Superstorm93

30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Weeklies actually look decent for late Jan and early Feb….but we know the caveats. It goes more toward a classic La Niña pattern but with a pretty strong AK ridge which is usually good in February…longer wavelengths tend to make it less likely you get the AK trough folding back and digging in Cabo San Lucas.  

We also have *this* which I would have never expected to show up

Way out there, but still interesting to look at. 

12 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Does EPS go out any further? I’d like to see if it’s exiting stage right or making the turn… 

Indies have snow all the way to Maine...

EPS indies are pretty darn wild for this far out...the mean is just about as good as you can ask for at this point. 

I know we're not allowed to use ensembles here, but closed low and increased confluence 

Should have some interesting members for all

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

To answer his question though....I think the latest was 2007 when it took until Feb 14th for the first event of an inch or more (cumulative first inch happened in January that year).

Still some late bloomers on the AWSSI (..though not great)

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/research/awssi/indexAwssi.jsp 

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

Clown maps for clowns, produced by clowns. 

240 hrs out. 

Now that's degree material right there. 

That's a sebastian maniscalco "Aren't you embarrassed??" moment.

Really weird flex to admit that you don't use ensemble guidance at D9 lol 

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He ‘forecasts’ with geese and squirrel movement instead…all anyone needs to know. 

What time will the SE Ridge hit my house? 

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

200 hr+ maps since November.

It's as if, they aren't learning anything.

Ah yes, lets just all shut up about literally the only threat in the next 15 days. 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ensembles nothing like the op. Relax.

Really is laughable how bad the OP has become

The worst global model in the NHEM has rain in nine days. 

It's over. 

28 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

I start thinking like the rest of you, I won't be able to forecast. 

@brooklynwx99--a 24 yr old amateur flexin' his new red tag with model graphics we all can see--has been leading you all off a bridge. But like minded as you are, happily off you go.

Aren't you like more than twice his age?

How's you SE ridge doing? 

Very stable model 

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

 

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Significantly north of 00z though

Trend has been...not great 

6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Blocka! Blocka! 

Glock it in! 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

I never even saw that one before .

 

https://www.weathernerds.org/ 

https://www.weathernerds.org/models/field_definitions/Snowfall.pdf 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Those maps show less than the other snow maps

Because it's a dynamic ratio map and not a weenie Kuchi or 10:1 

Best thing to happen to Yonkers since Tyler The Creator 

Definitely a cold pattern on the 12z EPS

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There are quite a few EPS members that give a good shot of snow for the 12/16 system. There's even a small handful that are mostly/all snow.

Not a bad signal at all

12z EURO joins the OP GFS idea of bullying the "cutter" underneath the block now

We've entered the shenanigans phase of the models

Retrograding blizzard to appease the masses 

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

JMA has weeklies? You pay to access that? Its like me paying to access @weatherwiz's drunken accounts of Wolfpack games while 4 40s deep.

drunken accounts of Wolfpack games while 4 40s deep.

New JMA weeklies for the middle of the month