snowfan

Warm/Wet?

Just about 2 hrs from Leesburg, 119” on the season, and a depth of 1” or more for 59 of the last 85 days. They got more snow in November than most of us have for the season. lol.

Here’s a good map depicting avg NNE snowfall. The valley lows are well shown here for VT, similar to how there’s a significant drop off in snowfall in NH south of the notches.

GFS op looks active and cold again in early March after a break in the cold late month. I doubt we’re done tracking.

First, your comment yesterday was “cold smoke blizzards” which isn’t something that should be tossed around nonchalantly for the mid Atlantic. Those are anomalies in our long term historical records. That is fact. second, I’m not arguing that it is now warmer. Never have. What I take exception with are the claims by you and others that this area now suddenly will no longer experience snowy periods and/or snowy winters in general. It is also fact to state that neither you or I know what our long term winter weather will look like. Look at the most recent 15 years at BWI. Rough winters. Some true ratters, to be honest. But we also managed the winter of 09-10, which is now the golden standard of winters for the metro areas. We also had the 3 year stretch of 13/14 - 15/16, which is the best 3 year stretch at BWI in the last 60 years. Both of those things….a historical winter and a historical string of 3 winters all came during an overall down period for snow in the metro areas. Will our long term averages continue to incrementally decline? It appears so. Our most recent 30 yr avg at BWI is 19”. That’s down from the prior 30 year period avg of 20.2”. But it is way too soon to know what our yr over yr winters are going to look like. In this area, most of us are a few moderate to strong storms from being near avg. it doesn’t take much.

All it takes is 1 storm. January 96 and January 00 were both in Nina’s. Outliers, yes, but it can happen.

lol. Even on a nice wintry morning you are still exhausting to deal with. PS. Thanks for not rebutting anything in my post

You live in Maryland and nowhere close to the Allegheny front at that. You’ve never received cold smoke blizzards left and right. You’ve observed isolated cold smoke blizzards throughout a 100+ year reporting period. And right now, none of us knows what the next 100 years will look like. Geesh….

As we quickly move forward into late Thursday, Thursday night and even into Friday, there remains a timing and track discrepancy between the models with a more vigorous low pressure system. The GFS still wants to bring a low pressure system across our region and spread rain showers throughout. The Euro wants to delay the low pressure system until more of Friday and shunt it farther to the south near the Virginia and North Carolina border. The GFS would translate to mainly rain, while the Euro opens up the option of some wintry weather. For now, the flavor is rain and timing more so on Thursday. There is a moderate confidence that higher elevations in the Appalachians and Blue Ridge and perhaps along the Mason-Dixon border could encounter some snow or a wintry mix. Temperatures on Friday look to be cooler for the most part.

I’m assuming this is sarcasm because there is nothing to suggest this cannot happen. Kind of a silly comment to make.

Snowfall reports to NWS clearly show the narrow band of max snow stretching from OH to NJ.

12/11: .25” 1/16: 4.5” 1/19: 5” 2/17: 2” Total: 11.75”

I’ll be furious if I get less than 2”.

Waiting on my snow.

Voted best poster in 2024.

If it’s 1-3 or 2-4 or 3-5 who cares? It’s a Saturday morning in February. Just enjoy it.

See folks. Temps are dropping.

I see Randy lurking from his burner phone.

Collect yourself @NorthArlington101. Be strong.

Looks HRRRsh

You’re not getting 15:1. No one is expecting that.

CWG just posted its 7th update of the day. Most easily topping an inch w up to 4 or more N/W.

1am DC