's moving more NNW as opposed to NW. Compaired to 12Z. Never makes it as far inland.
  3. ncskywarn
    Not surprisingly so it begins.
  4. ncskywarn
    12Z Euro is running out to 24 hours
  5. ncskywarn
    GGEM Takes it into Savannah.
  6. ncskywarn
    Just by watching model trends I am beginning to believe this will end up being much more concerning and will end up being devastating for a lot of North Carolina.
  7. ncskywarn
    Not pretty for NC. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018090700/north-carolina/acc-total-precipitation/20180916-1200z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018090700/north-carolina/gusts-3h-mph/20180914-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018090700/north-carolina/gusts-3h-mph/20180914-0600z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018090700/north-carolina/gusts-3h-mph/20180914-1200z.html
  8. ncskywarn
    Cuts almost due North between 168 and 192 looks like it passes almost directly over Greensboro or Winston Salem.
  9. ncskywarn
    00Z ECMWF is not looking looking pretty for the Carolinas. Looking like a NC/SC border hit around hour 156. Running inland along the NC/SC border at 168.
  10. ncskywarn
    Nice snow forecast in Quebec.
  11. ncskywarn
    18Z HWRF and HMON are both coming in significantly SW of their 12Z runs. 18Z FV3 run is also coming in significantly further S then the 12Z run.
  12. ncskywarn
    12 EPS ensemble
  13. ncskywarn
    Then turns NNE.
  14. ncskywarn
    14/11/4 June 2/1/0 July 2/2/0 August 3/2/1 September 4/3/2 October 2/2/1 November 1/1/0
  15. ncskywarn
    In other words same old same old.
  16. ncskywarn
    NAM is running lets see if it holds.
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